Bitcoin Price Risks Dangerous Death Cross Following Latest Correction

Sam Bourgi @hsbourgi
October 24, 2019 21:30 UTC

The cryptocurrency market entered a modest recovery on Thursday, though bitcoin lagged its altcoin peers following a major technical breakdown earlier in the week. At just over 65%, the bitcoin dominance rate has fallen to its lowest level since July.

Crypto Market Update

Crypto markets bottomed near $203 billion on Wednesday following a more than $20 billion dump during the prior session. It was the first time since May that markets threatened to fall below $200 billion in collective value.

By Thursday afternoon, the combined market cap was worth $206.2 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

Major altcoins and tokens record gains Thursday afternoon. | Chart: coinmarketcap.com

Among the top-ten cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was the only asset not to report gains in the last 24 hours. The leading cryptocurrency had an average price of $7,507.18.

XRP, bitcoin cash and EOS each rose by at least 2.5%. Bitcoin SV was the biggest percentage gainer, climbing 14% to $111.41.

Coins 10-13 also put up decent gains, with Tron and Chainlink each climbing more than 6%.

Bitcoin Price Approaching Dangerous Levels

Although bitcoin’s most vocal supporters are unfazed by the recent pullback, the king of cryptocurrencies is approaching a critical inflection point that could trigger a deeper nosedive in price. At least one closely-followed trader is calling for a steeper correction back down to the $6,250 region – a move that would wipe out another 17% from current levels.

One doesn’t have to look very far to know where the dangers are, as even the most basic technical setup reveals the possibility of another violent selloff. At any moment now, bitcoin’s 50-day moving average is about to cross below the 200-day moving average. The so-called “death cross” is an overwhelmingly bearish indicator for everyone except long-term holders of the virtual currency.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is fast-approaching the critical ‘death cross,’ based on the daily chart. | Chart: TradingView

Bitcoin’s 50-day MA first crossed above the 200-day MA back in April, triggering a months-long rally that eventually peaked near $14,000.

Some analysts are convinced that bitcoin’s latest correction is nothing more than a long squeeze, a situation where investors with long positions unload some of their holdings into a falling market to trim their losses. If that’s the case, there’s a strong chance that bitcoin bounces in relatively short order. However, the prospects of a long-term recovery still depend on trade volume.

Nearly $640 million worth of BTC traded hands in the last 24 hours, according to Bitwise tracking data of verified exchanges. That’s much smaller than what’s needed to generate rallies like we saw in the spring. During the height of the bitcoin boom, verified spot exchanges were collectively processing more than $3 billion in daily transactions.

This article was edited by Josiah Wilmoth.

Last modified: October 25, 2019 00:59 UTC

Sam Bourgi @hsbourgi

Financial Editor to CCN Markets, Sam Bourgi has spent the past nine years focused on economics, markets and cryptocurrencies. His work has been featured in and cited by some of the world's leading newscasts, including Barron's, CBOE and Forbes. Avid crypto watchers and those with a libertarian persuasion can follow him on twitter at @hsbourgi. Sam is based in Ontario, Canada and can be contacted at sam.bourgi@ccn.com