Posted in: Market News
Published:
March 9, 2020 7:25 PM UTC

This Is Why the Dow Jones Suffered a Historic 2,000 Point Fall Today

The Dow Jones crashed more than 2,000 points on Monday as coronavirus fears peaked - despite evidence China may be beating COVID-19.

  • Risk-off trade crashed the Dow Jones more than 2,200 points at its lows on Monday.
  • A plummeting oil price and cratering bond yields hit energy and financial stocks particularly hard around the world.
  • Coronavirus headlines continue to spook Dow bulls, despite China apparently getting the outbreak under control.

The Dow Jones accelerated its epic plunge on Monday, as a historic crash in the oil price worsened an already grim risk-off scenario and coronavirus weighed heavily on the stock market.

Not even a stock market-wide trading halt was enough to stop the bleeding.

Dow Jones Capitulates As Oil Crisis Mixes With Coronavirus Panic

The Dow Jones fell more than 2,000 points at its lows on Monday as coronavirus concerns hit equities. | Source: Yahoo Finance

All three major U.S. stock market indices suffered a devastating start to the week.

  • The Dow crashed 1,915.05 points or 7.4% to 23,949.73.
  • The S&P 500 dropped 7.12% to 2,760.86.
  • The Nasdaq fell 6.57% to 8,012.37.

In the commodity sector, the oil price endured a historic shock. WTI crude traded down as much as 30% from Friday’s close, before climbing to $31.25 per barrel for a loss of around 24%.

Unfortunately for investors looking for rapid gains in safe-haven gold, XAU/USD was lackluster, rising just 0.3%.

The Japanese yen performed much more strongly. The defensive currency rallied 3% against the dollar.

Treasury yields continue to point to an impending recession; the U.S. 10-year currently yields just 0.5%, while the 30-year offers less than 1%.

Coronavirus Headlines Spook Stock Market Despite Some Good News

As the economic impact of the coronavirus ripples around the globe, the Dow Jones appears trapped in a downward spiral. Negative COVID-19 headlines continue to spook investors, overshadowing positive developments in the process.

Firstly, the good news.

China has claimed that of all its confirmed cases, only 30% have yet to recover. Assuming that’s true, it’s excellent news for Dow bulls buying the dip and hoping for a v-shaped recovery in the global economy.

Source: Twitter

Unfortunately, many traders on Wall Street are skeptical of Chinese data. That likely explains why the stock market seems to have ignored it.

Hans van Cleef, senior energy economist at ABN AMRO, believes that the economic drag from China’s slowdown will endure. He said:

Although activity in China has partially restarted again, we do see a considerably lower number of flights towards the region. The broader travel and tourism industry also starting to feel the effects.

We expect that the negative impact on the economy – and thus on oil demand – will continue and therefore we have downwardly revised most of our growth forecasts for the first and second quarter of this year.

Bulls also failed to seize on the prospect of crisis-level fiscal stimulus measures from the Trump administration.

The Dow Jones is crying out for a more dynamic health response, not more positive dialogue, and it responded very poorly to reports that Trump was inviting Wall Street executives to the White House.

Monday’s batch of negative coronavirus headlines comes primarily from Europe. Italy has millions of people under quarantine in Northern Italy, and its death rate continues to rise sharply. Investors fear a similar scenario could materialize in North America if a more earnest health response doesn’t take effect soon.

Perhaps the worst news for the Dow Jones came from the World Health Organization (WHO), which said that the recovery period for those infected with COVID-19 is a whopping six weeks.

Even if the virus isn’t alarmingly deadly, this prolonged recovery period makes it particularly burdensome on an economy trying to get back online.

Adding to concerns, Dr. Nancy Messonnier of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said that “many people in the United States” will contract COVID-19.

It’s fair to say that, as the trajectory of the outbreak continues, many people in the United States will at some point in time, either this year or next, be exposed to this virus. And there’s a good chance many will become sick.

Dow Stocks: Bloodbath in Oil and Finance

The Dow 30 saw absolute carnage on Monday, and energy companies Chevron (-13.6%) and Exxon Mobil (-9.8%) were smashed by the slide in crude oil.

As interest rate expectations plunged, Goldman Sachs (-10.9%) and JP Morgan Chase (-13.4%) crashed with bond yields.

Apple dove 6.7%, which actually made it the 15th-best performing stock in the 30-member index. Although it has fallen below $270 share, AAPL still looks like a relative haven given the market turmoil.

The only stock in the entire Dow Jones to rally was domestic play Walmart (+0.1%), but even the budget supermarket spent the day oscillating between gains and losses.

This article was edited by Josiah Wilmoth.

Francois Aure @bullishtulips

Financial speculator & author living in the hills in Los Angeles. J.D. but very much not a lawyer. Favorite trading books are anything written by Jack Schwager. Email: bullishtulips@gmail.com,

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