Key Takeaways
Stellar (XLM) is showing renewed strength after successfully avoiding a deeper market correction. The coin is currently hovering around $0.16, with trading volume up 48% over the past 24 hours.
Although volatility across the crypto market has recently increased, XLM continues to defend critical support levels. Now, bulls are gradually shifting their focus toward the $0.20 mark as momentum builds again.
XLM’s price is struggling to regain bullish momentum after repeated rejections around the $0.17 resistance zone. The asset currently trades near $0.16, holding above the major $0.15 support level.
However, upside strength remains limited.
On the 4-hour chart, price action shows lower highs forming after the recent rally attempt. This indicates that buyers are gradually losing control.
In addition, Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) stays below the zero line at -0.18, confirming that selling pressure still dominates the market.
Meanwhile, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) is beginning to recover from deep negative territory.
Although this suggests weakening bearish momentum, bulls have not yet produced a confirmed breakout signal.

If XLM’s price fails to reclaim $0.17, another decline toward $0.16 or even $0.15 could follow.
On the upside, a successful breakout above resistance may open the door for a move toward the $0.17 region.
The derivatives market remains cautious despite price stabilization near $0.16.
The funding rate continues to fluctuate around neutral territory, suggesting that bullish conviction remains weak across perpetual futures markets.
More importantly, recent negative funding spikes suggest short sellers remain active, even as downside momentum begins to slow.
Meanwhile, XLM price action continues to trade near multi-month lows following its prolonged decline from the July rally peak.
However, the fading intensity of negative funding may indicate that bearish pressure is gradually fading.

In addition, periods of positive funding have become more frequent, hinting at improving speculative sentiment.
Still, bulls need sustained positive positioning to confirm a broader recovery structure.
XLM avoided a deeper correction after holding firmly above the long-term $0.13 support zone, reinforcing signs of seller exhaustion across the daily timeframe.
Although XLM remained under a descending trendline at press time, price action stabilized near $0.16, suggesting that bulls are gradually regaining control.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered around 46, reflecting neutral momentum while leaving room for another upside attempt.
At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remained slightly bearish, although fading histogram pressure indicated weakening downside momentum.
This structure showed that aggressive selling had slowed considerably compared to previous months.
If buyers maintain current support levels, XLM’s price could attempt a recovery toward the $0.20 psychological region before challenging the $0.21 Fibonacci resistance level.

However, failure to sustain momentum may expose the asset to another retest near $0.13.
Still, improving market structure and reduced volatility continue to support a cautiously bullish near-term outlook.