Key Takeaways
Stellar (XLM) spent weeks being told no by the same descending resistance line. It kept testing. It kept getting rejected.
However, as of this writing, XLM’s price has changed its trend. At the time of writing, it trades at $0.18, up 15% over the past 30 days.
Interestingly, it does not seem the rally is over, as indicators suggest the altcoin could trade higher.
On the 4-hour chart, XLM is approaching the top of a horizontal consolidation structure between roughly $0.15 and $0.18. Such formations often precede large directional moves.
As shown below, XLM’s price is now pressing against resistance after printing a sequence of impulsive green candles. Notably, the altcoin has broken above the upper trendline of a descending channel.
Previously, the coin had also formed a rounding bottom, and now, it has surged past the neckline near $0.16.
More importantly, the higher-low formation since mid-April strengthens the breakout case.
Meanwhile, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) remains above zero at 0.03. That matters because positive CMF readings suggest buying pressure continues to outweigh distribution.
Although the indicator has cooled from recent highs, it has not slipped into negative territory. Therefore, capital inflows still support the broader bullish setup.
In addition, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) remains positive. Green histogram bars show buyers retain control, even as momentum moderates.

If bulls flip $0.18 into support, the measured move from the range could push the price toward $0.22, representing nearly 20% upside from current levels.
Still, rejection at resistance could delay that move and send XLM’s price back toward $0.17 before another breakout attempt.
On the daily chart, XLM is showing early signs of recovery after an extended period of bearish pressure, with the price now rebounding toward the $0.18 level.
This shift comes after a prolonged downtrend marked by lower highs, though recent price action hints at weakening seller dominance.
Gradually, buyers are stepping in from the $0.14 base, establishing a short-term floor.
However, upside remains constrained. The $0.20-$0.24 zone, aligned with key Fibonacci levels, remains a strong resistance barrier.
As XLM’s price approaches this region, rejection risks increase. Meanwhile, momentum indicators are turning supportive.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has flipped bullish with expanding histogram bars, suggesting strengthening momentum.
In addition, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has pushed above 60, reflecting rising buying pressure.

Even so, confirmation is still lacking. However, this does not mean that the XLM price will fail to breach the overhead resistance.
Should this trend persist, the altcoin could surge past $0.20 and approach $0.24 soon.
Unless XLM’s price breaks above overhead resistance, the current move could stall and evolve into another lower high within the broader downtrend.