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U.S. Treasury Yields Freeze After British Parliament Forces Another Brexit Delay

Last Updated September 23, 2020 1:13 PM
Sam Bourgi
Last Updated September 23, 2020 1:13 PM

U.S. government debt yields stabilized on Wednesday, as demand for equities waned over concerns of a dysfunctional Brexit process.

Treasury Yields Little Changed

The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note reached a session low of 1.73% on Wednesday, according to CNBC data. It was last seen at 1.766%, where it was unchanged.

10 year Treasury
U.S. Treasury yields stabilize on Wednesday. Yields rise as bond prices fall. | Chart: CNBC

The yield on the 2-year Treasury note hovered within a narrow range, eventually settling at 1.584%.

Bond yields have risen over the past two months, correcting a frightful inversion that sparked concerns of an imminent downturn in the U.S. economy. While the so-called ‘recession indicator’ has corrected itself, the yield curve still portends recession in the long term.

Another Brexit Delay

Less than a week ago, markets were celebrating the prospect of a smooth Brexit after British Prime Minister Boris Johnson struck a deal with his European Union (EU) counterparts to exit the political union once and for all. Although British parliament accepted the draft Brexit deal in principle, it forced the prime minister to ask the EU for a three-month delay.

European Council President Donald Tusk has come out in support of the extension, but there is a chance that some EU members will demand a shorter exit timetable.

Johnson’s Brexit deal gives Northern Ireland customs checks at the point of entry, enabling continuity with the neighboring Republic of Ireland.

When Johnson became prime minister this summer, he vowed to exit the EU by Oct. 31. Delays in the Brexit process under former Prime Minister Theresa May had a negative impact on business sentiment. In the second quarter, Britain’s economy contracted  for the first time in seven years.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expects Britain’s economy to expand just 1.2% in 2019, provided Brexit is finalized.