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Dow Futures & Bitcoin Look Shaky as US Celebrates Market Holiday

Last Updated March 4, 2021 2:51 PM
Josiah Wilmoth
Last Updated March 4, 2021 2:51 PM

By CCN.com: The US stock market is closed today in observance of Martin Luther King Jr. Day, but Dow futures pointed south after China’s growth fell to a nearly three-decade low. The cryptocurrency market, which never takes a breather, also remained bearish following Sunday’s pullback, leaving the bitcoin price uncomfortably close to the $3,500 mark.

Dow Futures Slump as China Confirms Slowing Economic Growth

As of 9:15 am ET, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down 96 points after flashing triple-digit losses earlier in the trading session, implying a decline of 87.35 points at Tuesday’s opening bell. S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures also pointed to Tuesday declines.

dow jones futures nasdaq s&P 500
Dow Jones Industrial Average (blue), S&P 500 (red), and Nasdaq (orange) futures all traded down on Monday’s US stock market holiday.

Last Friday, the three major US stock market indices had all risen by at least 1 percent, with the Dow pounding to a 336.25 point gain to close at 24,706.35.

On Monday, though, the futures markets hiccuped after China published data indicating that its economy had grown by 6.6 percent in 2018, its lowest rate in nearly three decades.

The English-language version of the Global Times lauded  the growth rate, noting that it slightly exceeded the 6.5 percent annual target officials had set at the beginning of the year. The publication alleged that the GDP growth showed the “resilience of the Chinese economy amid the lingering trade tensions with the US and a weaker global demand.”

Outside of China, however, the reaction was less positive. While the data largely matched what economists had anticipated, it nevertheless confirmed that the world’s second-largest economy is slowing down. In addition to being the fourth consecutive year that China had achieved GDP expansion below 7 percent, 2018’s GDP represented the least growth since 1990.

Analysts who combed through China’s economic data dump found some positive talking points, including month-over-month increases in industrial output and retail sales in December. Nevertheless, barring a turnaround, the stock market should open lower when trading resumes on Tuesday.

Trader Confirms Bitcoin Price Below ‘GTFO’ Level

Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies have also disappointed bulls during the early portion of the weekly trading session, with the aggregate crypto market cap down $5 billion from Sunday’s intraday high.

Mark Dow, a former IMF economist and a noted cryptocurrency bear, confirmed that the bitcoin price had reached his “GTFO” level — the point at which the asset’s technical dynamics are so poor that even the most ardent bulls should throw in the towel.

Not every technical analyst is quite so bearish as Dow, but short-term sentiment is poor across the board, and many traders believe that the bitcoin price could test its 2018 low at $3,122 before the bleeding subsides.

As of the time of writing, bitcoin was trading at $3,537 on Bitstamp, representing a loss of around 5 percent since Saturday and 1.39 percent since last Monday.

bitcoin price
The bitcoin price is in dangerous waters, at least according to Mark Dow.

The majority of other large-cap cryptocurrencies saw weekly declines as well, though a few — including tron and cardano — managed to secure week-over-week gains of around 3 percent. One outlier was binance coin (BNB), whose price surged by 10.61 percent over the course of the week after the eponymous cryptocurrency exchange purchased and destroyed another batch of BNB tokens using a portion of its quarterly profits.

Featured Image from Shutterstock. Price Charts from TradingView .