Toncoin Price Prediction 2025: Pavel Durov Updates May Fuel TON Price Recovery

Key Takeaways

• Toncoin’s TON hit a high in June 2024 but has fallen since then.
• The Telegram-linked platform announced plans for its Layer-2 in January, but TON is still down.
• Telegram founder Pavel Durov was told he could leave France, where he is under investigation, in March. 
• Our price predictions suggest that Toncoin could reach $8 this year.
• Interested in buying or selling TONCOIN TON? Read our review of the best exchanges to buy and sell TONCOIN TON.

Telegram developers founded Toncoin’s TON coin after the app’s original Gram crypto, also known as TON, was deemed an unregistered security by the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). 

The Toncoin blockchain caught people’s attention in September 2024 as excitement built ahead of the Hamster Kombat (HMSTR) token airdrop.

However, once HMSTR came out, TON dropped somewhat. It made another recovery later in the year, breaking past $6 in early December before starting a collapse that continued into the new year.

Not even the unveiling of Toncoin’s 2025 roadmap , which featured the news that Toncoin would start to work on its own Layer-2 scaling solution, could halt the decline.

However, the news that Telegram founder Pavel Durov was free to leave France on a short-term basis, despite being under investigation by the French authorities, gave some TON respite from the downturn and, on March 17, 2025, Toncoin was worth about $3.40,

Let’s examine our TON price predictions, made on March 17, 2025. We will also analyze the TON price history and discuss what TON is and does.

Toncoin Price Prediction

Let’s look at the TON price predictions made by CCN on March 17, 2025. While we take the utmost care with our price forecasts, we need to remind you that price predictions, especially when it comes to something as potentially volatile as cryptocurrency, very often end up wrong. 

TON Price Prediction 2025

Toncoin’s potential breakout from its prolonged downtrend suggests a shift toward bullish momentum, with key resistance levels acting as stepping stones.

If TON successfully reclaims the $4.72 level and maintains momentum, it could reach $8, but failure to hold above $2.68 may push it toward $2.37.

TON Price Prediction 2026

With growing adoption and further bullish confirmations, TON could stabilize around $6.50, assuming it breaks key Fibonacci resistances.

A continued uptrend beyond $8.00 could push it toward $12, while bearish rejections or market downturns may keep it around $3.50.

TON Price Prediction 2030

By 2030, Toncoin’s long-term price potential depends on network adoption, ecosystem growth, and overall market conditions.

If bullish momentum continues, TON could surge to $20, while slower adoption may see it stabilizing near $10 or correcting back to $5.

TON Price Analysis

Toncoin has been in a prolonged downtrend, forming a descending channel since peaking at $8.28. The recent bounce from the 0.786 Fibonacci support at $2.68 suggests a potential trend reversal, marking the end of a WXY correction.

The rally to $3.50 signals early bullish momentum, but confirmation requires a breakout above the channel’s resistance.

Since March 11, the RSI has turned upwards from oversold conditions, reflecting increased buying pressure. TON faces key resistance at $3.88. A breakout could propel it to $4.72 and $5.56.

If rejected, a retest of $2.68 is likely, with a break below this level invalidating the bullish outlook and targeting $2.37.

Short-term TON Price Prediction

On the one-hour chart, TON is in a five-wave impulse sequence, with Wave Three finishing at $3.61 and Wave Four in progress.

Support lies at $3.14 and $2.99. If it holds above support, wave five could push towards at least $4.12. However, a drop below $2.84 would weaken the bullish case.

Toncoin’s recent breakout hints at a trend shift, but overcoming key resistances is essential for sustained upside.

The Toncoin price prediction for the next 24 hours hinges on wave four’s pullback.

Looking for a safe place to buy and sell TONCOIN TON? See the leading platforms for buying and selling TONCOIN TON

Toncoin Average True Range (ATR): TON Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close over a period, typically 14 days.

A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility.

On March 17, 2025, the ATR for TON was 0.283, a sign of relatively low volatility.

Toncoin Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is TON Overbought or Oversold?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator traders use to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold.

Movements above 70 and below 30 show over and undervaluation, respectively. Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

On March 17, 2025, TON’s RSI was 53, indicating a slightly bullish trend.

Toncoin Market Cap to TVL Ratio

The Total Value Locked (TVL) to market cap ratio (TVL ratio) measures the valuation of a decentralized finance (DeFi) project by comparing its market capitalization to the total value of assets locked in its smart contracts. This ratio shows the project’s utilization and links the platform’s health to locked asset value.

A ratio above 1.0 indicates overvaluation because the market cap exceeds the value of assets used in the platform. A ratio below 1.0 indicates undervaluation because the market cap is lower than the value of locked assets.

On March 17, 2025, the Toncoin TVL ratio was about 49.7, suggesting overvaluation.

Best Days and Months to Buy Toncoin

We examined the Toncoin price history and found the lowest points on certain days, months, quarters, and weeks in the year, indicating the best times to buy TON.

Toncoin Price Performance Comparisons

Toncoin is a blockchain coin, so let’s compare it to other cryptos in the same category with similar market caps.

TON Price History

Let’s examine some key dates in the Toncoin price history . While past performance should never be taken as an indicator of future results, knowing what TON has done in the past can help give us some much-needed context when making or interpreting a Toncoin price prediction.

Toncoin Market Cap

The market capitalization, or market cap, is the sum of the total number of TON coins in circulation multiplied by their price.

On March 17, 2025, Toncoin’s market cap was $8.44 billion, making it the 14th-largest crypto by that metric.

Who Owns the Most Toncoin (TON)?

As of March 17, 2025, one wallet held more than 25% of the supply of Toncoin.

Richest TON Wallet Addresses

On March 17, 2025, the five wallets with the most Toncoin  were

• EQDtFpEwcFAEcRe5mLVh2N6C0x-_hJEM7W61_JLnSF74p4q2. This wallet held 1,317,379,090 TON or 25.71% of the supply.
• Ef8zMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzMzM0vF. This wallet held 695,473,774 TON or 13.57% of the supply.
• EQBmzW4wYlFW0tiBgj5sP1CgSlLdYs-VpjPWM7oPYPYWQEdT. This wallet held 531,223,651 TON, or 10.37% of the supply.
• EQCMOXxD-f8LSWWbXQowKxqTr3zMY-X1wMTyWp3B-LR6s3Va. This wallet held 164,689,375 TON, or 3.22% of the supply.
• Ef_mlXHnufWO3-vvopflR_NpIFMiidvp_xt20Qf8usMBBKzB. This wallet held 112,400,332 TON or 2.19% of the supply.

Toncon Supply and Distribution

From the Toncoin Whitepaper

In its technical documentation or whitepaper , Toncoin says it aims to be fast, efficient, and easy to use. 

It says, “The Open Network (TON) is a fast, secure, and scalable blockchain and network project capable of handling millions of transactions per second if necessary. It is both user-friendly and service-provider-friendly. We aim for it to be able to host all reasonable applications currently proposed and conceived.”

“One might think about TON as a huge distributed supercomputer, or rather a huge super server, intended to host and provide a variety of services.”

A group of Telegram developers founded Toncoin, while Pavel and Nikolai Durov founded Telegram.

Toncoin (TON) Explained

One of blockchain’s key features is privacy. Therefore, it is perhaps inevitable that organizations that also promote privacy and encryption have embraced blockchain technology. 

One such organization is the Telegram messaging app. In 2018, Telegram started work on its own blockchain, the Telegraph Open Network, which was to be supported by the gram (TON) coin. 

Unfortunately, it fell foul of the SEC, which found that TON was an unregistered security. 

All was not lost, though. Telegram developers founded an open-source platform called Newton, which was renamed The Open Network and properly launched in 2021. It was supported by the Toncoin (TON) cryptocurrency.

How Toncoin Works

The Open Network is based on a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, meaning people add blocks to the blockchain, verify transactions, and earn rewards based on how much TON they hold. 

The platform promises transaction speeds of less than one second, making it potentially one of the quickest blockchains around. 

Toncoin is used to pay for network transactions and data storage. Holders can vote on network changes and stake or set it aside in return for rewards. 

Is Toncoin a Good Investment?

It is hard to say. Although Toncoin has dropped since reaching a high, that wasn’t long ago, and it could climb even higher.

On the other hand, its lineage might lead to confusion with Gram, a coin the SEC has branded an unregistered security. 

That said, The Open Network is one of the fastest blockchains out there and does have some genuine potential. Its native coin is also versatile, which might stand it in good stead in the long run.

The fallout from Telegram CEO Pavel Durov’s arrest could also affect the TON price. With Durov now able to leave France, his supporters will hope that French authorities will drop the investigation into his activities.

As always with crypto, you should do your own research before deciding whether or not to invest in TON.

Will Toncoin go up or down?

No one can really tell right now. While the Toncoin crypto price predictions are largely positive, price predictions have a well-earned reputation for being wrong. Keep in mind that prices can and do go down and up. 

Should I invest in Toncoin?

Before deciding whether to invest in Toncoin, you must research TON and other related coins and tokens, such as Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). Either way, you must also ensure you never invest more money than you can afford to lose.

Technical analysis by Nikola Lazic.

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