Cardano Price Prediction 2025: ADA All-Time High Could Be in Sight

Key Takeaways

• The price of Cardano spiked after founder Charles Hoskinson said he would be opening a Washington office.
• There are also rumors that President-elect Donald Trump will appoint Hoskinson to his administration.
• Our Cardano price predictions suggest ADA could reach a new all-time high in 2025.

Cardano’s ADA token saw a surge in November 2024, fueled by rumors that US President-elect Donald Trump would appoint the platform’s founder, Charles Hoskinson, to his cabinet.

In response, Hoskinson revealed plans to open a Washington office and expressed his intent to collaborate with the incoming administration.

However, a market downturn in December 2024 and early January 2025 reversed the gains, and by Jan. 8, 2025, ADA was valued at approximately $0.974.

Let’s explore our price predictions for Cardano as of Jan. 8, 2025, delve into ADA’s price history, and discuss what ADA is and how it functions.

Cardano Price Prediction

Let’s look at the CCN price prediction for ADA made on Jan. 8. The predictions will be made using the wave count method. Then, we will add and remove 20% from the final targets to create the minimum and maximum targets. 

The most likely wave count suggests that ADA started a five-wave increase (white) in June 2023. If so, it is completing wave three in this structure. Using the length of these movements, we can forecast that the ensuing high will be reached in Sept. 2025.

With the extension of wave one, the top for wave three is forecasted at $2.34, while that for the entire movement is $4.94. Then, we forecast another lengthy correction.

Considering these predicted upward and downward movements, we arrive at an ADA price prediction of $3.80 and $0.88 for the end of 2025 and 2026, respectively.

Finally, we use the rate of increase for the past five years to make a Cardano price prediction for the end of 2030.

The ADA price has increased by 571% since January 2019, leading to a daily rate of increase of 0.31%. Projecting this rate of increase until the end of 2030 leads to a price of $3.33. Adding and removing 20% to this target leads to our minimum and maximum Cardano price predictions.

Cardano Price Prediction for 2025

The wave count method gives a Cardano price prediction range between $3.054 and $4.56 for the end of 2025.

Cardano Price Prediction for 2025

The wave count method gives a Cardano price prediction range between $0.70 and $1.06 for the end of 2026.

Cardano Price Prediction for 2030

The ADA price prediction for the end of 2030 uses the current rate of increase. If a similar rate of increase continues for the foreseeable future, a price between $2.70 and $3.96 is likely.

Cardano Price Analysis

The daily chart is undetermined. This is because the ADA price has broken out from a descending resistance trend line but was rejected by the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance level. This level often acts as the top if the upward movement is corrective.

So, until the ADA price clears, the trend cannot be confirmed as bullish.

One reason making the ADA prediction lean bullish is the daily RSI and MACD. The RSI just moved above 50, and the MACD made a bullish cross. This previously led to a 300% ADA price increase.

Short-Term Cardano Price Prediction

The ADA price prediction for the next 24 hours is undetermined. Whether the price moves above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance level or continues the rejection instead will determine the future trend’s direction.

Cardano RSI: Is ADA Overbought or Oversold?

The RSI is a momentum indicator traders use to determine whether the trend is overbought or oversold. Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

On Jan. 8, Cardano’s RSI was 49, indicating neutral conditions.

Cardano Average True Range (ATR): ADA Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close over a period, typically 14 days.

A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility. Since ATR values can be higher for higher-priced assets, normalize ATR by dividing it by the asset price to compare volatility across different price levels.

On Jan. 8, Cardano’s ATR was 0.08, implying average volatility.

Cardano Market Cap to TVL Ratio

The Total Value Locked (TVL) to market cap ratio (TVL ratio) measures the valuation of a decentralized finance (DeFi) project by comparing its market capitalization to the total value of assets locked in its smart contracts.

This ratio shows the project’s utilization and links the platform’s health to locked asset value. A ratio above 1.0 indicates overvaluation because the market cap exceeds the value of the platform’s assets.

A ratio below 1.0 indicates undervaluation because the market cap is lower than the value of locked assets. On Jan. 8, the Cardano TVL ratio was 67.91, suggesting severe overvaluation.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines an array of advanced market signals to measure the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over the last 30 days.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

• 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
• 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
• 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
• 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
• 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate stronger volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes. The same principle applies to rapid declines: a sudden drop will spike the score downward, but as volatility decreases, the score will slowly adjust back up.

On Jan. 8, Cardano scored 36.7 on the CCN Index, suggesting moderate momentum.

Best Days and Months to Buy ADA

We looked at the ADA price history and found the lowest prices on certain days, months, quarters, and even weeks in the year, indicating the best times to buy ADA.

ADA Performance Comparison

Cardano is a blockchain for smart contracts. Let’s compare it with other projects in the same category with similar market capitalizations.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Cardano

CCN’s Senior Research Analyst, Toghrul Aliyev, looked at Cardano and discovered the following advantages and disadvantages.

Advantages of Cardano

• High Nakamoto Coefficient: Cardano demonstrates strong decentralization with a coefficient exceeding 200 when evaluating decentralization using the Nakamoto Coefficient. It is a well-distributed blockchain network, as the largest pool controls only about 0.17%  of the total supply.
• Research-Driven Development : Cardano collaborates with top academics for peer-reviewed research, uses formal methods (mathematical techniques to ensure software correctness), and employs interdisciplinary teams (experts from various fields) to create a secure and reliable blockchain.
• Reliable and Secure Code: Haskell’s strong typing system catches errors early, making the code reliable and reducing bugs. The language structure allows for formal verification so developers can mathematically prove the code works correctly, enhancing security. Additionally, Haskell’s code tends to be clean and easy to maintain because of its concise and clear syntax. Haskell also supports concurrent programming, which helps it handle many tasks simultaneously and is useful for building scalable and efficient applications.
• Energy Efficiency : Cardano is 24 times more efficient than Bitcoin and consumes only about 2.596 GWh across its 3,110 pools.
• Parallel Processing and State Efficiency with UTXO Model: Cardano uses the UTXO model to store user balances, allowing for efficient parallel transaction processing. In this model, transactions can be processed independently if they involve different coins, enhancing scalability. Additionally, the UTXO model helps prevent state bloat by requiring more ADA to store larger amounts of data and limiting the maximum state size. Cardano’s blockchain is more efficient than account-based models, where parallelizing transactions are more complex, and state bloat is a significant issue.
• Low Inflation Rate: Cardano boasts a low inflation rate, officially set at 3% per year. However, historical data from CoinMarketCap  indicates an actual inflation rate of around 2.31% over the past year.

Disadvantages of Cardano

• Slower Development Speed: While beneficial for security and reliability, the thorough and meticulous development process takes considerable time. This results in a slower development pace compared to competitors.
• Challenges in adopting Haskell: Learning Haskell can be tough for developers who are used to more common programming styles, as it uses a functional programming approach. Haskell might not be as fast as languages like C++ for specific tasks in some situations. Lastly, the Haskell community and its library and tool ecosystem are smaller than more popular languages, so finding resources and support can be more difficult.
• Token Distribution and Centralization: Around 80% of ADA is in circulation, with broad ownership among individual investors. However, around 30%  of this circulating supply lies with the top 300 addresses, which raises concerns about centralization and influence by a small number of entities.

• Low Adoption: Cardano historically averages around 30,000 daily active addresses, which indicates very low adoption compared to its competitors.

• Intense Competition: Cardano competes in the Proof of Stake industry with major players like Ethereum, Solana, and Avalanche. The fierce competition challenges Cardano’s ability to attract developers, users, and investments, potentially limiting its growth and market share.
• Scalability Issues: Cardano faces scalability challenges, which can hinder its ability to efficiently handle a high volume of transactions. Despite its innovative design and use of the Ouroboros PoS protocol, the network still struggles with throughput and latency compared to some of its competitors.
• Lack of Slashing Penalties: In Cardano’s Proof of Stake protocol, the absence of slashing penalties means that validators face no punishment for adding blocks to conflicting forks. While this approach enhances user experience by reducing risks for stakers, it compromises security. Without slashing, the protocol becomes more susceptible to bribe attacks and collusion between validators.

ADA Price History

Let’s examine Cardano’s price history  more closely. While past performance doesn’t necessarily indicate future results, understanding what Cardano has done can help us contextualize future predictions.

Cardano Market Cap

The market capitalization, or market cap, is the sum of the total number of ADA in circulation multiplied by their price.

On Nov. 11, 2024, ADA’s market cap was about $21 billion, making it the ninth-largest crypto by that metric.

Who Owns the Most Cardano (ADA)?

On Jan. 8, one wallet held more than 4% of the Cardano supply.

Richest ADA Wallet Addresses

As of Jan. 8, the five richest Cardano wallet addresses  were

• addr1q8elqhkuvtyelgcedpup58r893awhg3l87a4rz5d5acatuj9y84nruafrmta2rewd5l46g8zxy4l49ly8kye79ddr3ksqal. This wallet held 1,871,132,230 ADA or 4.16% of the supply.
• addr1q9cp6hfrsvqc0jn9eeskdtk3l7usqaa35lm925f7usqtzhnsr4wj8qcpsl9xtnnpv6hdrlaeqpmmrflk24gnaeqqk90qjgx. This wallet held 875,257,942 ADA or 1.95% of the supply.
• addr1q8hsff3uwtphx7dtya7unjwjwug52e5jvqp09je6pwqx8k4jvuxrw2x5rr7e258a33yzkrhhlrrc5ezvd2z7qtdq0gasme4. This wallet held 452,300,055 ADA or 1.01% of the supply.
• addr1q88ysqegp378eag7fauv5zyjvvuy8mca3dc0925hv0nzl8qp0jwyns8qwzf5dqtdlwkv7qt5upzcyfmd5yl43s89txvse89. This wallet held 289,874,246 ADA or 0.64% of the supply.
• addr1qyygqeeund4he53cqhysdltuc0j6xgxlfu3hj98z4704jsakjp4htgx7ydh0h4ulzfdq6krx7vzm27av7z56fg3rv55qg5j. This wallet held 268,800,842 ADA or 0.6% of the supply.

Cardano Supply and Distribution

From the Cardano Whitepaper

Cardano says in its technical documentation or whitepaper that scientific research is at the heart of everything it does. 

It says: “Cardano is a decentralized third-generation proof-of-stake blockchain platform and home to the ADA cryptocurrency. It is the first blockchain platform to evolve from a scientific philosophy and a research-first-driven approach.

“The Cardano platform has been designed from the ground up and verified by an industry-leading combination of top engineers and academic experts in blockchain and cryptography. It has a strong focus on sustainability, scalability, and transparency. It is a fully open-source project that aims to deliver an inclusive, fair, and resilient infrastructure for financial and social applications on a global scale. One of its primary goals is to bring reliable, secure financial services to those people who do not currently have access.”

Cardano (ADA) Explained

In the world of cryptocurrency, pretty much everything is powered by the blockchain. This decentralized ledger is so key to crypto that people outside the crypto-sphere use the two terms interchangeably.

Blockchains can be split into two. Some use the Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism.

This is where people add blocks to the chain and earn crypto by solving increasingly complex mathematical equations. Others use Proof-of-Stake (PoS).

This sees people choosing to add blocks based on how much of the crypto they already hold.

PoS is a newer method of working that is seen as more environmentally friendly. One of the most notable PoS blockchains is Cardano.

How Cardano Works

Cardano has several features that help it stand out. First, it bases its developments on computer research, publishing its reports in peer-reviewed papers. Second, it features smart contracts and computer programs that automatically execute when certain conditions are met. These were introduced in September 2021.

It is powered by its native token, ADA, named after 19th-century computing pioneer Ada Lovelace. Cardano rewards people with ADA for adding blocks to the blockchain.

ADA holders can either vote on proposals regarding the network or delegate their voting rights in return for more rewards. 

Cardano uses a consensus mechanism called Ouroboros. The system itself has two layers. The first, known as the Cardano Settlement Layer (CSL), is responsible for recording transactions and facilitating the transfer of the ADA coin.

The second, called Cardano Computational Layer (CCL), uses smart contract technology that developers can use to transfer funds.

Additionally, the network accommodates three types of users. The first type is more nodes, which govern the Cardano blockchain. The second type is relay nodes, which help transfer data between the mCore nodes and the internet. Meanwhile, the third type is edge nodes, which are responsible for creating cryptocurrency transactions.

Is Cardano a Good Investment?

It is hard to say. Until recently, both Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) had outpaced it in terms of year-on-year growth, even if recent events have pushed things more in ADA’s favor, at least with regard to ETH.

A lot will depend on whether the proposed Plomin hard fork  gets voted through.

Will Cardano Go Up or Down?

No one can really tell right now. While the Cardano crypto price predictions are largely positive, price predictions have a well-earned reputation for being wrong. Keep in mind that prices can and do go down and up.

Should I Invest in Cardano?

Before you decide whether or not to invest in Bitcoin, you will have to do your own research, not only on BTC but on other related coins and tokens such as Ethereum (ETH). Either way, you must also ensure you never invest more money than you can afford to lose.

Technical analysis by Valdrin Tahiri.

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