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XRP Bulls Eye $30 as Ripple CLO Reiterates 2023 Court Win and 2026 Commodity Status

Published 16 September 2026
Giuseppe Ciccomascolo
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Key Takeaways
  • Ripple CLO Stuart Alderoty says XRP’s regulatory position remains intact despite the CLARITY Act’s failure.
  • Alderoty also highlighted the SEC and CFTC’s 2026 treatment of XRP as a digital commodity.
  • XRP bull Jake Claver is targeting $20 to $30, though reaching those levels would imply a market capitalization well above $1 trillion.

XRP bulls are reviving ambitious price targets of as much as $30 after Ripple Chief Legal Officer Stuart Alderoty argued that the cryptocurrency remains on firm regulatory ground despite the US Senate’s failure to advance the CLARITY Act.

Alderoty said the setback in Congress does not change XRP’s existing legal position, pointing to both Ripple’s landmark 2023 court ruling and a March 2026 interpretation issued by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) alongside the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).

“Don’t forget – Ripple and XRP stand on settled ground,” Alderoty wrote on X. “The 2023 federal Court ruling established XRP is not a security.”

His characterization simplifies a more nuanced ruling: the federal court found that XRP itself was not inherently a security and that Ripple’s programmatic exchange sales did not constitute securities transactions, while Ripple’s direct institutional sales constituted unregistered securities offerings.

The renewed regulatory focus comes as some XRP traders continue to promote aggressive upside scenarios. XRP advocate Jake Claver said he is targeting a longer-term price between $20 and $30, while outlining a potential path through $1.17, $1.90, $3.10 and eventually $5.20.

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Ripple CLO Points to XRP’s Commodity Treatment

Alderoty also highlighted an important regulatory development that arrived earlier this year.

In March, the SEC and CFTC issued a joint interpretation addressing the regulatory treatment of crypto assets, with XRP identified as a digital commodity.

Alderoty argued that the development gives XRP a clearer regulatory foundation even without the CLARITY Act, adding that he expects future SEC and CFTC rulemaking to continue establishing clearer rules for the industry.

The distinction echoes the central issue in Ripple’s long-running litigation with the SEC.

In July 2023, Judge Analisa Torres ruled that XRP itself was not inherently an investment contract. Ripple’s institutional XRP sales violated securities laws, but its programmatic sales through exchanges did not satisfy the same test.

The case became one of the most consequential legal battles in the US crypto industry, providing XRP with a degree of judicial clarity that many other major cryptocurrencies lacked.

CLARITY Failure Leaves Agencies in Focus

The regulatory backdrop has become more important after the Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act on Sept. 15.

Some XRP supporters argue that the failed legislation does not prevent development of the XRP Ledger or use of XRP under existing rules.

Community member Mr. Cauliman said builders should focus on payments, marketplaces and other applications rather than waiting for Congress, arguing that the “rails are live” and XRP holders need to make use of the infrastructure already available.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse similarly said the company would continue engaging with the SEC and CFTC as the agencies develop rules intended to fill gaps left by Congress.

Garlinghouse described the failed CLARITY vote as disappointing but maintained that Ripple’s business remains strong, pointing to demand from traditional finance and the wider digital asset ecosystem.

The distinction is significant. Agency interpretations and rulemaking can provide regulatory guidance, while comprehensive market-structure legislation could establish a more durable statutory framework.

XRP Bulls Revive $20 to $30 Price Target

Against that regulatory backdrop, XRP bulls are again discussing substantially higher valuations.

Claver said he intends to continue accumulating XRP below $3 and considers $20 to $30 sufficient for his personal investment objectives.

In another post, he mapped a potential progression from $1.34 to $1.17, followed by advances toward $1.90, $3.10 and $5.20.

However, these levels remain speculative targets rather than outcomes supported by the regulatory developments themselves. Commodity treatment does not automatically translate into higher demand or price appreciation.

For XRP to approach $20 or $30, adoption and capital inflows would have to increase dramatically. With tens of billions of XRP already circulating, such prices would imply a market capitalization well above $1 trillion, depending on circulating supply at the time.

The immediate argument from Ripple is therefore less about price than regulatory continuity: Congress may have failed to advance CLARITY, but XRP enters the post-vote environment with substantially more defined US regulatory treatment than it had when the SEC sued Ripple in 2020.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Giuseppe Ciccomascolo

Giuseppe Ciccomascolo began his career as an investigative journalist in Italy, where he contributed to both local and national newspapers, focusing on various financial sectors.

Upon relocating to London, he worked as an analyst for Fitch's CapitalStructure and later as a Senior Reporter for Alliance News. In 2017, Giuseppe transitioned to covering cryptocurrency-related news, producing documentaries and articles on Bitcoin and other emerging digital currencies. He also played a pivotal role in establishing the academy for a cryptocurrency exchange website. Crypto remained his primary area of interest throughout his tenure as a writer for ThirdFloor.

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