Can XRP Burn Its Way to $100? The Numbers Tell a Shocking Story

Key Takeaways

Bullish commentary highlights XRP’s transaction burns as a potential source of growing scarcity.
Calculations using CryptoTuts’ data show approximately 24,745 XRP burned between its Sept. 15 and Oct. 15 snapshots.
Even at 1,000 times the activity, the annualization would be roughly 0.3% of the remaining supply, assuming average fees remain unchanged.

XRP bulls have been amplifying an argument that growing network usage could boost the token’s scarcity by permanently burning transaction fees.

The logic is simple — more transactions mean more XRP is destroyed, potentially tightening supply as adoption grows.

But could burning meaningfully support a $100 price?

Calculations using CryptoTuts’ published burn data reveal how slowly that process reduces XRP’s enormous supply — even under a hypothetical 1,000-fold increase in activity.

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The Bullish Argument: More Activity, Less XRP

Several recent social media postings have captured the enthusiasm surrounding XRP’s burn mechanism:

“Everyone should be prepared for what’s about to happen with XRP and it has nothing to do with this week’s price chart.”

The post continues:

“Here’s what most people miss: every single transaction on the XRP ledger burns XRP. Not sent somewhere. Not stored. Gone. Permanently.”

Kamilah Stevenson’s video, “XRP Is Disappearing, And Nobody’s Talking About It,” puts the token’s shrinking supply in focus.

The investment logic is appealing, as greater use could generate more fee-paying transactions, thereby removing additional XRP, while adoption could create demand.

However, the amount being destroyed matters.

A supply that declines by a tiny fraction each year presents a different investment proposition than one that contracts rapidly.

What CryptoTuts Says About Burning

CryptoTuts’ XRP burn tracker publishes supply observations and hypothetical activity calculations.

Its founder, identified on the site as Phil, distinguishes the project from price forecasting.

“I’m building this page as a data product, not a price story,” he writes in its methodology section, translated from German.

Elsewhere, the website describes the burn mechanism as “not a scarcity program.”

The following calculations are based on CryptoTuts’ observations.

How Much XRP Was Burned in 30 Days?

According to CryptoTuts’ daily dataset, the total XRP burned rose from approximately 14.38 million on Sept. 15 to 14.41 million on Oct. 15.

That means around 24,745 XRP disappeared over 30 days, averaging roughly 825 XRP per day.

If that pace continued for a year, approximately 301,000 XRP would be destroyed —just 0.0003% of the nearly 100 billion XRP remaining.

The XRP Ledger’s documentation explains that transaction costs protect the network against spam and denial-of-service attacks.

The standard minimum fee is 10 drops, equivalent to 0.00001 XRP.

At the standard minimum of 100,000 transactions, 1 XRP is destroyed. So, in turn, one billion transactions paying that fee would destroy 10,000 XRP.

What If Activity Increased 1,000 Times?

The following scenarios multiply the observed burn by 10, 100, and 1,000.

The assumption is that transaction counts increase while the average fee paid in XRP remains unchanged.

Activity scenario	XRP burned over 30 days	Annualized XRP burn	Annual share of remaining supply
Observed baseline	24,745	301,066	0.000301%
10 times activity	247,452	3,010,664	0.003011%
100 times activity	2,474,518	30,106,639	0.030111%
1,000 times activity	24,745,183	301,066,389	0.301110%

Illustrative scenarios calculated using CryptoTuts’ Sept. 15–Oct. 15 observations.

Even with 1,000 times the transaction activity, unchanged average fees would mean roughly 301 million XRP burned annually.

That sounds substantial, but with nearly 100 billion XRP remaining, it represents just 0.3% of the supply.

Around 99.7% would remain after a year.

Does Burning Strengthen the $100 Case?

Extreme XRP targets have become a recurring feature of bullish commentary.

CCN recently examined Dom Kwok’s $1,000 forecast, Jake Claver’s $10,000 prediction for XRP by late 2026, and wealth coach Jacob Metzger’s bearish scenario at $100.

The central problem is that analyzing a supply calculation can not produce a price forecast.

Burning measures how many tokens have been removed. It does not measure how much buyers will pay for the remainder, how many holders will sell, or how liquidity will change.

The Bigger Test Is Demand

The bullish argument has to be separated into two questions — whether adoption increases transaction burning and whether it creates sustained demand to acquire and hold XRP.

The first can be measured through network fees.

But the second requires sufficient evidence about how the token is used, held, and traded.

CryptoTuts’ data therefore offers a useful starting point for examining the burn narrative.

However, under the assumptions modeled here, even an extraordinary increase in activity produces a relatively modest annual reduction in supply.

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Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

About the Author

Kurt Robson

Kurt Robson is a London-based reporter at CCN, specialising in the fast-moving worlds of crypto and emerging technology. He began his career covering local news in Cornwall after graduating from Falmouth University with First Class Honours in Journalism. There, he cut his teeth on everything from council meetings to missing swans.

He quickly rose through the ranks to become a frontline journalist at several of the UK’s leading national newspapers. Over the years, he has interviewed musicians and celebrities, reported from courtrooms and crime scenes, and secured multiple front-page exclusives.

Following the upheaval of the COVID-19 pandemic, Kurt shifted his focus to technology journalism—just ahead of the AI boom. With a natural curiosity and a trained eye for emerging trends, he has found a new rhythm in reporting on innovation.

At CCN, Kurt's work focuses on the cutting edge of crypto, blockchain, AI, and the evolving digital world. Drawing on his background in people-first reporting and his deep interest in disruptive tech, Kurt delivers stories that are insightful, entertaining, and human-centric.

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