Key Takeaways
Bitcoin could still be poised for another parabolic bull market despite requiring significantly more capital to drive prices higher, according to CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju, who says deeper institutional adoption remains the key catalyst.
His comments come as DWF Labs Managing Partner Andrei Grachev told CCN Strategy’s recent decision to sell portions of its Bitcoin holdings could ultimately support its long-term price outlook.
Michael Saylor’s company recently disclosed its second Bitcoin sale in recent weeks, raising approximately $216 million by selling 3,588 Bitcoin between June 29 and July 5.
The move has divided the industry, with Grayscale Research arguing the sales reduce the firm’s financial risks, while longtime Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff warned they could mark the beginning of sustained selling pressure.
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Ju said Bitcoin likely has another “parabolic cycle ahead.”
Writing on X, Ju said Bitcoin’s weakening capital does not mean its long-term bull market has ended; rather, it shows the asset’s growing maturity.
According to Ju, Bitcoin’s early rallies required relatively little capital compared with today.
He said approximately $2.7 billion in net capital inflows helped drive a 55,436% gain during the 2011 cycle, while roughly $697 billion in this cycle has generated a 689% return.
Ju added that doubling Bitcoin’s price has also become significantly more capital-intensive.
Bitcoin likely has another parabolic cycle ahead.
Yes, capital efficiency is declining. In 2011, just $2.7B in net capital inflows drove a 55,436% price increase. This cycle, $697B produced a +689% return.
The next parabolic bull cycle likely requires deeper institutional… pic.twitter.com/PInBlG3GD3
— Ki Young Ju (@ki_young_ju) July 1, 2026
“In 2011, just $5 million in net capital inflows was enough to double Bitcoin’s price,” he said.
“In this cycle, it took roughly $101 billion to double it.”
Despite that trend, Ju argued that another explosive rally remains possible if institutional investors continue to increase their allocations.
“The next parabolic bull cycle will likely require trillions in net capital inflows, which means institutional adoption needs to truly take off.”
He added that Bitcoin would likely need to absorb more than $1 trillion in realized capitalization before another parabolic advance becomes possible.
Ju argued that the asset still has considerable room to grow, given gold’s roughly $27 trillion market capitalization.
In an interview with CCN, Grachev echoed that institutional demand has become increasingly important for Bitcoin, arguing Strategy’s latest sale showed the market could absorb corporate selling when ETF inflows remain strong.
“It was well-signalled, and demand from other sources, ETFs in particular, returned the same day,” Grachev said in an interview with CCN.
“Markets are pricing clarity over volume right now: a well-communicated sale gets absorbed, while a small, unexpected one can spark a panic,” he added.
He argued the latest transaction demonstrated that institutional demand had become a more important price driver than individual moves.
“Strategy sold, yet the price rose, because ETF demand returned at the same moment,” he said.
“One company’s treasury can only buy so much, so often; the ETFs are a broader, deeper and more continuous source of demand.”
According to Grachev, sustained ETF inflows now represent the biggest upside catalyst for Bitcoin over the coming months.
Grachev’s assessment broadly echoes comments made last week by Grayscale Head of Research Zach Pandl.
He argued that Strategy’s new willingness to sell Bitcoin when necessary should improve investor confidence rather than undermine it.
Grayscale Research believes @Strategy's Bitcoin $BTC sale last week may reduce financing risk and support Bitcoin price stability.
The recent ~$216M sale boosted Dollar reserves to cover ~17 months of dividend payments. The rebound in $STRC suggests investors are responding… pic.twitter.com/pEPUJAEYjD
— Grayscale (@Grayscale) July 6, 2026
Pandl said the company’s updated capital allocation framework addressed concerns over shrinking cash reserves by confirming it would dispose of Bitcoin when required to maintain sufficient liquidity.
Following the latest transaction, Strategy increased its cash reserves to approximately $2.55 billion while continuing to hold 843,775 Bitcoin.
“Recent actions by Strategy… should restore market confidence over its financing structure and, in our view, may help Bitcoin’s price find a more durable bottom,” Pandl wrote.
While Grachev said the latest sale should be viewed positively, he acknowledged it marks the biggest strategic shift since Strategy adopted its Bitcoin accumulation plan.
“It changes the character of the bet, not the fundamentals overnight,” he said.
“For years, Strategy was a pure one-way leveraged Bitcoin buyer.”
He said investors should now evaluate the company more like any other leveraged balance sheet, focusing on liquidity management rather than just Bitcoin.
“The thesis isn’t broken, but ‘they only ever buy’ is no longer part of it.”
Grachev added that the market had long priced Strategy as a permanent source of Bitcoin demand.
“…the single largest one-way buyer of Bitcoin has become a potential seller, and that changes the demand picture underneath the market.”
However, he said the biggest risk was the possibility of unexpected sales.
“A large sale that’s clearly communicated gets absorbed,” he said. “The danger is speed and surprise, not size alone.”
Not everyone agrees that Strategy’s changing approach will benefit the market.
Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff recently argued that Michael Saylor’s company had gone from being Bitcoin’s largest corporate buyer to becoming a potential source of sustained selling pressure.
Speaking on the Crowded Market Report podcast, Schiff said he believes investors are underestimating the significance of the shift.
“I think Strategy was the big buyer propping up the market, now they’re a seller,” Schiff said.
“I don’t think investors really appreciate how big this is going to be.”
Schiff also predicted spot Bitcoin ETF inflows would weaken as speculative demand fades, warning that any future legal liabilities could force Strategy to sell additional Bitcoin.
Kurt Robson is a London-based reporter at CCN, specialising in the fast-moving worlds of crypto and emerging technology. He began his career covering local news in Cornwall after graduating from Falmouth University with First Class Honours in Journalism. There, he cut his teeth on everything from council meetings to missing swans.
He quickly rose through the ranks to become a frontline journalist at several of the UK’s leading national newspapers. Over the years, he has interviewed musicians and celebrities, reported from courtrooms and crime scenes, and secured multiple front-page exclusives.
Following the upheaval of the COVID-19 pandemic, Kurt shifted his focus to technology journalism—just ahead of the AI boom. With a natural curiosity and a trained eye for emerging trends, he has found a new rhythm in reporting on innovation.
At CCN, Kurt's work focuses on the cutting edge of crypto, blockchain, AI, and the evolving digital world. Drawing on his background in people-first reporting and his deep interest in disruptive tech, Kurt delivers stories that are insightful, entertaining, and human-centric.
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