- The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq tilted sideways on Friday.
- The stock market’s rally balked at reports that the US and China may not have agreed to roll back tariffs.
- Now, one columnist warns the markets are “one tweet away” from a trade war “hangover.”
A hesitant Dow Jones sputtered toward a slim decline on Friday after reports emerged that the Trump administration’s tariff rollback faced “fierce” opposition within the White House.
Dow Closes Spectacular Week in Uninspiring Fashion
Following a buoyant week, the US stock market’s major indices failed to trade with much conviction on Friday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 15.55 points or 0.06% to 27,659.25. The index is still on track to record a substantial weekly gain.
News of the White House’s internal division sent the Dow tumbling roughly 100 points from its session high on Thursday afternoon. It does not look like the index will recoup those losses today.
The S&P 500 edged 4.42 points or 0.14% lower to 3,080.73, while the Nasdaq declined to 8,420.02 for a loss of 14.5 points or 0.17%.
A stronger US dollar prevented precious metals from capitalizing on the reprieve in risk-on sentiment. Silver dipped 0.94%, while platinum and palladium endured pullbacks of at least 1.9%.
The gold price slid 0.28% to around $1,460, placing it even further from the $1,500 handle. Gold is now at risk of recording its worst weekly plunge since early 2017.
Trump Officials Retaliate Against Tariff Rollback Rumors
The Dow and broader stock market had raced to new all-time highs on Thursday, as investors reacted to the news that the US and China had agreed in principle to begin unwinding tariffs as part of the “phase one” trade agreement.
However, it’s now clear that this strategy does not have universal support within the White House.
Did he short on this tweet?
Reuters: An agreement to roll back China tariffs as part of a 'phase one' trade deal faces fierce opposition in the White House https://t.co/JDYfKwSlM6
— Sven Henrich (@NorthmanTrader) November 7, 2019
Reuters first reported that the tariff rollbacks faced “fierce” internal opposition. Then, Peter Navarro, the White House Director of Trade and Manufacturing Policy, denied that Washington and Beijing had agreed to make tariff reductions part of the partial trade deal.
“There is no agreement at this time to remove any of the existing tariffs as a condition of the phase one deal,” Navarro told Fox Business, “and the only person who can make that decision is President Donald J. Trump and it’s as simple as that.”
Trump Remains Silent on Trade Deal Details
Incidentally, Trump has remained conspicuously silent on the matter. It’s notable that he did not agree to reduce tariffs when he shook hands with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He on the “phase one” outline last month.
Writing at Bloomberg Opinion, David Fickling claims that, despite what Chinese officials may say in public, state-owned companies are behaving as though there’s no trade deal on the horizon.
For all the optimistic headlines, no trade agreement has even been put down on paper, much less signed. Consequently, he warns, the trade-fueled Dow Jones rally is one Trump tweet away from a nauseating “hangover.”
Right now, markets are behaving as if the whole structure of trade impediments built up over the past two years could start getting dismantled within weeks… Should that come about, the current exuberance could turn into a hangover awfully quick.
That puts Trump in an awkward position, at least if he decides to keep tariff reductions off the table. The stock market has clearly already priced them in, so it’s difficult to conceive how he could squash those rumors without catalyzing a sell-off.