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Cosmos Price Prediction 2025: ATOM Price Will Struggle to Reclaim Former Highs

Last Updated
Peter Henn
Last Updated
By Peter Henn
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

Cosmos had a tough 2024, and despite its parent organization’s acquisition of the Skip protocol , 2025 has not been exactly encouraging, either.

Cosmos has been in a bear cycle since reaching an all-time high in 2021, and it looks like that will continue for the foreseeable future.

On Feb. 4, 2025, ATOM was worth about $4.40.

Let’s examine our price predictions for Cosmos, made on Feb. 4, 2025. We will also examine the ATOM price history and discuss what Cosmos is and does.

Cosmos Price Prediction 

Let’s look at the ATOM price predictions made by CCN on Feb. 4, 2025. We will use the wave count method to make a prediction and then add and remove 20% from the final target to create the minimum and maximum ATOM price predictions.

Minimum Cosmos Price Prediction Average Cosmos Price Prediction Maximum Cosmos Price Prediction
2025 $1.45 $1.82 $2.19
2026 $1.28 $1.74 $2.10
2030 $1.24 $1.56 $1.88

The most likely count shows that ATOM completed an upward A-B-C correction (white) in 2022. Then, it started a downward A-B-C structure and is currently in wave C.

Giving wave C 1.61 times the length of wave A and the same duration leads to a low of $1.87 in May. 

Since the direction of the trend afterward is unclear, we will use the rate of decrease for the past five years to make an ATOM price prediction for 2025, 2026, and 2030. 

ATOM has fallen by 15% since February 2020, at a rate of 0.008% daily.

ATOM/USDT Weekly Chart
ATOM/USDT weekly chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Projecting this decrease forward leads to prices of $1.82, $1.74, and $1.56 for the end of 2025, 2026, and 2030, respectively.

Cosmos Price Prediction for 2025

The wave count and daily rate of decrease lead to an ATOM price prediction range between $1.45 and $2.19 for the end of 2025.

Cosmos Price Prediction for 2026

The wave count and daily rate of decrease lead to an ATOM price prediction range between $1.28 and $2.1- for the end of 2026.

Cosmos Price Prediction for 2030

The wave count and daily rate of decrease lead to an ATOM price prediction range between $1.24 and $1.88 for the end of 2030.

ATOM Price Analysis

Since 2022, the ATOM price has traded inside a descending parallel channel. This means that the ATOM price has created lower highs and lower lows throughout the entire bull market. Currently, the price trades 90% below its all-time high.

In September 2024, ATOM fell to a yearly low of $3.61. The price bounced afterward and reclaimed the $6.40 horizontal area, which had previously acted as support for over two years. The reclaimed suggested that the breakdown was a deviation, and ATOM finally started its upward movement. 

However, this increase was still short-lived as the price fell below the horizontal area at the start of 2025. On Feb. 3, ATOM fell to a low of $3.65, nearly breaking its 2024 lows. If the decline continues, the channel’s support trend line will be near $3. 

ATOM/USDT Weekly Chart
ATOM/USDT weekly chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Technical indicators are bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has crossed below 50 while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) has fallen below 0 and made a bearish cross (black circle). 

Therefore, the weekly time frame gives a bearish ATOM prediction, suggesting that new lows are likely.

Short-Term ATOM Price Prediction

The ATOM price prediction for the next 24 hours is bearish. ATOM will likely continue to fall toward the channel’s support trend line at $3.

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Cosmos Average True Range (ATR): ATOM Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close over a period, typically 14 days. A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility.

ATOM ATR
ATOM ATR | Credit: Peter Henn/TradingView

On Feb. 4, 2025, Cosmos’s ATR was 0.146, a sign of low volatility.

Cosmos Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is ATOM Overbought or Oversold?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator traders use to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Movements above 70 and below 30 show over and undervaluation, respectively. Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

ATOM RSI
ATOM RSI | Credit: Peter Henn/TradingView

On Feb. 4, 2025, Cosmos’s RSI was at 43, a sign of a somewhat bearish trend.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines an array of advanced market signals to measure the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over the last 30 days.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

  • 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
  • 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
  • 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
  • 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
  • 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate stronger volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes. The same principle applies to rapid declines: a sudden drop will spike the score downward, but the score will slowly adjust back up as volatility decreases.

On Feb. 4, 2025, Cosmos scored 34.5 on the CCN Index, suggesting weak momentum.

ATOM CCN Index
ATOM CCN Index | Credit: CCN

Cosmos Price Performance Comparison

Cosmos is a blockchain, so let’s compare its performance with other similar projects.

Current Price One Year Ago Price Change
Cosmos $4.40 $9.10 -51.6%
Ethereum $2,705 $2,309 +17.1%
Solana $205.30 $98.46 +108%
Avalanche $25.90 $36.49 -29%

The data reveals that Cosmos has been the worst performer over the last year.

Best Days and Months to Buy Cosmos

We looked at the Cosmos price history and found the times when the price was at its lowest across certain days, months, quarters, and even weeks in the year, indicating the best times to buy Cosmos.

Time to Buy ATOM Days, Months, and Quarters
Best Day Friday
Best Week 6
Best Month February
Best Quarter Third

ATOM Price History

Let’s examine Cosmos’s price history more closely. While past performance doesn’t necessarily indicate future results, understanding what ATOM has done can help us contextualize Cosmo’s price predictions.

Cosmos Price History
Cosmos price history for the last 12 months | Credit: CoinMarketCap
Time Period Cosmos Price
Last week (Jan. 28, 2025) $6.05
Last month (Jan. 4, 2025) $7.44
Three months ago (Nov. 4, 2024) $4.01
One year ago (Feb. 4, 2024) $9.10
Five years ago (Feb. 4, 2020) $4.26
Launch price (March 15, 2019) $6.63
All-time high (Sept. 20, 2021) $44.70
All-time low (March 13, 2020) $1.13

ATOM Market Cap

Market capitalization, or market cap, is the sum of the total number of ATOMs in circulation multiplied by their price.

Cosmos Market Cap
Cosmos market cap for the last 12 months | Credit: CoinMarketCap

On Feb. 4, 2025, Cosmos’ market cap was $1.72 billion, making it the 54th-largest crypto by that metric.

Who Owns the Most Cosmos?

On Feb. 4, 2025, one wallet held more than 8.45% of the Cosmos supply.

Richest ATOM Wallet Addresses

As of Feb. 4, 2025, the five wallets with the most Cosmos tokens were

  • cosmos1p3ucd3ptpw902fluyjzhq3ffgq4ntddac9sa3s. This wallet held 30,724,645 ATOM or 8.47% of the supply.
  • cosmos1nm0rrq86ucezaf8uj35pq9fpwr5r82cl8sc7p5. This wallet held 10,290,174 ATOM or 2.84% of the supply.
  • cosmos14lultfckehtszvzw4ehu0apvsr77afvyhgqhwh. This wallet held 9,411,124 ATOM or 2.6% of the supply.
  • cosmos15hmqrc245kryaehxlch7scl9d9znxa58qkpjet. This wallet held 9,288,522 ATOM or 2.56% of the supply.
  • cosmos1sufkm72dw7ua9crpfhhp0dqpyuggtlhdse98e7. This wallet held 8,298,194 ATOM or 2.29% of the supply.
Supply and Distribution Figures
Total Supply 390,934,204
Circulating Supply as of Feb. 4, 2025 390,934,204 (100% of the total supply)
Holder Distribution The top 10 holders owned 27.58% of the supply as of Feb. 4, 2025

From the Cosmos Whitepaper

The Cosmos technical documentation, or whitepaper says: “Cosmos is a network of independent parallel blockchains, each power by a classical BFT consensus algorithm.”

Cosmos (ATOM) Explained

The world of crypto is intertwined with that of blockchain technology. While pretty much every crypto is based, directly or indirectly, on a blockchain, it is not without its issues. For instance, it can be hard to transfer assets between different blockchains. This is where Cosmos comes in.

Cosmos is a de facto blockchain network with lots of smaller chains that can link up with each other to process information and carry out transactions. People can use their own blockchains to create their own programs and applications.

Cosmos was first created in 2016 by computer programmers Jae Kwon, Zarko Milosevic, and Ethan Buchmanis. It is powered by the Cosmos coin, which goes by the ticker handle ATOM. Cosmos had an initial coin offering (ICO ), raising $17.3 million, and it came onto the open market in 2019.

How Cosmos Works

Cosmos features two kinds of chains: hubs and zones. Zones are the regular chains that process information, and hubs link the zones together. The main hub is the Cosmos hub itself, which has every zone linked to it. 

The network has three segments. Consensus helps the computers, or nodes, that run the platform agree on activity. Networking sees the nodes communicate with each other, and applications process transactions and update the network. 

Cosmos uses a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, meaning people can stake or set aside ATOM to add blocks to the blockchain and earn rewards. ATOM holders can vote on decisions affecting the network.

Is Cosmos a Good Investment?

It is hard to say right now.

Cosmos will have to reiterate its usefulness to the crypto community as a whole. Its weak performance over the last year will not help matters. 

A lot will also depend on how the market behaves in the future. As always, you will have to make sure you do your own research.

Will Cosmos go up or down?

No one really knows right now. While many prices are upbeat in their Cosmos crypto price predictions, price forecasts are often wrong. You should also remember that prices can and do go down and up. 

Should I invest in Cosmos?

Before you invest in Cosmos, you should make sure that you do your own research, not only on ATOM but on other competitor cryptos, such as Algorand (ALGO) and Chainlink (LINK). You must decide for yourself at the end of the day. Before you do so, you will need to make sure that you remember never to invest more money than you can afford to lose. 

Technical analysis by Valdrin Tahiri.

FAQs 

How many Cosmos are there?

As of Feb. 4, 2025, there were 390.9 million ATOM in circulation, representing the total supply.

Will Cosmos reach $10?

Our price predictions suggest that ATOM will not reach $10 until at least the 2030s, if ever.

What is Cosmos used for?

The Cosmos (ATOM) coin is used to help power the Cosmos blockchain network. ATOM’s holders can stake it in return for rewards and it can be bought, sold, and traded on exchanges.

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    Peter Henn has been a journalist since 2005. In that time, he has written for a variety of publishers including the Mail on Sunday and the Daily Express. He has previously covered the world of cryptocurrency for Currency.com and Capital.com, and has also written for ECigIntelligence.com and CBD-Intel.com. A graduate of the University of Liverpool, he is based in the United Kingdom. His hobbies include music, horse racing and performance art.
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