XRP has been here before, stalling near $1.50, giving ground to the bears, and forcing bulls into an uncomfortable wait.
Each time, the question is the same. Is this the rejection that finally breaks the structure, or just another reset before the next attempt?
Well, based on the recent XRP price action, it seems that the recent pullback will not drag the altcoin below $1.
Instead, XRP could be on the brink of a blistering breakout. Here is why.
On the weekly chart, XRP is still in a macro downtrend channel. However, it is now sitting at a key inflection point.
As shown below, the price has compressed into the lower support zone around $1.40. But it is also testing the upper level of the descending channel.
The fact that price is holding here and starting to grind upward suggests seller exhaustion, especially as the Awesome Oscillator (AO) histogram is turning less negative.
However, the structure is still entirely bullish. XRP’s price is still below the EMA ($1.61).
It is also well below the major horizontal resistance around $2.00, which had previously served as support-turned-resistance.
If this support holds and XRP breaks out of the channel and reclaims $1.60, it could open a move toward $2.00, and, above that, a broader trend shift could target $2.50.

But there is still the risk of dropping below $1.30. If that happens, the breakdown will likely continue in the $1 direction.
Meanwhile, there is a much clearer potential reversal structure on the daily chart than on the weekly timeframe.
As shown below, the chart shows a double bottom around $1.20 and $1.25, followed by a push into the neckline resistance near $1.45 (0.236 Fib).
At the time of writing, XRP’s price is currently consolidating right at that breakout level, which is key.
Momentum supports the move. For instance, the Bull Bear Power (BBP) is turning positive, and the Money Flow Index (MFI) is elevated, indicating buying pressure.
But, at the same time, it is also approaching overbought territory.
If XRP’s price confirms a breakout above $1.45, the measured move from the double bottom projects toward $1.70–$1.80 (0.5 Fib), with intermediate resistance at $1.62 (0.382 Fib).
Notably, that seems to be the logical upside-down path.
However, if it fails to hold above $1.40 and rejects, this becomes a failed breakout, and the price likely rotates back toward $1.30 $1.20, retesting the support.

So, in summary, the situation is binary. Holding above $1.40 might equal continuation toward above $1.60.
On the contrary, losing it might mean range-bound movement and potential retest of lows.