UMA Price Prediction 2025: All-Time Low May Not Mark the Bottom

Key Takeaways

• UMA sank to an all-time low on March 10.
• The drop came in spite of a collaboration between UMA, EigenLayer, and Polymarket.
• Our UMA price predictions suggest that UMA could drop to $0.30 in 2025.
• Interested in buying or selling UMA? Read our review of the best exchanges to buy and sell UMA.

The UMA token capped off a pretty lousy 12 months when it fell to $1.06, the lowest price in its near-five-year history, on March 10, 2025.

Investors will hope that UMA’s ongoing collaboration with EigenLayer and Polymarket to build a new prediction market oracle will help its recovery.

On March 13, 2025, UMA was worth about $1.15.

Let’s examine our UMA price predictions, made on March 13, 2025. We will also examine the UMA price history and discuss what UMA is and what it does.

UMA Price Prediction

Using the wave count method, let’s look at the UMA price predictions made by CCN on March 13, 2025. We will adjust the final targets by 20% to create the minimum and maximum predictions.

The most likely wave count shows that UMA has completed a five-wave downward movement after its all-time high, following it with a short-term A-B-C correction (green). 

If the count is accurate, the UMA price has started another five-wave decrease. Giving it the same length and duration as the previous one leads to a low of $0.206 in December 2026. We will consider this the UMA price prediction at the end of 2026.

During this projected downward movement, the wave count method predicts a UMA price of $0.372 by the end of 2025.

Then, we will use the daily rate of decrease for the past two years to make the UMA price prediction for 2030. 

UMA has fallen by 46% since March 2023, and projecting this decrease until the end of 2030 leads to a low of $0.082

UMA Price Prediction for 2025

The wave count method predicts a UMA price range between $0.300 and $0.444 by the end of 2025.

UMA Price Prediction for 2026

The wave count method predicts a UMA price range between $0.162 and $0.250 by the end of 2026.

UMA Price Prediction for 2030

The daily rate of decrease for the past two years leads to a UMA price prediction range between $0.064 and $0.100 for the end of 2030.

UMA Price Analysis

The weekly time frame chart shows that UMA has fallen since its cycle high of $7.02 in January 2024. 

The price broke down from an ascending support trend line in January 2025, accelerating its decrease. 

UMA’s downward movement led to a new all-time low of $1.02 on March 10. 

Technical indicators are bearish, suggesting the decline will continue. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are falling. The RSI is below 50, while the MACD Is negative.

Therefore, the weekly time frame suggests that UMA will continue falling.

Short-Term UMA Price Prediction

The UMA price prediction for the next 24 hours is bullish. However, the price will likely resume its downward movement and fall to a new all-time low soon.

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UMA Average True Range (ATR): UMA Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close over a period, typically 14 days.

A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility.

Since ATR values can be higher for higher-priced assets, normalize ATR by dividing it by the asset price to compare volatility across different price levels.

On March 13, 2025, UMA’s ATR was 0.149, suggesting relatively high volatility.

UMA Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is UMA Overbought or Oversold?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator traders use to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Movements above 70 and below 30 show over and undervaluation, respectively.

Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

On March 13, 2025, the UMA RSI was 31, indicating bearish conditions bordering on oversold.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines an array of advanced market signals to measure the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over the last 30 days.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

• 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
• 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
• 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
• 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
• 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate stronger volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes. The same principle applies to rapid declines: a sudden drop will spike the score downward, but as volatility decreases, the score will slowly adjust back up.

On March 13, 2025, UMA scored 38.1 on the CCN Index, suggesting weak momentum.

UMA Price Performance Comparisons

UMA is a Business Service token, so let’s compare it to some other cryptos in the same category with similar market caps.

Best Days and Months to Buy UMA

We looked at the UMA price history and found the best times to buy UMA.

UMA Price History

Now, let’s examine some of the key dates in the UMA price history . While we should never take past performance as an indicator of future results, knowing what the token has achieved can provide us with some very useful context if we want to make or interpret a UMA price prediction.

UMA Market Cap

The market capitalization, or market cap, is the sum of the total number of UMA in circulation multiplied by its price

On March 13, 2025, UMA’s market cap was $98.62 million, making it the 318th-largest crypto by that metric. 

Who Owns the Most UMA?

On March 13, 2025, one wallet held nearly 35% of UMA’s supply.

Richest UMA Wallet Addresses

As of March 13, 2025, the five wallets with the most UMA were

• 0x7b292034084a41b9d441b71b6e3557edd0463fa8. This wallet held 34,605,191 UMA, or 34.01% of the supply.
• 0x004395edb43efca9885cedad51ec9faf93bd34ac. This wallet held 30,588,716 UMA, or 30.06% of the supply.
• 0x61d62b3d530ab8174dbfade1675d856c5c5c9fcd. This wallet held 5,424,859 UMA, or 5.33% of the supply.
• 0xf977814e90da44bfa03b6295a0616a897441acec. This wallet, listed as Binance, held 5,332,827 UMA, or 5.24% of the supply.
• 0x8bd16de8938a2ad16794ac7e7502896f156e370c. This wallet held 4,775,286 UMA, or 4.69% of the supply.

UMA Supply and Distribution

From the UMA Whitepaper

In its technical documentation or whitepaper , UMA describes itself as a “decentralized protocol to enable the creation, maintenance, and settlement of financial contracts for any underlying asset.”

What is UMA?

UMA is a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform that allows people to create synthetic assets using the Ethereum blockchain. Synthetic assets are similar to derivatives, meaning that they aim to achieve the same objectives owning an asset would achieve without holding the actual asset itself.

Former Goldman Sachs traders Allison Lu and Hart Lambur founded UMA in 2018 based on the Ethereum (ETH) blockchain. 

The UMA token supports the UMA network.

Because UMA is based on Ethereum, it is a token, not a coin. You might see references to things like a UMA coin price prediction, but these are wrong.

How UMA Works

The UMA platform uses smart contracts and computer programs that automatically execute once certain conditions are met. These contracts allow people to create synthetic assets and can also be used to settle disputes in the system. 

UMA holders can vote on changes to the network. People can also buy, sell, and trade UMA on exchanges. 

Is UMA a Good Investment?

It is hard to say. The token is on an upturn but climbing from an all-time low, so we don’t know if it is out of the woods yet.

As always with crypto, you should do your research before deciding whether or not to invest in UMA.

Will UMA go up or down?

No one can tell right now. While the UMA crypto price predictions are largely positive, price predictions have a well-earned reputation for being wrong. Keep in mind that prices can and do go down and up. 

Should I invest in UMA?

Before deciding whether to invest in UMA, you must research UMA and other coins and tokens, such as Chainlink (LINK) or Pyth Network (PYTH). Either way, you will also need to ensure you never invest more money than you can afford to lose.

Technical analysis by Valdrin Tahiri.

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