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Convex Finance Price Prediction 2025: Signs Point to Potential Recovery From Slump

Last Updated
Peter Henn
Last Updated

Key Takeaways

Convex Finance’s CVX token has been declining for quite some time now, although it is worth more than its November 2025 all-time low. Investors will be hoping that its Resupply stablecoin, a project by the platform and fellow yield farming protocol Yearn, can help increase the CVX price.  

On March 12, 2025, CVX was worth about $1.85. 

Let’s examine our Convex Finance price prediction. We’ll also analyze CVX’s price history, explain Convex Finance, and how it works. 

Convex Finance Price Prediction

Let’s examine some of the Convex Finance price predictions made by CCN on March 12, 2025. It is crucial to remember that price forecasts, particularly for a potentially volatile asset like cryptocurrency, often turn out to be inaccurate.

Minimum CVX Price Prediction Average CVX Price Prediction Maximum CVX Price Prediction
2025 $1 $4.50 $8
2026 $2.50 $6.50 $12
2030 $5 $15 $30

Convex Finance Price Prediction 2025

CVX is currently in a descending wedge pattern, suggesting a potential breakout if momentum shifts bullish. However, if bearish pressure persists, prices could test lower levels before a sustained recovery, leading to a wide range between $1.00 and $8.00.

Convex Finance Price Prediction 2026

By 2026, CVX could benefit from broader crypto market cycles, potentially entering a bullish phase as institutional adoption grows. If demand increases and technical breakout patterns play out, CVX could push toward $12.00, while a weaker recovery might limit it to $2.50.

Convex Finance Price Prediction 2030

In the long term, CVX’s price will depend on DeFi sector expansion and its role in liquidity incentives. CVX could reach $30.00 if adoption accelerates, but if growth stagnates, it may trade closer to $5.00, reflecting moderate but limited appreciation.

Convex Finance Price Analysis

CVX is trading within a descending wedge on the daily chart, nearing the lower boundary at $1.46, a key historical support. The pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout, with RSI in oversold territory, indicating selling exhaustion.

Convex Finance Price Analysis
CVX is in a descending wedge | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

After recovering to $8 following its November 2022 low, CVX retraced below $2, signaling the previous uptrend was unsustainable.

A breakout above $2.35 would confirm bullish momentum, with resistance at $3.50. On the other hand, losing $1.46 could push the price toward $1.

Short-term Convex Finance Price Prediction

The one-hour chart shows CVX in a short-term downtrend, testing support near $1.82. The corrective wave within the descending wedge appears near completion, potentially signaling a breakout.

Convex Finance Short-term Price Prediction
Convex Finance needs to stay above $1.46 | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

CVX must reclaim $2.35 for confirmation, which aligns with previous rejection points. A successful breakout could initiate wave one of a new uptrend, targeting $3.50.

However, failure to break out could lead to further downside, with $1.46 as the last defense before deeper losses.

The Convex Finance price prediction for the next 24 hours depends on whether or not it can break out.

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Convex Finance Average True Range (ATR): CVX Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close over a period, typically 14 days.

A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility.

Since ATR values can be higher for higher-priced assets, normalize ATR by dividing it by the asset price to compare volatility across different price levels.

CVX ATR
CVX ATR | Credit: Peter Henn/TradingView

On March 12, 2025, Convex Finance’s ATR was 0.294, suggesting relatively high volatility.

Convex Finance Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is CVX Overbought or Oversold?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator traders use to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold.

Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

CVX RSI
CVX RSI | Credit: Peter Henn/TradingView

On March 12, 2025, Convex Finance’s RSI was 38, indicating a bearish sentiment.

Convex Finance Market Cap to TVL Ratio

The Total Value Locked (TVL) to market cap ratio (TVL ratio) measures the valuation of a decentralized finance (DeFi) project by comparing its market capitalization to the total value of assets locked in its smart contracts.

This ratio shows the project’s utilization and links the platform’s health to locked asset value.

A ratio above 1.0 indicates overvaluation because the market cap exceeds the value of assets used in the platform. A ratio below 1.0 indicates undervaluation because the market cap is lower than the value of locked assets.

CVX MCap/TVL
CVX MCap/TVL | Credit: DeFiLlama

On March 12 2025, the Convex Finance TVL ratio was 0.21, suggesting undervaluation.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines an array of advanced market signals to measure the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over the last 30 days.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

  • 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
  • 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
  • 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
  • 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
  • 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate stronger volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes. The same principle applies to rapid declines: a sudden drop will spike the score downward, but as volatility decreases, the score will slowly adjust back up.

On March 12, 2025, Convex Finance scored 26.5 on the CCN Index, suggesting weak momentum.

CVX CCN Index
CVX CCN Index | Credit: CCN

Convex Finance Price Performance Comparisons

Convex Finance is a yield farming platform, so let’s compare it with other cryptos in the same category with similar market caps.

Current Price One Year Ago Price Change
CVX $1.85 $5.08 -63.5%
STG $0.1985 $0.8481 -76.5%
FXS $1.45 $9.36 -84.5%
SNX $0.827 $5.14 -83.9%

Best Days and Months to Buy Convex Finance

We looked at the Convex Finance price history and found the best times to buy CVX.

Day of the Week Wednesday
Week 30
Month October
Quarter Fourth

Convex Finance Price History

Let’s now take a look at some of the key dates in the Convex Finance price history . While past performance should never be taken as an indicator of future results, knowing what the token has done can help give us some very useful context when it comes to either making or interpreting a CVX price prediction.

Convex Finance Price History
Convex Finance price history for the last 12 months | Credit: CoinMarketCap
Time period Convex Finance price
Last week (March 5, 2025) $2.29
Last month (Feb. 12, 2025) $2.52
Three months ago (Dec. 12, 2024) $6.55
One year ago (March 12, 2024) $5.08
Launch price (May 19, 2021) $9.07
All-time high (Jan. 1, 2022) $49.98
All-time low (Nov. 4, 2024) $1.43

Convex Finance Market Cap

The market capitalization, or market cap, is the sum of the total CVX in circulation multiplied by its price.

Convex Finance Market Cap
Convex Finance market cap for the last 12 months | Credit: CoinMarketCap

On March 12, 2025, Convex Finance’s market cap was $181 million, making it the 188th-largest crypto by that metric.

Who Owns the Most Convex Finance (CVX)?

On March 12, 2025, one wallet held nearly 40% of the CVX supply.

Richest CVX Wallet Addresses

As of March 12, 2025, the five wallets with the most CVX were:

  • 0x72a19342e8f1838460ebfccef09f6585e32db86e. This wallet held 39,627,533 CVX or 39.69% of the supply.
  • 0xcf50b810e57ac33b91dcf525c6ddd9881b139332. This wallet held 11,772,626 CVX or 11.79% of the supply.
  • 0x1389388d01708118b497f59521f6943be2541bb7. This wallet held 9,881,106 CVX or 9.9% of the supply.
  • 0x272b065a43ef59ea470fbfd9be76ad1b43aab651. This wallet held 2,401,057 CVX or 2.4% of the supply.
  • 0x28c6c06298d514db089934071355e5743bf21d60. This wallet, listed as Binance, held 1,841,188 CVX or 1.84% of the supply.

Convex Finance Supply and Distribution

Supply and Distribution Figures
Total supply 99,852,694
Circulating supply (as of March 12, 2025) 98,781,287 (98.92% of total supply)
Holder distribution The top 10 holders owned 72.32% of the supply as of March 12, 2025.

From the Convex Finance Whitepaper

In its technical documentation or whitepaper , Convex Finance says it “introduced a new algorithm designed to achieve faster and more secure consensus compared to existing blockchain methods. This mechanism relies on merging beliefs shared by participants to reach a stable consensus.

The whitepaper suggests that Convex’s solution paves the way for a more scalable and efficient “Internet of Value.”

What Is Convex Finance?

Convex Finance is a yield optimizer for the Curve DAO (CRV) decentralized exchange (DEX) protocol. Put simply, it aims to earn people as much interest in crypto as possible.

A group of anonymous crypto enthusiasts created Convex Finance in 2021.

The CVX token supports the platform.

How Convex Finance Works

Users deposit CRV onto Convex Finance, then permanently locked as veCRV. In exchange, users receive a tokenized version called cvxCRV, which they can then stake on the platform and convert into Curve DAO admin fees. Users can also receive CRV and CVX rewards from Convex’s performance fee.

Although Convex Finance doesn’t impose withdrawal fees, a 16% performance fee is applied to all CRV earnings generated by Curve liquidity providers on the platform. Out of this 16%, 10% is distributed as CRV to cvxCRV stakers, 5% goes to CVX stakers in the form of cvxCRV, and 1% is allocated to a harvest caller in CRV.

People can also buy, sell, and trade CVX on exchanges. 

Because CRV is based on the Ethereum (ETH) blockchain, it is a token rather than a coin. You might see references to things like a Convex Finance coin price prediction, but these are wrong. 

Is Convex Finance a Good Investment?

It is difficult to tell. The token has been on a downturn, there is no way of telling when and where it will end. 

While a lack of identified founders is not uncommon in crypto – and has not done Bitcoin any harm – there is one other problem. Convex Finance does not have a whitepaper or technical document explaining what it is or how it works. Investors may prefer to put their money somewhere with more transparency. 

As always with crypto, you should do your own research before deciding whether or not to invest in CVX.

Will Convex Finance go up or down?

No one can really tell right now. While the Convex Finance crypto price predictions are mainly positive, price predictions have a well-earned reputation for being wrong. Keep in mind that prices can and do go down and up. 

Should I invest in Convex Finance?

Before deciding whether to invest in Convex Finance, you must research CVX and other coins and tokens, such as The Graph (GRT) and PENDLE. Either way, you will also need to ensure you never invest more money than you can afford to lose.

Technical analysis by Nikola Lazic. 

FAQs 

How many Convex Finance are there?

On March 12, 2025, 98.7 million CVX were in circulation out of a total supply of 99.8 million.

Will Convex Finance reach $10?

It could do, but not before 2028.

Convex Finance has traded above $10 before, but not since May 2022.

What is Convex Finance used for?

The CVX token helps power the Convex Finance yield-generating protocol. People can also buy, sell, and trade it on exchanges.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Peter Henn

Peter Henn has been a journalist since 2005. In that time, he has written for a variety of publishers including the Mail on Sunday and the Daily Express. He has previously covered the world of cryptocurrency for Currency.com and Capital.com, and has also written for ECigIntelligence.com and CBD-Intel.com. A graduate of the University of Liverpool, he is based in the United Kingdom. His hobbies include music, horse racing and performance art.
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