How will these tokens react to a token unlock? | Credit: Hameem Sarwar
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Key Takeaways
Huma Finance (HUMA) will release 378 million tokens today.
The HUMA price fell to a new all-time low on Aug. 25.
Will the token unlock exacerbate the already bearish price?
The Huma Finance team confirmed that the Season 1 Airdrop will happen today.
It will celebrate the milestone of $6 billion in PayFi transactions. The rewards will be distributed to stakers, liquidity providers, ecosystem partners, and contributors.
Concerns are mounting despite the milestone. The HUMA price has fallen 80% since launch and 40% in the past two weeks, reaching a new all-time low on Aug. 25.
With that in mind, let’s analyze the airdrop and its repercussions on the price.
HUMA Token Unlock
Huma Finance will unlock 378 million tokens today, representing 23% of the circulating supply and worth $108 million at the current price.
This is the first unlock since the Token Generation Event (TGE) in May 2025, when more than 1.6 billion tokens were created.
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The token unlock is likely to create selling pressure for two reasons. Firstly, it adds 23% to the total circulating supply, a very significant amount.
Nearly half of today’s unlock will go to liquidity providers and stakers, groups that may be inclined to sell, adding significant selling pressure.
Secondly, the unlock also initiates a linear vesting schedule, with new tokens set to release every three months until Huma Finance reaches the maximum supply.
A substantial but unspecified portion of these future unlocks will go to pre-sale investors, who are already deep in losses and could sell once liquid.
Additionally, the HUMA price fell to a new all-time low on Aug. 25, and the unlocks might add more to the bearish momentum.
HUMA Price Analysis
The HUMA price analysis is bearish. It shows that the price broke down from a symmetrical triangle pattern on Aug. 14 before falling to an all-time low.
HUMA completed an A-B-C-D-E corrective structure inside the triangle, validating the breakdown.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are decisively bearish.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.
He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.
Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.
He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.
