Key Takeaways
The crypto market took another sharp hit today, plunging more than 5% within hours.
The drop deepened an already-brutal slide from the all-time highs, now more than 30%, and erased the weekend’s brief rebound.
With the bounce failing almost immediately, traders are once again asking the same question: Why is the crypto market crashing, and can it actually recover from here?
The crypto market has crashed by more than 30% since its all-time high in October.
The chart analysis shows that the crypto market cap broke down from its ascending wedge structure (red icon) at the start of November.
Once it broke down, all signs for the start of the crypto bear market aligned.
The ascending wedge is a bearish pattern, and it typically occurs where wave five ends, confirming that it was an ending diagonal.

The price action and wave count confirm that the crypto bear market has started. Historically, these reversals last months.
Momentum indicators give the final confirmation that the crypto market crash is here to stay:
Bearish divergences in such a long-term time frame, combined with a completed five-wave count, almost always signal the end of an upward movement.

Since the crypto market had increased for 1,050 days, the correction could continue for far longer than traders expect.
Initially, all eyes are on the $2.5 trillion support area, which is nearly 15% below the current price.
The charts predicted a breakdown, but a powerful macro trigger drove this crash.
The drop was sparked by rising global yields, especially Japan’s 2-year bond, which pushed above 1% for the first time since 2008, signaling a tightening and triggering a broad risk-off move.
That macro shock broke key support, triggering forced liquidations in long positions and turning the selloff into a rapid, deep drop driven by leverage unwinding.
More specifically, over $600 million was liquidated in the past 24 hours, primarily from long positions.
The stock market also fell 0.5% pre-market, fueling the ongoing crash.
Another reason for the crash is the fact that the move occurred during the weekend, when liquidity is historically very thin.
As stated by the Kobeissi Letter:
As a result, the sudden rush of selling volume leads to a domino-effect selloff, which is only amplified by the historic amounts of levered positions being liquidated.
The final reason for the crypto market crash is the unwind of the Yen carry trade.
With Japanese bonds spiking above 2%, it is now impossible to borrow in Yen to buy risk assets.
The short-term chart shows that the crypto market cap broke down from an ascending parallel channel today.
Since the bounce was contained inside a channel, it is likely a corrective bounce that will eventually lead to new lows.
Today, the crypto market trades at the confluence of support levels at $2.90 trillion.
This is the bulls’ last chance to spark a bounce.

However, the lack of a bullish divergence in the RSI makes this bounce unlikely.
Long-term bearish signals indicate a continued downtrend, rather than a relief rally.
All eyes are on $2.9 trillion support, as a break could accelerate losses by 15%.
Crypto’s latest meltdown isn’t just another dip; it’s the result of technical breakdowns, macroeconomic stress, and extreme leverage all hitting simultaneously.
Charts confirm that the bull cycle has ended, momentum is bearish, and the macro backdrop is shaky.
The big question is no longer just why crypto is crashing. But it’s whether bulls can defend the final support zones long enough to avoid an even deeper collapse.