Key Takeaways
A major crypto token unlock weekend is approaching, and traders are closely watching HYPE and TREE.
Hyperliquid and Treehouse will each release millions of tokens into circulation, potentially triggering fresh selling pressure and volatility.
While HYPE benefits from a buyback program, TREE faces a far steeper supply shock, and its price chart already shows signs of vulnerability.
Here’s what the unlocks mean and how both assets may react.
Hyperliquid will unlock roughly 10 million tokens on Nov. 29, which is less than 3% of the total supply.
This is the first crypto token unlock for Hyperliquid since its Token Generation Event (TGE) on Nov. 29, 2024.
It will trigger a monthly linear vesting schedule that will continue for three years.
Hence, the unlock will initiate an inflationary period for HYPE, which could create selling pressure for its tokens.

Nevertheless, Hyperliquid employs a buyback program that will likely offset this inflation.
While the HYPE price has bounced at horizontal support, the token unlock could prevent it from moving higher.
The daily time frame chart shows that HYPE bounced at the $33 horizontal support area on Nov. 23 (green icon).
The bounce was critical since it stopped a downward trend ongoing since September.
Momentum indicators strengthen the price movement.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) has created a bullish divergence, often leading to bullish trend reversals.

However, the HYPE price still faces a critical resistance at $38.
Until it breaks out, the trend cannot be considered bullish.
For now, all eyes are on the resistance trend line and the $32.50 area to see which one gives first.
TREE will also see an11 million token unlock this weekend, but that is larger relative to the circulating supply.
More specifically, the unlock is nearly 6% of the supply.

Like Hyperliquid, the unlock will mark the start of an inflationary period with a linear monthly vesting schedule.
The inflation pressure will be much higher than HYPE’s, and with no buyback plan in effect, the token price could crash as a result.
The TREE price has fallen under a diagonal resistance trend line since July.
Rather, the TREE price created lower highs.

Today, Treehouse risks a breakdown from the $0.140 horizontal support area.
With the added selling pressure from the token unlock, it is likely that a breakdown will occur.
Hence, the TREE price could fall to a new all-time low soon.
This weekend’s crypto token unlock event puts both Hyperliquid and Treehouse in a critical position.
HYPE faces manageable inflation thanks to its buyback program, but it must still break above $38 to confirm a true bullish reversal.
Conversely, TREE enters the unlock already showing technical weakness, with its price sitting on fragile support and no buyback mechanism to offset selling pressure.
If TREE loses the $0.140 zone, new all-time lows become increasingly likely.
For HYPE, the reaction to $32.50 and the overhead resistance will determine whether bulls can push through the inflation shock.