Morgan Creek Capital Management CEO Mark Yusko predicts stocks will finish the year lower by double-digits and an economic recession is around the corner. | Source: Shutterstock

By CCN: Stocks in some sectors are teetering on the brink of a bear market, and one Wall Street veteran believes it’s going to get worse. Mark Yusko, who is at the helm of Morgan Creek Capital Management, says that the bears are already out and stocks are going to finish the year lower by a double-digit percentage, according to his interview on CNBC. Before you write him off, consider that in 2018, he predicted that stocks would end the year on a sour note – and he was right. If he’s on target once again, the economy is headed for a light recession akin to the one that unfolded at the turn of the century.

Even though he isn’t calling for a recession that is of the magnitude of 2008, Yusko is pointing to another “credit crisis” in 2020. He wouldn’t be surprised to see stock market declines of between 12%-14% by year-end 2019. Considering that the broader stock market remains up by a double-digit percentage, this would be a precipitous drop in value for investors’ portfolios. Yusko is bracing for what he calls a “Growth-Pocalypse,” which he admits is hyperbolic, adding:

“When I say Growth-Pocalypse, I mean one handle for the second quarter, maybe lower for the third quarter, and recession sometime late this year/early next year…shallow recession like 2001.”

Back then, it wasn’t that the economy didn’t expand at all. But there were two-quarters of retraction (not consecutive), which created the recessionary environment.

What the Fed? Dovishness Precedes Recession

The latest Federal Reserve minutes revealed that monetary policymakers are in a dovish, not hawkish, mindset. In fact, they are more likely to issue an interest rate cut rather than a hike any time soon, which must at least be making President Trump happy. But an interest rate cut is a sign of economic weakness, not strength, insists Yusko. As a result, the Fed’s stance is nothing to be bullish about. In 2001, stocks remained in a bear market for nearly two years after the “light” recession.

If Yusko is so bearish on stocks, where do investors go for returns? He is a shameless bitcoin bull, saying that the leading cryptocurrency is a “great diversifying asset” and has “very low correlation” to stocks. He would bet on bitcoin over the S&P 500 over the next year and even the coming decade.

This article was edited by Gerelyn Terzo.

You May Also Like

Dow Extends Rally Because Investors Bet Trump’s Tariff Gun Isn’t Loaded

The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq continued to stretch toward unprecedented heights…

Dow Falters as Trump Threats Negate Stellar US Housing Market Data

A major slide in Home Depot and China-reliant stocks pushed the Dow…

Dow Crashes as Moody’s Reveals 16 Fatal Recession Triggers

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped 236 points on Wednesday. Ratings…

Bitcoin Dips, Gold Rises as Trump Derails U.S.-China Trade Talks

Trump threatens to derail trade talks with China, standing firm on Beijing…

Dow Caves Because the Trade War Forecast Suddenly Appears Dark

The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq suffered moderate declines on Wednesday. Reports…

Treasury Yields are Plunging Again as JPMorgan Warns of ‘Overbought’ Stock Market

10-year Treasury yield approaches three-week low. Stocks slip from record highs but…