Business News & Opinions

Red-Hot Tesla Stock Will Run Out of Road, Warns Former Goldman Analyst

Tesla is up by over 16 percent this week after the automotive and energy company crushed third quarter earnings. The unexpected spike came to the delight of retail investors as many suddenly posted their bullish views on the stock.

A market technician illustrates a big Tesla breakout | Source: Twitter

It’s difficult not to be bullish on the stock considering it has several fundamental catalysts. After reporting larger than expected losses in Q2, Tesla posted surprise profits of $143 million in Q3. The company also reported that the Gigafactory in Shanghai is ready for production. On top of that, the launch of the Model Y crossover is ahead of schedule as Tesla expects the vehicle to be ready by the summer of 2020.

However, a former Goldman Sachs analyst who’s now managing a billion dollar hedge fund sees signals indicating that Tesla’s surge is about to come to an end.

Will Meade: ‘Institutions Are Selling Into Strength’

A couple of weeks ago, former Goldman Sachs employee Will Meade predicted that there will be a short squeeze on TSLA. At that point, the tech stock was trading around $240.

Hedge fund manager foresaw a massive Tesla short squeeze | Source: Twitter

The shorts liquidation came to pass yesterday as the security skyrocketed by 17 percent. According to Reuters, the surprise surge burned short-sellers who took a hit to the tune of $1.8 billion.

The massive short squeeze appears to have powered the rally on Thursday more than any other catalyst. As short sellers got liquidated, Will Meade started to express signs of weakness on the stock. The hedge fund manager took to Twitter to reveal that institutions appear to be selling the rally.

Institutions are dumping TSLA shares according to Will Meade | Source: Twitter

We did our due diligence to check whether Will Meade is on the right track. It seems that he may have a point. Ark, an investment management firm, was spearheading the Tesla dump. The company sold $39 million worth of TSLA shares days before the spike. When the stock rose on Thursday, Ark sold an additional 35,765 shares which were worth around $11 million.

An institutional investor letting go of their TSLA shares as demand skyrockets | Source: Twitter

Therefore, if Will Meade’s read is correct, then the rally should fade after the short squeeze. It appears that the hedge fund manager is ahead of the curve as TSLA is hitting a brick wall at $300.

Other Institutions Are Not Impressed by Q3 Earnings Beat

While retail investors are swooning over the Tesla’s Q3 report, the smart money seems to be far from bullish on the stock. For instance, Bank of America reiterates TSLA to underperform with a target of $235. RBC Capital Markets is also in the same boat. Analysts of this bank gave TSLA a rating of “underperform” with a target of $231.19. Credit Suisse also rated TSLA with “underperform” and gave a target of $233.03. Other investment banks are neutral on the security.

Institutions are still expecting Tesla to drop | Source: Twitter

We spoke to Johnny Lambo, co-founder of Capital 10X, and asked if he’s bullish on Tesla. The full-time trader replied,

I know TSLA very well. I’m in the short camp on it.

It’s tough to be bullish on the stock when many institutions and full-time traders are not buying into the rally.

Disclaimer: The above should not be considered trading advice from

Last modified: September 23, 2020 1:12 PM

Kiril Nikolaev

Kiril is a CFA Charterholder and financial professional with 6+ years of experience in financial writing, analysis, and product ownership. He has a bachelor's degree with a specialty in finance and lives in Canada. Kiril’s current focus is on finance and cryptocurrencies. He owns Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies. He holds investment positions in the coins but does not engage in short-term or day-trading. Get in touch with Kiril: Email, Follow on Twitter