Key Takeaways
As Ethereum (ETH) and a growing number of altcoins inch closer to their all-time highs, the market is gearing up for what looks like a full-fledged altseason.
However, a looming wave of token unlocks could test that momentum.
Over the next week, more than $686 million worth of tokens will be released into circulation across 26 altcoin projects, including big names like SUI, Jupiter (JUP), Optimism (OP), and Solana (SOL).
Token unlocks happen when previously locked tokens, usually allocated to team members, early investors, or strategic partners, are released into the open market according to a pre-set vesting schedule.
While these events are expected, they often create added sell pressure by increasing supply and lowering scarcity, especially when large chunks are unlocked at once.
Among the standout unlocks this week:
In addition to these one-time events, linear (daily) unlocks will continue for a host of high-profile projects, including:
Solana (SOL), Worldcoin (WLD), Avalanche (AVAX), Dogecoin (DOGE), The Open Network (TON), TAO, DOT, SEI, ETHFI, and others.
Each of these unlocks more than $1 million in tokens daily, contributing steadily to the overall increase in circulating supply.
Historically, token unlocks have had a mixed impact on price.
On average, 90% of altcoins experience some degree of post-unlock selloff.
Larger unlocks, especially those exceeding 5% of a token’s supply, tend to lead to more severe drops, with declines of 15–29% not uncommon.
That said, most of this week’s unlocks fall around the 1% mark, which could soften the blow.
And there are exceptions: SUI, for example, bucked the trend after its August 2023 unlock, rallying more than 10% in the weeks that followed.
Much depends on who receives the unlocked tokens. If long-term holders or community allocations are involved, price impact may be minimal.
However, if tokens go to early investors or advisors with a shorter time horizon, selling pressure could spike.
While unlocks are often viewed as bearish, they can also increase market liquidity, which may attract more participants and reduce volatility over time.
In a market the size of today’s altcoin space—now measured in the trillions—even major unlocks don’t always move the needle significantly.
With altseason heating up, the question now is whether the market can maintain its momentum—or whether this $686 million unlock wave could stall the rally just as it’s gaining steam.