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Circle President Defends Stock Plunge From $260 to $62 but Sold $31M in CRCL Shares

Published 20 July 2026
Giuseppe Ciccomascolo
Authors

Key Takeaways

  • Circle President Heath Tarbert defended the company’s long-term outlook after CRCL plunged from around $260 to $62.
  • At the same time, SEC filings show Tarbert sold approximately $30.77 million of CRCL shares across 10 transactions since June 2025.
  • This comes after Mizuho downgraded Circle to Underperform and cut its price target from $85 to $50 amid concerns about margin compression.

Circle President Heath Tarbert has defended the stablecoin issuer’s long-term prospects after its share price plunged from approximately $260 to $62, even as regulatory filings show that he sold nearly $31 million of CRCL stock following the company’s June 2025 market debut.

Speaking to FOX Business, Tarbert said Circle remained focused on building financial infrastructure for the internet rather than responding to short-term share-price movements. If the company succeeds in that mission, he argued, “the stock will take care of itself.”

However, US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Form 4 filings show that Tarbert completed 10 CRCL transactions involving sales since June 2025, generating approximately $30.77 million.

The transactions primarily involved share disposals and option exercises. Tarbert continues to hold roughly 503,000 shares, although the filings show no open-market purchases.

The disclosures come as Wall Street grows increasingly concerned about whether competition and more generous revenue-sharing agreements could weaken Circle’s margins, despite the continued expansion of USDC.

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Tarbert Backs USDC’s Network Advantage

Tarbert said Circle was taking a long-term approach to both its public valuation and the increasingly competitive stablecoin market. He argued that USDC’s established network effects would be difficult for newer rivals to reproduce.

USDC has approximately $73 billion in circulation and is natively available across 34 blockchain networks. Tarbert described it as the largest regulated stablecoin and said it processes more actual transaction volume than its competitors, including market leader Tether.

His comments also addressed OpenUSD, a new initiative backed by more than 140 companies. The consortium reportedly includes major financial and technology groups such as Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, Google, Coinbase and BlackRock.

OpenUSD could nevertheless challenge Circle through its economic structure. The project plans to distribute most of its stablecoin reserve income to issuers and other ecosystem participants after collecting a comparatively small management fee.

That partner-focused model could pressure Circle to offer more favorable terms to exchanges, payment companies, and blockchain platforms that help distribute USDC.

$31M in Share Sales Draws Attention

Tarbert’s share transactions add another dimension to his public defense of Circle’s long-term outlook. SEC filings indicate that he sold CRCL stock on 10 occasions since June 2025, totaling $30.77 million.

Stock sales by executives do not necessarily indicate declining confidence. Executives frequently sell shares for diversification, tax planning or liquidity, while option exercises can create additional tax obligations.

SEC filings
SEC filings show Tarbert sold CRCL shares. | Credit: SEC

Tarbert’s remaining stake of approximately 503,000 shares leaves him materially exposed to Circle’s future performance.

Still, the absence of disclosed open-market purchases and the scale of the disposals may attract investor attention, given CRCL’s collapse from its earlier high near $260 to approximately $62.

The transactions also arrive as analysts question whether Circle can translate rising stablecoin adoption into sustained profit growth. That distinction is becoming increasingly important because USDC can expand even while Circle retains a smaller proportion of the income generated by its reserves.

Mizuho Cuts Circle Target as Margin Risks Grow

Mizuho last week downgraded Circle from Neutral to Underperform and lowered its price target from $85 to $50. Analysts led by Dan Dolev identified OpenUSD’s revenue-sharing model as a potentially disruptive threat to Circle’s economics.

The bank raised its forecast for Circle’s 2027 distribution and transaction expense ratio from 64% to 73%. This reflects expectations that more reserve income will be passed to partners.

It also reduced its 2027 adjusted EBITDA estimate from $1.09 billion to $699 million. This is approximately 25% below Wall Street consensus.

Circle’s relationship with Coinbase represents a particularly important risk. Their USDC distribution agreement is expected to be renegotiated later this summer. Coinbase’s involvement with OpenUSD could strengthen its bargaining position.

JPMorgan has also lowered earnings forecasts for Circle and Coinbase following new revenue-sharing terms involving Hyperliquid. Under the reported arrangement, Coinbase will transfer 90% of the USDC reserve yield generated on the platform to Hyperliquid.

Circle continues expanding despite these concerns. It has received approval to establish Circle National Trust and partnered with Japanese card network JCB to test USDC-based treasury transfers.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Giuseppe Ciccomascolo

Giuseppe Ciccomascolo began his career as an investigative journalist in Italy, where he contributed to both local and national newspapers, focusing on various financial sectors.

Upon relocating to London, he worked as an analyst for Fitch's CapitalStructure and later as a Senior Reporter for Alliance News. In 2017, Giuseppe transitioned to covering cryptocurrency-related news, producing documentaries and articles on Bitcoin and other emerging digital currencies. He also played a pivotal role in establishing the academy for a cryptocurrency exchange website. Crypto remained his primary area of interest throughout his tenure as a writer for ThirdFloor.

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