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Is It Too Late to Buy Bitcoin? Analyzing the Market for Timing Entry Points

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Andrew Kamsky
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Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin’s potential remains massive, with long-term price targets reaching millions per coin.
  • The next bear market, likely in 2026, may offer an ideal buying opportunity.
  • Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million ensures increasing scarcity as adoption grows globally.
  • New investors should avoid emotional investing focusing on long-term value and strategic entry points.

For those who have watched Bitcoin evolve from a niche experiment to a globally recognized asset yet do not own any, a common question arises: Is it too late to buy Bitcoin? Many potential investors hesitate, driven by the belief that Bitcoin’s price is too high and that the opportunity has been missed.

No-coiners have been watching the price of Bitcoin increase from just a few hundred dollars to an all-time high of $99,658 in November 2024.

The truth is that Bitcoin’s price appreciation is far from over. While the days of exponential, early-adopter gains may be behind us, Bitcoin’s long-term potential remains noteworthy.

This article aims to explore the psychology of investing, Bitcoin’s future potential, and why entering the market at current prices might still be highly profitable.

Why New Market Participants Should Understand Bitcoin Before Investing

Before investing in Bitcoin, the individual needs to study Bitcoin fundamentals. Many newcomers are drawn to Bitcoin (BTC) during bull markets, enticed by high prices and the allure of quick profits.

However, this often leads to buying at market peaks, followed by panic-selling during downturns, resulting in losses.

Warren Buffett, the renowned investor, advises investors not to invest in a business they don’t understand. Buffett’s principle is especially applicable to Bitcoin.

Investors should learn to buy Bitcoin to hold it for at least four years , participating in at least one complete cycle to reduce the risk of panic-selling during bear markets.

The Psychology of Hesitation: Why You’re Not Too Late

New buyers of Bitcoin should not compare to others who acquired Bitcoin at $100, $1,000, or even $10,000, this thought often makes current prices, in late 2024, around $95,000 intimidating. Comparing a potential entry point to someone who bought years ago is not considering the larger picture.

Those early investors who are sitting on significant gains have likely faced their own doubts and fears when they invested. At the time, many questioned whether Bitcoin would even survive. Today, the conversation has shifted. Bitcoin is no longer a fringe idea!

Bitcoin is a globally recognized store-of-value that is often compared to gold. Institutional investors, governments, and even Fortune 500 companies, like Tesla, are integrating Bitcoin into portfolios and balance sheets by purchasing spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Bitcoin Adoption Outpaces the Internet: Why We’re Still Early in the Growth Curve

When comparing the Internet and Bitcoin adoption, Bitcoin looks as though it is outpacing the Internet in adoption growth, highlighting how early we are in its global journey.

The chart below illustrates how Bitcoin is mimicking the 1999-2001 era of the Internet before Meta (Facebook) and other tech giants came to be.

Bitcoin vs Internet Adoption
Bitcoin vs Internet Adoption

By 2023, Bitcoin had already reached 250 million users, a steeper growth curve compared to the Internet at a similar stage of its development.

Despite Bitcoin’s rapid expansion, Bitcoin’s adoption rate is only around 6% of the global population, leaving huge room for growth as Bitcoin financial products are rolled out over the next decade. Bitcoin, as a store-of-value and the first Proof-of-Work (PoW) digital gold, is its most recognized role. However, its broader potential as a platform for trust and decentralized systems is only starting to emerge.

Why Patience Pays: Timing Your Bitcoin Investment With Bear Markets for Maximum Gains

At $100,000, Bitcoin may seem expensive, but when a new participant considers Bitcoin’s potential to reach significantly higher valuations, like a million dollars, it’s clear Bitcoin’s price is still on the lower side. However, individuals who are convinced they want to enter the market, after studying Bitcoin, may benefit from the act of patience.

Bitcoin Price History
Bitcoin Price History

Instead of rushing into a position as the price is climbing, individuals should consider using this time to observe the market and learn more about Bitcoin’s fundamentals whilst waiting for an ideal entry point.

Timing a purchase during a market correction, such as a cycle bear market or price consolidation phase, can provide a huge strategic advantage to maximize gains.

Bitcoin’s Future: A Roadmap to Growth

Many prominent figures in the crypto space have made bold predictions about where Bitcoin could go in the coming years. For example, Michael Saylor, a well-known Bitcoin advocate, has suggested that Bitcoin could eventually reach $13 million per coin. Bitcoin’s growth might go as follows:

Short-Term Growth

With Bitcoin reaching $100,000 in late 2024, many proponents of the Power Law and Stock-to-Flow model anticipate Bitcoin could peak at $200,000 or higher in 2025. Such growth would represent a doubling of its current value, offering a large return for investors in any market.

Mid-Term Growth

As adoption increases $400,000 to $1,000,000 per coin is well within reach over the next 10 to 15 years. Institutional adoption, Bitcoin ETFs, and geopolitical factors such as inflation and currency instability may drive the price of Bitcoin to these high levels.

Long-Term Growth

If Bitcoin holds its position as a reliable global reserve asset or a unique store-of-value, the price can increase to unprecedented heights. Looking 20 to 30 years into the future, Bitcoin’s potential could hit $2 million, $5 million, or even $10 million per coin making an investment in 2024 a no-brainer.

Why Investors Should Think Long-Term

Investing in Bitcoin today should not necessarily be about maximizing short-term gains. It’s about positioning oneself for the long-term financial transformation that Bitcoin represents. Historically, Bitcoin has outperformed every other asset class, from stocks to real estate to gold. While volatility remains a part of its nature, the long-term trend has been consistently upward.

If Bitcoin reaches even a fraction of the milestones mentioned above, a purchase today will look like a bargain in hindsight.

Why Bitcoin Still Has Room to Grow

Bitcoin still has significant growth potential due to its limited supply, growing adoption, and role as an inflation hedge. With only 21 million coins ever to exist and over 19.8 million already mined, Bitcoin’s scarcity drives its value as demand rises.

Major institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity, along with countries like El Salvador, have embraced Bitcoin, strengthening Bitcoin’s foundation for long-term growth. As fiat currencies lose value due to inflation, Bitcoin offers a decentralized, inflation-resistant alternative. While its price may fluctuate, Bitcoin’s overall trajectory has been positive, making it a strong case for long-term investment.

Bitcoin Has No Bottom Because Fiat Currency Has No Top

Bitcoin’s price is fundamentally tied to the devaluation of fiat currencies, which are subject to unlimited printing by central banks. As fiat money supply grows unchecked, purchasing power declines, driving demand for scarce assets like Bitcoin.

With Bitcoin’s capped supply of 21 million coins, its value will continue to rise over time, as there is no limit to how much fiat can inflate and no ultimate floor for Bitcoin’s price in such a system.

How Much Is a Good First Investment In Bitcoin?

One of the great things about Bitcoin is that you can buy a fraction of a coin. Unlike traditional investments, Bitcoin is divisible into small units called satoshis. An individual can start with as little as $10 or $100 and still benefit from its growth.

Starting small allows an individual to test the waters without becoming emotional about the purchase. As an individual becomes more comfortable with Bitcoin and sees the investment grow, what typically happens is that that same individual tends to add to that position over time.

Conclusion

Bitcoin is not a get-rich-quick scheme. It’s a long-term investment, of minimum four years, in a digital technology reshaping the global financial landscape. By adopting a patient, long-term mindset, one can build wealth steadily over time.

Whether Bitcoin’s price is $100,000 or $200,000, the potential for growth remains. As adoption increases and the global financial system changes, Bitcoin’s role as a store-of-value and a hedge against inflation will only become more important.

Whether it’s too late to buy Bitcoin often stems from fear and uncertainty. But when one looks at Bitcoin’s fundamentals, its scarcity, adoption, and long-term potential, it becomes clearer that the story is far from over. The best time to buy Bitcoin was years ago. The second-best time is today or the bottom of the next bear market.

FAQs

Is Bitcoin too expensive now?

No, its long-term potential makes any entry point valuable with a patient strategy.

When is the next best time to buy?

A likely bottom during the 2026 bear market offers a strategic opportunity.

Why does Bitcoin follow a four-year cycle?

The halving event reduces supply, driving cyclical price growth and subsequent corrections.

Can Bitcoin still grow significantly?

Yes, projections suggest prices could reach $1 million or more over the next few decades.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Andrew Kamsky

Andrew Kamsky is a writer and chart analyst, holding a degree in Economics and an ACCA certification. Andrew’s professional background spans roles at a Big Four accountancy firm, a fintech bank, and a chart analyst position at a listed bank focusing on foreign currency hedging. Beyond his financial career, Andrew is passionate about music, glass neon lights and travel.
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