Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: Critical Levels and Trends Shaping BTC’s Future

Key Takeaways

• Bitcoin (BTC) reached its all-time high in January 2025.
• The BTC price fell over 30% afterward but bounced in April.
• Is Bitcoin’s market cycle over, or does another high await?

The Bitcoin price increased by over 600% in the current market cycle, which aligns with the diminishing returns since the first.

However, the cycle would have been the shortest in Bitcoin’s price history if it had ended.

While Bitcoin has fallen over 30% since its all-time high, it rallied in April, creating optimism that the cycle has not ended.

This article explores Bitcoin price predictions for the coming years, considering key technical indicators like the wave count and logarithmic growth curve. Here’s what you can expect for Bitcoin’s price movements in 2025, 2026, and beyond.

Bitcoin Price Prediction

Let’s look at the Bitcoin price predictions made by CCN on May 5, 2025, using a combination of the wave count and the Logarithmic growth curve. The minimum and maximum predictions depend on the projected price movement during the year and the minimum and maximum of the logarithmic growth curve.

Bitcoin’s wave count shows a completed five-wave upward movement since November 2022. The rally ended with an all-time high of $109,356 in January.

The high was combined with bearish divergences in the RSI and MACD, historically marking the end of bull cycles. If that is the case, the Bitcoin price has begun its bear market.

Since its inception, Bitcoin’s long-term logarithmic growth curve contains its price movement. The price has usually reached the upper portions of this curve, though it barely did so in the current cycle.

Nevertheless, the wave count and indicator readings suggest the cycle is over so we can project a similar decline toward the curve’s lower bands.

The previous declines have been between 350 and 415 days, so we will take an average decline of 370 days from the all-time high, which will continue until January 2025.

Using this method, we arrive at Bitcoin price predictions of $46,500 and $171,000 for the end of 2025 and 2026, respectively.

For the Bitcoin price prediction at the end of 2030, we will use the middle of the logarithmic growth curve and its upper and lower limits, leading to a price prediction of $250,000.

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2025

The wave count method and the logarithmic growth curve predict that Bitcoin’s price will range between $40,000 and $109,350 in 2025.

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2026

The wave count method and the logarithmic growth curve predict that Bitcoin’s price will range between $50,000 and $280,000 in 2026.

Bitcoin Price Prediction for 2030

The wave count method and the logarithmic growth curve predict that Bitcoin’s price will range between $110,000 and $1,300,000,000 in 2030.

Bitcoin Price Analysis

The weekly time frame analysis shows Bitcoin is in a very precarious position. 

After its increase, BTC reached a confluence of resistances between $94,000-$96,000, created by :

• A descending resistance trend line
• The $94,000 horizontal resistance area
• The 0.619 Fibonacci retracement resistance level.

While BTC briefly moved above two resistances (red icon), it failed to sustain the increase and created a long upper wick.

So, the current weekly close is highly critical for Bitcoin’s trend.

A decisive close below $94,000 could lead to a significant retracement, while the opposite is true with a close above $96,000.

Technical indicators are also at significant levels. The RSI is slightly above 50, while the MACD is close to making a bullish cross.

This week’s movement can help determine if the long-term Bitcoin trend is bullish or bearish.

Short-Term Bitcoin Price Prediction

The Bitcoin price prediction for the next 24 hours is bearish. A significant decline is likely since the price has completed an A-B-C corrective structure.

If the downward movement transpires, BTC could fall to the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci retracement support levels at $83,641 and $86,230.

Bitcoin Average True Range (ATR): BTC Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: The current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close over a period, typically 14 days.

A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility.

On May 5, Bitcoin’s ATR was 8,998, a sign of high volatility.

Bitcoin Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is BTC Overbought or Oversold?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that traders use to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Movements above 70 and below 30 show overbought and oversold conditions, respectively. Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

On May 5, the Bitcoin RSI was 57, signifying a slightly bullish trend.

Bitcoin On-Chain Readings

The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) indicator measures the market’s unrealized profit or loss divided by market capitalization.

The indicator helps determine if market participants feel euphoria, noted by high values, or despair, indicated by low values.

Historically, Bitcoin market cycle tops have occurred at NUPL values above 0.6.

In the current market cycle, the NUPL has twice reached a high of 0.64 and is currently at 0.59.

While the actual value is slightly lower than the previous cycle, a bearish divergence (red line) has existed since March.

Such a bearish divergence marked the top of the previous and first market cycles.

Another important bearish signal is the decline below 0.5. Historically, there have been false breakdowns under this line (red circle), but the second breakdown always confirms that the bearish trend has started.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines an array of advanced market signals to quantify the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over a recent 30-day period.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

• 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
• 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
• 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
• 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
• 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate more volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes.

On May 5, Bitcoin showed 51.4 on the CCN index, indicating average strength.

Best Days and Months to Buy Bitcoin

We examined the BTC price history and found the lowest points on certain days, months, quarters, and weeks in the year, indicating the best times to buy BTC.

Price Performance Comparisons

Bitcoin Price History

Let’s look at some key dates in the Bitcoin price history. It is important to remember that past performance is no indicator of future results, but knowing what BTC has done in the past can help provide some much-needed context when making or interpreting a BTC price prediction.

Bitcoin Market Cap

Market capitalization, or market cap, is the sum of the total number of BTC in circulation multiplied by their price.

On May 5, 2025, Bitcoin’s market cap was $1,877 trillion, making it the largest cryptocurrency.

Who Owns the Most Bitcoin

On May 5, 2025, only one wallet, tagged as “Binance,” held over 1% of the Bitcoin supply.

Richest BTC Wallet Addresses

As of May 5, 2025, the five wallets with the most BTC were:

• 34xp4vRoCGJym3xR7yCVPFHoCNxv4Twseo. This wallet, named Binance, held 248,598 BTC, or 1.18% of the total supply.
• bc1ql49ydapnjafl5t2cp9zqpjwe6pdgmxy98859v2. This wallet held 140,575 BTC, or 0.67% of the total supply.
• bc1qgdjqv0av3q56jvd82tkdjpy7gdp9ut8tlqmgrpmv24sq90ecnvqqjwvw97. This wallet, named Bitfinex, held 139,010 BTC, or 0.66% of the total supply.
• 3M219KR5vEneNb47ewrPfWyb5jQ2DjxRP6. This wallet, named Binance, held 134,281 BTC, or 0.64% of the total supply.
• bc1qazcm763858nkj2dj986etajv6wquslv8uxwczt. This wallet held 94,643 BTC, or 0.45% of the total supply.

Supply and Distribution

What is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin (BTC) is the first decentralized cryptocurrency, created in 2009 by an anonymous entity called Satoshi Nakamoto. It uses blockchain technology for secure, peer-to-peer transactions without a central authority.

How Does Bitcoin Work?

Bitcoin operates on a public blockchain where miners verify transactions using a proof-of-work consensus mechanism. The total supply is capped at 21 million BTC, making it scarce and often compared to gold.

Is Bitcoin a Good Investment?

Bitcoin has seen significant price volatility but is often considered a store of value. It can be a speculative investment and a hedge against inflation. Its long-term potential is optimistic, but short-term price movements can be unpredictable.

Will Bitcoin Go Up or Down?

Bitcoin’s price is highly volatile, influenced by market trends, regulations, and technological developments. Predicting its direction is challenging.

Should I Invest in Bitcoin?

Investing in Bitcoin requires careful research, as its volatility can lead to significant gains or losses. Only invest what you can afford to lose.

FAQs