Tezos Price Prediction 2025: Bearish Trend Could Push XTZ Lower

Key Takeaways

• XTZ underperformed the market in 2023 and 2024 but still made an annual profit in both years.
• The Tezos coin supports a blockchain that is designed to alter itself rather than relying on hard forks.
• Our Tezos price predictions suggest it could drop to $0.22 next year.
• Interested in buying or selling TEZOS XTZ coin? Read our review of the best exchanges to buy and sell TEZOS XTZ.

Although the Tezos blockchain succeeded in 2021, it struggled in 2022, losing over 80% of its value. While things got better in 2023, it still underperformed against the overall crypto market. The same was true of 2024, despite a late surge that saw it top $1.80 in early December.

Meanwhile, so far, 2025 has been rather downbeat for Texos. On Feb. 7, 2025, XTZ was worth about $0.8375, less than half what it was about two months earlier. 

Let’s examine our Tezos price predictions, made on Feb. 7, 2025. We will also examine the history of Tezos’s price and discuss what Tezos is and does.

Tezos Price Prediction

Let’s look at the XTZ price prediction made by CCN on Feb. 7 2025. We will use the wave count to make a prediction, adding and removing 20% from the final target to create the minimum and maximum price predictions. 

The most likely count suggests that XTZ has completed a five-wave downward movement after its all-time high in October 2021. Then, it finished an A-B-C structure (white) before beginning another five-wave decline, which it is currently finishing. 

If the decrease has the same length and duration as the previous one, the XTZ price will reach a low of $0.11 in November 2026, which is used as the XTZ price prediction at the end of 2026. 

Then, we will use the daily rate of decrease for the past four years to predict the end of 2030. Doing so leads to a low of $0.03.

Tezos Price Prediction for 2025

The wave count method predicts an XTZ price range between $0.22 and $0.32 by the end of 2025.

Tezos Price Prediction for 2026

The wave count method predicts an XTZ price range between $0.09 and $0.13 by the end of 2026.

Tezos Price Prediction for 2030

The daily rate of decrease for the past four years leads to an XTZ price prediction range between $0.024 and $0.036 for the end of 2030. 

Tezos Price Analysis

The daily time frame XTZ chart shows that the price has decreased inside a descending parallel channel since December 2024. It recently validated the channel’s support trend line on Feb. 3, creating a long lower wick (white icon). 

Despite the bounce, XTZ still trades in the channel’s lower portion, a sign that the trend is still bearish. 

Not only that but the daily RSI and MACD are also both declining. So, another drop to the channel’s support trend line at $0.60 is the most likely future outlook.

Short-Term Tezos Price Prediction

The XTZ price prediction for the next 24 hours is bearish. The price will likely continue falling toward the channel’s support trend line at $0.65.

Looking for a safe place to buy and sell TEZOS XTZ? See the leading platforms for buying and selling TEZOS XTZ

Tezos Average True Range (ATR): XTZ Volatility

The Average True Range (ATR) measures market volatility by averaging the largest of three values: the current high minus the current low, the absolute value of the current high minus the previous close, and the absolute value of the current low minus the previous close over a period, typically 14 days. A rising ATR indicates increasing volatility, while a falling ATR indicates decreasing volatility. Since ATR values can be higher for higher-priced assets, normalize ATR by dividing it by the asset price to compare volatility across different price levels.

On Feb. 7, 2025, Tezos’ ATR was 0.014, suggesting low volatility.

Tezos Relative Strength Index (RSI): Is XTZ Overbought or Oversold?

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator traders use to determine whether an asset is overbought or oversold. Movements above and below the 50 line also indicate if the trend is bullish or bearish.

On Feb. 7, 2025, the Tezos RSI was 45, indicating a slightly bullish sentiment.

Tezos Market Cap to TVL Ratio

The Total Value Locked (TVL) to market cap ratio (TVL ratio) measures the valuation of a decentralized finance (DeFi) project by comparing its market capitalization to the total value of assets locked in its smart contracts. This ratio shows the project’s utilization and links the platform’s health to locked asset value.

A ratio above 1.0 indicates overvaluation because the market cap exceeds the value of assets used in the platform. A ratio below 1.0 indicates undervaluation because the market cap is lower than the value of locked assets.

On Feb. 7, 2025, the Tezos TVL ratio was 21.38, suggesting overvaluation.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines an array of advanced market signals to measure the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over the last 30 days.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

• 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
• 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
• 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
• 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
• 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate stronger volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes. The same principle applies to rapid declines: a sudden drop will spike the score downward, but the score will slowly adjust back up as volatility decreases.

On Feb. 7, 2025, Bitcoin scored 43.1 on the CCN Index, suggesting moderate momentum.

Tezos Price Performance Comparisons

Best Days and Months to Buy Tezos

We examined the Tezos price history and found the lowest prices on certain days, months, quarters, and even weeks in the year, indicating the best times to buy XTZ.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Tezos

CCN’s Senior Research Analyst, Toghrul Aliyev, investigated Tezos in depth and found the following advantages and disadvantages.

Advantages of Tezos

• Net Positive Staking Returns: Tezos offers stakers a positive net return. The average annual staking yield of 6.58% outpaces the supply inflation rates of 4.85% for circulating supply and 4.68% for total supply .

• Open Source Development: Tezos is open source, meaning its code is publicly available for anyone to inspect and audit. This transparency enhances security and allows developers to contribute easily.
• High Decentralization : Tezos has a Nakamoto coefficient of 29, which means 29 validators control 33% of the network. The coefficient is an important metric for assessing centralization. A higher number suggests a better distribution of control among validators and indicates strong decentralization. For comparison, the Nakamoto Coefficient of Ethereum is only 2 .
• Self-Amendment and Upgradeability: Tezos can upgrade itself without needing a hard fork, which helps maintain a unified network and avoids issues such as fragmentation seen in Bitcoin Cash and Ethereum Classic.
• Solid Security: Tezos improves security by isolating its consensus mechanism from transaction execution. The separation prevents issues in one layer from affecting the entire system. For instance, if a bug or attack occurs in the transaction layer, like a faulty smart contract, the consensus layer responsible for validating and securing the blockchain remains unaffected. Hence, the network maintains stability and security.
• Effective Upgrades: Tezos focuses on continuous platform improvement. For example, recent upgrades, like Mumbai and Paris , have significantly reduced block times from 30 seconds to 15 and then to 10 seconds.
• Diverse Ecosystem : Tezos supports 85 active projects across various sectors, such as DeFi, digital identity, gaming, and NFTs.
• Resilient and Reliable: Tezos launched as an ICO in 2017 and has endured the bear markets of 2018 and 2022.

Disadvantages of Tezos

• Stagnant Developer Activity: Tezos ranks 131st with only 138 commits in the past week among other blockchains. It also has just 22 weekly active developers , making it 121st by that measurement.
• Low User Adoption : In almost six years since the mainnet launch, Tezos has only 2,300 daily active users, which is relatively low.
• Centralized Token Holdings : The top 100 holders of Tezos control 54.75% of the total supply. This can lead to centralization risks, where a small number of holders have significant influence over network decisions and market price.
• Market Competition: Despite its unique features, Tezos faces stiff competition from other blockchain platforms like Ethereum and Polkadot, which have larger developer communities and more established ecosystems.
• Complex Programming Language: Tezos uses Michelson, which can be difficult to learn and use, especially for developers unfamiliar with stack-based languages or formal verification concepts. Michelson also has a smaller developer community and fewer resources. Additionally, writing and verifying smart contracts in Michelson can be time-consuming and potentially slow down development processes.

Tezos Price History

Following that, let’s now take a look at some of the key dates in the Tezos price history . While past performance should never be taken as an indicator of future results, knowing what the coin has done can help give us some very useful context when it comes to either making or interpreting a Tezos price prediction.

Tezos Market Cap

The market capitalization, or market cap, is the sum of the total number of XTZ in circulation multiplied by its price.

On Feb. 7, 2025, Tezos’ market cap was about $862 million, making it the 77th-largest crypto by that metric.

Who Owns the Most Tezos?

As of Feb. 7, 2025, a wallet linked to the Upbit exchange held nearly 5% of the total XTZ supply.

Richest XTZ Wallet Addresses

On Feb. ,7 2025, the five wallets with the most Tezos were:

• tz1beW9AVJjE9QpTGYVPdtZCF5w1NPknMJ3T. This wallet, listed as Upbit 12, held 49,159,994 XTZ, or 4.92% of the supply.
• tz1gfArv665EUkSg2ojMBzcbfwuPxAvqPvjo. This wallet, listed as Kraken Baker, held 38,978,566 XTZ, or 3.9% of the supply.
• tz1Q3jvYU9knekDYJfyvj3GjUy6898MNjvb2. This wallet, listed as Binance Delegator 2, held 37,301,737 XTZ, or 3.73% of the supply.
• tz1UHF8fkzv9BPQcm9wbBU5SXm9bmrMs8sK8. This wallet held 32,319,220 XTZ, or 3.24% of the supply.
• tz1LGs8Mip54S3DYDghuxJvxTTDcvDYJVRyC. This wallet held 21,075,846 XTZ, or 2.11% of the supply.

Tezos Supply and Distribution

From the Tezos Whitepaper

In its technical documentation or whitepaper , Tezos says that it can, in simple terms, fix itself. 

The whitepaper says: “Tezos supports meta upgrades: the protocols can evolve by amending their own code.”

Tezos (XTZ) Explained

The Tezos blockchain was first proposed in 2014 and came online in 2017. It was designed to work well even when traffic was high, meaning that it is, theoretically, scalable. 

The platform supports decentralized applications (dApps) using smart contracts and computer programs that automatically execute once certain conditions are met. 

Tezos is supported by its own eponymous crypto coin, known by the ticker handle XTZ.

How Tezos Works

Tezos is a self-amending blockchain. This means that when a vote is taken to change something on the system, it is put in place automatically. This means that the system is, at least in theory, immune from hard forks, moves that basically split the blockchain and potentially create new cryptos as a result.

The blockchain uses a Proof-of-Stake consensus mechanism. People are selected to validate transactions and add blocks to the blockchain based on how much XTZ they hold.

The XTZ coin gives holders votes on the system’s future and the right to add blocks to the blockchain. It can also be bought, sold, and traded on exchanges to pay for network fees. 

Is Tezos a Good Investment?

It is hard to say. Tezos made a small recovery in 2023. However, the shadow of the disasters of 2022 is still looming over it, and it has fallen so far this year. 

That said, Tezos is a useful blockchain. The idea that it can change without splitting does, at least in theory, give it a certain solidity that might make it appealing to investors.  

As always with crypto, you should do your own research before deciding whether or not to invest in XTZ.

Will Tezos go up or down?

No one can really tell right now. While the Tezos crypto price predictions are largely positive, price predictions have a well-earned reputation for being wrong. Keep in mind, too, that prices can and do go down and up. 

Should I invest in Tezos?

Before deciding whether to invest in Tezos, you must do your own research, not only on XTZ but on other related coins and tokens such as Solana (SOL) and Cardano (ADA). Either way, you must also ensure you never invest more money than you can afford to lose.

Technical analysis by Valdrin Tahiri.

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Disclaimer 

Please note that the contents of this article are not financial or investing advice. The information provided in this article is the author’s opinion only and should not be considered as offering trading or investing recommendations. We do not make any warranties about the completeness, reliability and accuracy of this information. The cryptocurrency market suffers from high volatility and occasional arbitrary movements. Any investor, trader, or regular crypto users should research multiple viewpoints and be familiar with all local regulations before committing to an investment.