Key Takeaways
Optimism around XRP surged in July after the token printed a fresh all-time high, with growing calls for a move toward $5.
That momentum, however, failed to carry through. Instead of extending higher, XRP’s price has retraced, shedding roughly 48% of its peak value as bullish sentiment waned.
Heading into the Christmas and New Year period, the pressure has intensified. XRP has slipped below the $2 mark, and a growing cluster of technical indicators suggests the token may struggle to reclaim higher ground during the holiday stretch.
Here’s what’s weighing on XRP, and what the charts suggest could come next.
On the weekly chart, CCN observed that XRP’s price has printed a higher number of red candlesticks than green ones since setting its all-time high, highlighting a sustained loss of upward momentum.
As a result, price action has compressed into a descending triangle, with horizontal support forming near the $1.88 level.
Momentum indicators suggest this structure remains vulnerable, raising the risk of an extended breakdown if support fails to hold.
One indicator reinforcing this bearish bias is the Supertrend. At the time of this writing, the red Supertrend line has crossed above XRP’s price.
Typically, this position signals a sell signal.
Therefore, as long as this setup persists, XRP may struggle to build enough momentum to challenge higher levels, including a sustained move toward the $3 region.

Adding to the downside risk, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains locked in a bearish crossover, indicating that negative momentum has yet to unwind.
If this configuration persists, XRP’s price risks sliding toward the next underlying support level, near $1.43, especially if broader market conditions remain unsupportive.
Notably, this bearish technical setup contrasts with the fund flow data.
Despite the price weakness, XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded inflows of over 22 million coins yesterday, suggesting that institutional interest has not yet entirely dissipated.

But since demand on the spot market has continued to lag, the altcoin’s price might fail to break out this Christmas or New Year.
On the daily chart, XRP continues to trade within a falling channel, reinforcing the view that overcoming overhead resistance remains challenging in the near term.
Adding to the bearish setup, the token has formed a death cross on the EMA structure.
The signal emerged as the 20-day EMA crossed below the 50-day EMA.
If this technical setup remains the same, XRP risks sliding toward the $1.77 level, where the next area of technical support lies.

On the contrary, a resurgence in buying pressure, particularly if spot market demand begins to recover, could invalidate the bearish setup.
In that scenario, XRP’s price may attempt a rebound toward the $2.22 region.