XRP Price Slips Despite Ripple’s Regulatory Win — Support at $2 Under Threat

Ripple just landed one of its most important regulatory wins to date, and institutional demand for XRP exposure is accelerating fast.

Yet despite bullish Ripple news and $1 billion flowing into spot XRP ETFs, the XRP price today is flashing warning signs.

Instead of rallying, XRP is hovering dangerously close to a breakdown from its most important support level.

So why isn’t the price reacting to the good news, and what happens next if support fails?

Positive Ripple News

Ripple just scored a major regulatory win as the U.S. Office of the Comptroller of the Currency conditionally approved Ripple National Trust Bank alongside four other crypto firms.

The news marks a significant milestone in bringing digital asset companies into the traditional banking system.

This conditional national trust bank charter signals a shift toward deeper institutional integration and federal oversight for Ripple’s business operations.

As Ripple founder Brad Garlinghouse stated, this places Ripple under a federal banking framework could strengthen confidence among financial institutions considering Ripple’s payments infrastructure.

Over time, this regulatory progress could help expand XRP’s utility as a bridge asset in cross-border transfers and support broader institutional adoption, aligning Ripple more closely with mainstream financial networks.

Alongside that, U.S. spot XRP ETFs have quickly amassed about $1 billion in inflows in under four weeks, marking one of the fastest adoption curves for a crypto ETF since Ethereum’s funds launched.

These developments signal growing institutional interest and broader acceptance of XRP within traditional financial structures,

However, the price action tells a very different story.

XRP Price Analysis

The XRP price action warns of a potential breakdown from the most important horizontal support level in years.

The $2 support area has prevented numerous breakdowns since December 2024, but the XRP price risks breaking down below it today.

This support is not only important because it has existed for a year.

Another reason why it is critical is that there is no clear support below it.

So, if the XRP price breaks down, it could plummet by another 55%.

Momentum indicators confirm the bearish XRP price prediction.

• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50.
• The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is negative.

All eyes are on the $2 area, since once that fails, the XRP price could plummet to new lows.

Short-Term XRP Price Prediction

While the weekly chart is decisively bearish, the daily one offers hope for a bounce.

XRP has formed a double bottom pattern, which often signals a bullish trend reversal.

Adding to the positive signs, the MACD and RSI have generated bullish divergences, legitimizing the bullish pattern.

Nevertheless, XRP still follows a descending resistance trend line.

If XRP breaks out, it could reach the $2.25 resistance before it gets rejected.

As a result, even a short-term bounce is unlikely to lead to a full-blown trend reversal.

Rather, the XRP price could struggle once it hits $2.25, resuming its long-term bearish trend.

Why is XRP Going Down?

The XRP price today is at a crossroads.

Ripple’s regulatory progress and ETF inflows show growing institutional confidence, but the price action is refusing to confirm the bullish narrative.

As long as XRP trades below $2.25 and struggles to defend $2, the downside risk dominates.

A clean break below support could trigger a sharp selloff, while a successful defense may only produce a short-lived bounce.

For now, XRP’s next major move will be decided not by headlines, but by whether bulls can protect the $2 level.

About the Author

Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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