Key Takeaways
XRP is walking a tightrope. Following a 25% correction over the past month, the price now hangs by a thread above its key moving averages.
This same level defined every significant bounce this cycle.
But with indicators turning south, here is why a breakdown could expose XRP’s price to lower liquidity zones.
Unlike the steady uptrend seen up until July, XRP’s price is now confined within a descending channel on the weekly chart.
During this decline, the token has dropped below key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). This drop is a sign that short- and mid-term momentum has shifted bearish.
Although the 20 EMA (blue) remains above the 50 EMA (yellow), the fact that XRP’s price has fallen beneath both indicates weakening buyer conviction.
Besides that, it indicates a loss of crucial support from short-term moving averages.
This setup suggests that sellers are dominating, and unless XRP’s price reclaims these EMAs, further downside movement could follow.
In technical terms, trading below both the 20- and 50-day EMAs turns these levels into resistance areas, making recovery more challenging.
Therefore, as it stands, XRP risks declining to the $1.92 support if it fails to close above these averages.

Examining the liquidity heatmap, Coinglass data indicates a high concentration of liquidity around the $2.70 level.
This zone represents a key area of interest for both buyers and sellers, as large clusters of orders are positioned there.
Such liquidity concentrations act as magnetic zones, drawing the price toward them before a notable move occurs.
But as of this writing, buying pressure has faded. Hence, it might be challenging to breach the $2.70 region.

On the daily chart, XRP’s price remains trapped within a descending channel. By the look of things, it appears ready to dip below the lower trendline of this formation.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has also confirmed a bearish crossover, with the 12 EMA (blue) crossing below the 26 EMA (orange), a sign of shifting momentum toward sellers.
If this trend persists, XRP could decline below $2.22. Should selling pressure intensify, the move may deepen into a liquidity trap, triggering a correction toward $1.77 as traders exit positions.
However, if buying pressure increases, this bearish outlook could be invalidated. In that scenario, XRP’s price may rebound toward the $2.70 liquidity concentration, which currently serves as a key resistance zone.

In a highly bullish scenario, sustained momentum could propel XRP to as high as $2.94, indicating a full recovery from its ongoing consolidation phase.