Key Takeaways
Since hitting its peak earlier this year, XRP has been under heavy selling pressure, struggling to maintain momentum despite several attempts to rebound.
The recent price action paints a mixed picture. The daily chart shows a bounce, but the weekly one remains bearish.
With XRP stuck in a corrective channel and momentum indicators flashing red, traders are closely watching whether this bounce has real strength or just another lower high in a prolonged downtrend.
The XRP price has fallen since reaching its all-time high of $3.66 in July 2025.
XRP’s decline initially occurred gradually but accelerated at the beginning of October.
The XRP price fell to a low of $1.25 but bounced, creating a massive long lower wick and preventing a breakdown from the $2 horizontal support area.
While the bounce is a positive sign, the fact that XRP trades inside an ascending parallel channel cannot be ignored.
These channels usually contain corrective movements, so a breakdown is the most likely future price outlook.
This prediction would be less likely if the XRP price traded above the channel’s midline.
However, this is not the case, and XRP is struggling to maintain the channel’s support trend line.
A breakdown from the channel will likely confirm that new lows are in store, even though XRP still trades above $2.
If the price breaks, it will confirm the end of the ongoing bullish cycle and could catalyze a massive breakdown to new lows.

Momentum indicators support this possibility, since the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) have generated bearish divergences leading to the drop.
The RSI is below 50, while the MACD has made a bearish cross (indicated by black circles). So, the XRP price prediction is bearish, as confirmed by a breakdown from the channel.
Examining the XRP price movement since the 2020 low reveals a corrective structure that is already complete.
According to the count, XRP has completed an A-B-C structure (green) in which wave C is 0.618 times the length of wave A.
In addition to the bearish count, the XRP price has deviated above the long-term horizontal resistance at $2.90.

Since the area was the previous all-time high, the deviation above it is a highly bearish sign that could mark the top.
Combined with the bearish indicator readings and the price action, the XRP prediction for the rest of the year will likely be bearish.
The daily time frame chart shows that the central horizontal resistance area is at $2.75. The area acted as support for several months, but turned to resistance once the price of XRP broke down.
Even if XRP reaches it again, it will act as resistance, strengthened by a diagonal resistance trend line.

Today, the XRP price attempts to break out from a shorter-term resistance (dashed), but has been unsuccessful.
Unless XRP clears the $2.70 resistance area, which seems unlikely, the trend remains bearish and new lows are likely.
Overall, XRP’s technical analysis leans bearish as the price faces resistance near key levels and risks a breakdown from its channel.
Unless XRP can reclaim the $2.70–$2.75 zone with substantial volume, the likelihood of a deeper correction remains high.
A confirmed breakdown could end the current cycle altogether, leaving bulls on the sidelines for the foreseeable future.