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XRP Price Must Reclaim This Level to Move to New Highs and Challenge SWIFT’s Dominance

Published 10 October 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James
Key Takeaways
  • The XRP price trades below the $3 horizontal resistance area.
  • There are viable bullish and bearish counts for the XRP price.
  • Will XRP reach new highs in 2025, or has the cycle come to an end?

This year’s XRP price increase, along with its growing adoption, has positioned it as a viable competitor to SWIFT, the incumbent cross-border payment powerhouse.

However, the weekly and daily charts show conflicting signals, keeping the market on edge.

Whether XRP holds support or breaks resistance will determine if a new all-time high is likely in 2025.

XRP Price Analysis

The weekly time frame technical analysis indicates that the XRP price is trading below the $3 horizontal area.

The $3 area is critical, as it had previously served as the all-time high region until XRP broke out in July 2025.

However, the breakout could not be sustained, and the XRP price fell below the area, validating it as resistance today (red icon).

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Despite this weakness, XRP still trades above its previous diagonal resistance trend line, which it is validating as support (indicated by green icons).

The weekly time frame price action is mixed, with both a bull and a bear case available.

Whether the XRP price closes above $3 or below the diagonal resistance will determine the direction of the future trend.

A close above $3 could take XRP to the next Fibonacci resistance at $4.47, a new all-time high.

Alternatively, a breakdown could cause a plunge to $2.

XRP Technical Analyis
XRP/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Momentum indicators lean bearish. After generating bearish divergences, neither the Relative Strength Index (RSI) nor the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) has broken out from the trend line.

Based on the weekly technical analysis, the XRP price is more likely to break down than to reach new highs.

What’s Next for XRP?

The daily time frame technical analysis adds to the confusion, failing to confirm if the XRP trend is bullish or bearish.

Just like the weekly one, momentum indicators are neutral, slightly leaning bearish.

However, the wave count offers two viable alternatives: bullish and bearish.

The bullish count suggests the XRP price has just begun the fifth and final wave of its upward movement (green).

XRP Bull Count
XRP/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The price of XRP completed a fourth wave pullback and will confirm wave five is underway by breaking out from its diagonal resistance.

If the count materializes, the XRP price is expected to reach a new all-time high of $4.25, approaching the long-term Fibonacci level.

The bearish count suggests XRP is in wave B of an A-B-C correction (red). Wave B has developed into a symmetrical triangle.

If the count is accurate, the XRP price will likely consolidate within the triangle for a short period before eventually breaking down.

XRP Bear Count
XRP/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

While the exact target for the low depends on the top of wave B, the XRP price could bottom near $2.

Due to these mixed readings, the next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether the XRP trend is bullish or bearish.

Critical October Close

As the bullish and bearish scenarios remain valid, the coming weeks will be pivotal for XRP.

A decisive close above $3 could send the token into new all-time high territory. On the other hand, failure to hold support risks a deeper correction toward $2.

XRP remains at a crossroads, and the market is waiting for clarity.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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