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TRUMP Memecoin Slides 90% From Highs With No Recovery Momentum Yet

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Victor Olanrewaju
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Key Takeaways

Arguably the most unsettling period of the year, the Official Trump (TRUMP) memecoin has not been spared from the broader market crash. Launched ahead of U.S. President Donald Trump’s inauguration in January, TRUMP has plunged nearly ten times from its all-time high.

On Jan. 19, the TRUMP memecoin price reached a peak of $73.43. Today, it’s down to just $7.73 as Donald Trump holds firm on sweeping tariffs across multiple countries.

What’s more alarming is the growing doubt that relief is on the horizon. As several market indicators suggest, TRUMP’s price is unlikely to recover as long as the current macroeconomic condition remains the same.

TRUMP Invalidates Bullish Reversal

On the daily chart, TRUMP’s price had shown readiness to form a U-shaped recovery. But the memecoin eventually lost the plot as it keeps trading below the falling trendline.

Based on the same chart, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) reading has dropped to the negative region. The AO is a technical indicator that measures momentum by comparing historic price movements to recent ones.

When the AO is positive, momentum is bullish, and the price is likely to increase. But in this case, the AO is below the zero signal line, indicating bearish momentum.

Should this trend continue, the TRUMP memecoin price is unlikely to recover. Similar to the signs shown by the AO, the Money Flow Index (MFI) reading also collapsed.

TRUMP memecoin price bearish
TRUMP/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

As seen above, the MFI, which tracks the level of buying and selling pressure, has fallen to 17.53. This rating means that TRUMP is oversold. However, a bullish reversal might be unlikely due to the dearth of volume and accumulation.

According to Santiment data, the memecoin’s volume followed the same direction as the price. For instance, after TRUMP’s price surpassed $75 in January, the volume climbed above $52 billion.

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Today, the memecoin’s value is $7.65, and the volume is less than $1 billion. This decline in volume indicates falling interest in the cryptocurrency.

TRUMP volume drops
TRUMP Volume | Credit: Santiment

If this remains the same, the TRUMP memecoin price might continue to struggle and probably inch closer to its launch price.

TRUMP Price Analysis: No Recovery

Looking at its short-term outlook, TRUMP has consistently fallen below key support levels. Currently, the price is below the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in blue.

Likewise, the memecoin has also fallen below the 20 EMA (yellow). This decline below the EMAs indicates a bearish trend. Should the TRUMP memecoin price fail to surge above these levels, then an extended decline could be next.

In that case, the cryptocurrency’s value might drop below $6. On the contrary, if the token rises above these indicators, the trend might change.

TRUMP price correction
TRUMP/USD Daily Chart | Credit: TradingView

Should that be the case, TRUMP might rally to $17.05 at the 0.236 Fibonacci level.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Victor Olanrewaju is a seasoned crypto reporter at CCN, currently based in Lagos, Nigeria. His journey into crypto began in 2017, but it wasn't until 2020—after receiving a slice of the Uniswap airdrop—that things truly clicked. At the time, Victor was learning the ropes of copywriting. That turning point led him to a role as a crypto copywriter for an affiliate marketing firm working with top crypto brokers. At the firm, he produced educational content and price predictions that significantly boosted visibility and conversions for clients, including a standout XRP price prediction that topped Google SERPs during the 2021 bull run. Victor transitioned into crypto journalism in 2022, joining AMBCrypto as a writer and analyst. There, he sharpened his skills in on-chain and technical analysis, playing a part in the outlet’s growth into a top-tier crypto media platform. In 2024, he continued his journey at BeInCrypto, where he worked with the analytics team using tools like Glassnode, Santiment, CryptoQuant, and IntoTheBlock to deliver in-depth reports on Bitcoin, altcoins, and memecoins. Now at CCN, Victor specializes in real-time news, on-chain metrics, and technical analysis. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Physics from the University of Ibadan—a background that allows him to simplify complex technical insights for a broader audience while keeping content engaging, factual and impactful.
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