Key Takeaways
The price of TRUMP has significantly declined from its all-time high, forming a long-term corrective pattern.
However, recent short-term movements indicate potential bullish momentum, with early wave formations suggesting a new impulsive structure.
The key focus is whether the price can sustain its newfound support and break through resistance levels for further upside.
TRUMP previously experienced a strong five-wave Elliott impulse, peaking at $78 on Jan. 19, before entering a prolonged correction.
The decline followed a corrective structure, with the price continuously forming lower highs and lower lows.
A descending wedge pattern emerged, signaling the potential exhaustion of the downtrend.
The 4-hour chart shows that price action has now flattened, trading near a long-term support zone at $14.65–$16.65. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has started to recover from oversold levels, indicating a possible shift in momentum.
A horizontal resistance zone at $19.65 remains a key level to break for further upside confirmation. Conversely, failure to hold current levels could result in further consolidation or another test of support near $14.50.
The price must sustain above this zone to prevent further downside continuation.
On the 15-minute chart, the early stages of a potential impulsive wave structure appear to be forming.
Wave (i) recently peaked at $18 before experiencing a corrective wave (ii), currently testing the Fibonacci retracement level at $16.26.
If the structure remains intact, wave (iii) should push toward the 1.618 extension at $21.47, followed by a brief consolidation in wave (iv) before a final push toward $22.79 (wave v).
For this bullish scenario to hold, the price must remain above the invalidation level at $15.28 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement). RSI has reset from overbought levels, suggesting a potential bounce in the short term.
If the current corrective wave (ii) extends lower, a retest of the $14.65 zone could occur before another rally attempt.
However, a strong move above $19.65 would reinforce the bullish case, confirming wave (iii) is in progress.