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Hedera (HBAR) Price Teeters on Critical Support — Is a Major Breakdown Coming?

Published 12 December 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • Hedera (HBAR) trades inside a long-term descending triangle.
  • The HBAR price risks breaking down from a 380-day support area.
  • Will HBAR bounce, or is a breakdown and crash inevitable?

Hedera’s price is under severe pressure, and its long-term support is now hanging by a thread.

After more than a year of holding the same critical level, HBAR is suddenly at risk of breaking down, a move that could trigger one of its largest crashes of the cycle.

So why is HBAR going down, and what does the latest technical structure reveal about the next big move?

Hedera Price Analysis

The weekly time frame chart shows that HBAR has fallen under a diagonal resistance trend line since December 2024.

More recently, the trend line rejected the price in July, triggering the ongoing downward movement.

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The downward movement since then has been significant, and HBAR risks breaking down from the $0.135 horizontal support area today.

The support area has existed for more than a year, so a breakdown from it will be a critical sign that new lows are likely.

Hedera Weekly
HBAR/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Momentum indicators give a bearish HBAR price prediction.

  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50.
  • The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is negative.

Thus, an HBAR price crash below the $0.135 area is the most likely option.

If that happens, the price could plummet by another 50% until it hits the $0.065 support area.

Why is HBAR Going Down?

The wave count aligns with the possibility of a breakdown.

According to the count, HBAR has completed wave four in a five-wave downward movement (red).

Wave four created a symmetrical triangle, which is the most common pattern for it.

If the count is accurate, wave five is underway, and could take the HBAR price down to $0.102.

4-Hour Trading Chart
HBAR/USDT 6-Hour Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The target is found by using the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement on the triangle.

All eyes are now on the triangle’s support.

Once it breaks, selling pressure can accelerate rapidly, sending Hedera to fresh lows.

Is a Breakdown Inevitable?

Hedera sits at one of the most critical levels of its entire cycle.

A year-long support zone is about to be tested, momentum signals are bearish, and the Elliott Wave count suggests that the final leg of a larger downtrend is underway.

Unless bulls defend $0.135 decisively, Hedera is positioned for a sharp move lower, potentially dropping toward $0.10 or even $0.065 in the coming weeks.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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