Key Takeaways
Hedera’s price is under severe pressure, and its long-term support is now hanging by a thread.
After more than a year of holding the same critical level, HBAR is suddenly at risk of breaking down, a move that could trigger one of its largest crashes of the cycle.
So why is HBAR going down, and what does the latest technical structure reveal about the next big move?
The weekly time frame chart shows that HBAR has fallen under a diagonal resistance trend line since December 2024.
More recently, the trend line rejected the price in July, triggering the ongoing downward movement.
The downward movement since then has been significant, and HBAR risks breaking down from the $0.135 horizontal support area today.
The support area has existed for more than a year, so a breakdown from it will be a critical sign that new lows are likely.

Momentum indicators give a bearish HBAR price prediction.
Thus, an HBAR price crash below the $0.135 area is the most likely option.
If that happens, the price could plummet by another 50% until it hits the $0.065 support area.
The wave count aligns with the possibility of a breakdown.
According to the count, HBAR has completed wave four in a five-wave downward movement (red).
Wave four created a symmetrical triangle, which is the most common pattern for it.
If the count is accurate, wave five is underway, and could take the HBAR price down to $0.102.

The target is found by using the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement on the triangle.
All eyes are now on the triangle’s support.
Once it breaks, selling pressure can accelerate rapidly, sending Hedera to fresh lows.
Hedera sits at one of the most critical levels of its entire cycle.
A year-long support zone is about to be tested, momentum signals are bearish, and the Elliott Wave count suggests that the final leg of a larger downtrend is underway.
Unless bulls defend $0.135 decisively, Hedera is positioned for a sharp move lower, potentially dropping toward $0.10 or even $0.065 in the coming weeks.