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Hedera’s (HBAR) Corrective Pattern Suggests the Price Could Crash by 30%

Published 04 November 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • Hedera (HBAR) has retraced its rally in the Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) market.
  • Hedera has completed a short-term A-B-C corrective structure.
  • Will Hedera’s price fall to new lows, or can it reverse its trend?

Hedera (HBAR) has lost steam after its ETF-driven rally, signaling a potential shift in trend.

The completed A-B-C corrective structure suggests that bulls have already lost momentum and bears have taken over.

HBAR faces more downside pressure in the short term, which could lead to lower prices if the current channel fails to initiate a bounce.

Hedera’s Bounce Ends

The four-hour chart shows that the price of Hedera completed an A-B-C correction (green) starting on Oct. 10.

Even though the bounce was substantial, the nature of the increase suggests that it was corrective.

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Wave C was slightly longer than Wave A, having been elongated by the positive news relating to the ETF.

Hence, new lows are likely to occur since the structure has ended.

Additionally, the HBAR price fell below the $0.195 horizontal area, confirming it as a resistance level.

Hedera Count
HBAR/USDT Four-Hour Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Finally, momentum indicators are bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) fell below 50 while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is negative.

Therefore, the Hedera price prediction is bearish, and new lows are likely to be reached before the end of the year.

Why is Hedera Going Down?

A closer look at the six-hour price chart shows that Hedera is trading inside an ascending parallel channel and risks breaking down from it.

HBAR trades in the lower portion of the channel, increasing the likelihood of a breakdown.

Like the 4-hour chart, the RSI and MACD are bearish, supporting the possibility of a breakdown to new lows.

Hedera Channel
HBAR/USDT Six-Hour Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

Once that happens, HBAR could find temporary support at the $0.165 horizontal support area.

However, since the bounce is corrective, the Hedera prediction is bearish, suggesting the price will crash to new lows.

If that happens, the price of HBAR will fall to the closest long-term horizontal support at $0.140.

Combined with long-term diagonal resistance, the support area creates a bearish descending triangle pattern.

Hedera Weekly
HBAR/USDT Weekly Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

While the pattern could eventually lead to a breakdown, the HBAR price will likely bounce in the short-term once it reaches it.

Hence, the breakdown from the short-term channel could end once HBAR tests $0.140.

HBAR’s Correction Has Begun

Hedera’s short-lived bounce appears to have ended, and the charts suggest the worst is yet to come.

As HBAR hovers in the lower portion of its corrective pattern, the risk of a breakdown grows.

Once the price of Hedera breaks down from its channel, it could quickly plunge to $0.140.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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