Key Takeaways
Hedera’s (HBAR) year-to-date 51% plunge has exposed a painful truth about the altcoin.
Sentiment has completely flipped. As seen below, the once-optimistic outlook of the last quarter of 2024 has vanished.
Buyers are retreating. And unless demand returns soon, HBAR’s price decline could stretch well beyond this December.
With key support levels repeatedly tested and the market sentiment leaning bearish, HBAR’s price action mirrors a market struggling to find stability.
As shown below, the altcoin is currently trapped in a symmetrical triangle. A closer look reveals that it failed to breach the overhead resistance.
As a result, this altcoin is inching toward the lower trendline of the triangle. This has increased the likelihood of a more profound decline as the year-end approaches.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart shows the indicator hovering just above the neutral 50 mark.
Yet, the indicator slopes downward, signaling fading momentum and a potential slide back toward the oversold region.
This weakening trend highlights the growing dominance of sellers, despite recent bounces. Due to this, HBAR’s price might struggle to recover.
Meanwhile, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) signals a similarly bearish outlook.
The indicator remains pinned near the zero line with clear downward pressure, indicating that buying pressure is drying up.
Sustained negative CMF readings typically reinforce bearish continuation patterns, aligning with the broader downtrend visible on the chart.

With HBAR’s price repeatedly rejecting the $0.16 resistance zone and struggling to sustain higher lows, the cryptocurrency remains vulnerable to further downside.
A break below the $0.13 support area could accelerate the decline and keep the asset under pressure as the year comes to a close.
As shown below, HBAR’s price is in a downward trend and continues to lose momentum as sellers tighten their grip.
The market shows little interest in reversing course, signaling that buyers remain hesitant while traders brace for deeper pullbacks.
The Awesome Oscillator (AO) on the daily chart trends in negative territory, reinforcing the broader bearish sentiment.
Although the indicator prints green histogram bars below the neutral line, the signals still point to a fragile recovery attempt rather than a confirmed shift in direction, keeping downside risks in play.
Similarly, the Directional Movement Index (DMI) mirrors this trajectory.
The negative -DMI (red) sits at 22.58 above the positive +DMI (green) at 17.89, highlighting continued seller dominance and the pressure weighing on Hedera’s price.
Additionally, the Average Directional Index (ADX) lies between the two DMIs at 19.17, indicating that the current trend lacks strong momentum and the market is in a consolidation phase.
This low ADX reading shows that neither buyers nor sellers have complete control, leaving HBAR’s price vulnerable to short-term fluctuations until a more apparent trend emerges.
Fibonacci retracement levels offer traders additional insight into monitoring Hedera’s price.

At press time, the altcoin trades at $0.14, moving downwards toward the zero Fib level at $0.10, which serves as HBAR’s key support zone.
A breach below this level could accelerate selling pressure, pushing the price toward $0.0043.
However, if Hedera’s price bounces toward the 0.236 Fib level at $0.17, it could face resistance as sellers defend this zone.
At the same time, a sustained move above $0.17 would be necessary to shift market sentiment.