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Bitcoin’s Dominance Tanks as Ethereum Takes the Spotlight — Act Before the Reversal

Published 27 August 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • The Bitcoin Dominance (BTCD) has nearly fallen below 55.50%.
  • Ethereum’s (ETH) dominance has reached a day high.
  • What’s the reason for this recent shift between the two?

Bitcoin’s (BTC) dominance has plunged to fresh lows, while Ethereum (ETH) continues to climb to new highs.

This shift has turned the crypto market on its head, creating debates over whether ETH will eventually surpass BTC in market capitalization.

A mix of chart analysis and Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) inflows may explain the changing balance of power.

BTC Dominance Crashes

The BTC dominance has fallen significantly since its cycle high of 66.30% on June 27.

After a brief rebound in late July, the downtrend continued through August.

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The wave count suggests BTCD is nearing the end of its decline, after which a noticeable bounce could occur.

The current structure indicates that Bitcoin is completing wave C of an A-B-C correction (black), which has been in play since the June high.

Wave C has had the same duration as wave A; if it has the same length, the decline will end at 57%.

According to the sub-wave count, another short-term decline is likely before the correction ends.

BTC Dominance
BTCD Weekly Chart | Credit: TradingView

Momentum indicators align with this view. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are on the precipice of creating bullish divergences.

A BTCD bounce at 57% will confirm the divergences and the completed wave count.

Ethereum Dominance Top

Ethereum’s dominance has risen since April, accelerating into a parabolic rally beginning in June. However, signs of exhaustion are now appearing.

First and foremost, an ascending wedge shape has been developing since July. The wedge is a bearish pattern that usually leads to a breakdown.

ETH Dominance
ETH Dominance Weekly Chart | Credit: TradingView

This possibility becomes even more robust when considering that Ethereum’s dominance is at a long-term horizontal and Fibonacci resistance at 14.67%.

The final nails in the coffin are the bearish divergences in the RSI and MACD (orange), which further suggest the possibility of a top.

So, the BTC and ETH dominance charts suggest a likely rotation ahead: Ethereum may cool off after its parabolic rally, while Bitcoin could regain strength.

ETF Divergence

Institutional money increasingly flows into Ethereum, marking a noticeable change in market dynamics.

Ethereum ETFs are consistently generating inflows higher than Bitcoin, which has even seen outflows this week. 

This starkly contrasts with the beginning of the year, when Bitcoin ETF inflows were far greater than Ethereum’s.

Bitcoin’s ETF balances rose sharply at the end of 2024 and the start of 2025, when Bitcoin first broke out above $100,000.

BTC ETF
Bitcoin ETF Inflows | Credit: Glassnode

Balances have been correlated to the price, so they fell during the three-month correction until April.

During the recent run-up to the new all-time high, ETF balances increased, but they did so at a much more gradual pace compared to the previous rally.

One reason is that the Ethereum ETF balances, which had struggled greatly since their launch in August 2024, picked up after the April bottom.

In fact, Ethereum ETF balances have nearly doubled in the last two months alone.

Increasing Balances
ETH ETF Inflows | Credit: Glassnode

The side-by-side comparison makes it clear that institutional investors are shifting priority from Bitcoin to Ethereum.

This transition is a major factor behind the assets’ diverging market dominance.

What Lies Ahead?

The charts reveal a market at a crossroads: Bitcoin’s dominance looks primed for a bounce, while Ethereum shows early signs of topping out.

At the same time, institutional inflows into ETH ETFs highlight a shift in institutional investors.

These signals suggest a pivotal rotation that could reshape crypto dominance in the months ahead.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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