Key Takeaways
Arbitrum has had a rough start to 2025, falling 47% year-to-date and reaching a new all-time low price on March 11.
Afterward, a gradual recovery commenced, creating the first higher low in months and breaking out from a descending resistance trend line.
Even though ARB still trades close to its breakout level, maintaining its bullish structure can lead to a more significant upward movement in April.
The Arbitrum price has fallen under a descending resistance trend line since its all-time high of $2.42 in January 2024.
The downtrend has continued for 427 days, leading to a new all-time low price of $0.29 on March 11.
The ARB price has bounced since but still trades below the $0.50 horizontal area. This was the final support area before the price fell to a new all-time low and will likely provide resistance.
Technical indicators show preliminary bullish reversal signs but do not confirm this possibility.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) have generated bullish divergences (orange).
However, they have not confirmed them yet, and a sustained ARB price decrease can invalidate the divergences.
As a result, the weekly time frame does not confirm the direction of Arbitrum’s trend.
The daily time frame suggests the long-term trend is bearish, though a significant relief rally is likely.
Arbitrum’s wave count shows a completed five-wave downward movement (red) since the most recent high of $1.23 on Dec. 6.
If the count is accurate, the ARB price has started an A-B-C corrective structure (green) in response to the decline.
The price action and technical indicators increase the likelihood that this is the correct count.
Arbitrum’s price broke out from a descending resistance trend line after the RSI and MACD generated bullish divergences.
Both indicators trend upward, confirming that Arbitrum has started a short-term upward movement.
Since the move is in its early stages of development, it is unclear if Arbitrum will increase to the minor resistance of $0.50 or the primary one at $0.66.
ARB’s price has fallen considerably year-to-date, reaching a new all-time low on March 11.
Arbitrum started a relief rally afterward and broke out from a critical diagonal resistance.
The rally will likely continue toward $0.50 and possibly even reach $0.66.