In the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrencies, BONK, which has shown a meteoric surge of 19,450% since October 19, has experienced a dramatic decline, sliding 50% from its mid-December peak.
This sudden drop raises critical questions about the sustainability of its initial hype and the future stability of such volatile digital currencies. As investors and enthusiasts alike wonder whether the hype around BONK is over, we explore what the future holds for the price of this token.
The sudden decline in BONK‘s market value is a multifaceted phenomenon, primarily stemming from its transition into a market correction phase after a staggering 2247% bull run over two months. This correction is typical in the volatile crypto market, where proportional descents often follow rapid ascents.
A significant factor in BONK’s initial surge and subsequent decline was its addition to major cryptocurrency exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. While such listings typically fuel short-term excitement and valuation spikes, they often lead to a sell-off as early investors cash in on their gains. This pattern was evident in BONK’s price trajectory following its listing.
Furthermore, Binance’s introduction of AI-assisted trading for BONK pairs, set to commence on December 21, 2023, added complexity to its trading dynamics. This included various bots like Spot Grid Bot, Rebalancing Bot, and Spot DCA Bot, which, while designed to optimize trading, also introduced new variables and potential volatility into BONK’s market behavior.
Additionally, Binance’s “Earn Wednesday” campaign, which offered staking opportunities and bonuses for BONK, initially attracted short-term trading interest but was insufficient in maintaining long-term price stability.
The behavior of BONK also mirrors historical trends observed in other meme coins, such as SHIB, where a notable drop often succeeds a spike following a major listing event. This pattern suggests a market response typical of meme coins post-listing.
Despite this downturn, there remains a sense of optimism within the Solana community. This sentiment is buoyed by the expectation of a potential rebound, similar to what has been observed with other cryptocurrencies following initial post-listing dips. This optimism, however, is tempered by the broader market trends, especially the performance of the largest digital assets during the holiday season, which invariably impacts individual cryptocurrencies like BONK.
On December 15, the price of BONK reached $0.000035, an all-time high. From there, we saw an immediate decline to $0.000022 on the same day, leaving a large 31% wick on the daily chart.
This signaled strong selling pressure, and the price declined to $0.000017 at its lowest point yesterday, December 20. Today, we saw a minor recovery but an insignificant one compared to the previous decline.
We have most likely seen the completion of the five-wave impulse from October 19, when the price made a low of $0.00000017 and the start of the larger correction. It has already reached the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, where it might find support in the short term, but more downside would be expected.
The price is likely headed to 0.682 Fibonacci level one way or the other. This means it will go straight down to its optimal correction target or in a prolonged way with a larger recovery on a lower high but then continuing to a lower low, potentially falling even further to 0.786 Fib level.
BONK has garnered a lot of attention as it entered the market, and this sentiment was propelled with every new high, creating a cascading effect. However, now as the token is starting to mature and is getting recognition, with exchange listings and new trading products around it, we can see a less volatile price trajectory compared to before.
To answer the titled question, following the general market performance, this token might cool off in the upcoming period after the holidays and find a resurgence, but it appears that the initial craze has indeed ended.
Please note that the contents of this article are not financial or investing advice. The information provided in this article is the author’s opinion only and should not be considered as offering trading or investing recommendations. We do not make any warranties about the completeness, reliability and accuracy of this information. The cryptocurrency market suffers from high volatility and occasional arbitrary movements. Any investor, trader, or regular crypto users should research multiple viewpoints and be familiar with all local regulations before committing to an investment.