A year ago, the cannabis industry was dubbed as the next gold rush. Pot stocks such as Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY), Aurora Cannabis (TSE:ACB), and Canopy Growth (TSE:WEED) surged to their all-time highs as investors rushed to get a piece of the action. Unfortunately, 2019 has not been so kind to the once blazing industry. A combination of factors have pushed the industry deep into bear territory. Here are three reasons why the marijuana industry is coming down from its high.
The United States is one of the biggest cannabis markets in the world. While some states have legalized the use of marijuana for medical and recreational purposes, the federal government has kept its foot down. It continues to classify cannabis as a Schedule 1 substance.
As a Schedule 1 drug, there are huge consequences for companies who sell cannabis. For instance, marijuana business owners have little to no access to basic financial services. It is difficult for them to secure loans and get checking accounts. This is because banks are under the jurisdiction of the Federal Insurance Corporation (FDIC) and may be slapped with criminal charges for doing business with a cannabis company.
Many pot businesses had to rely on equity to fuel growth. However, stock market valuations have dropped big time. The North American Marijuana Index has plunged by over 63% from the all-time high. As a result, cannabis businesses are struggling for cash.
Even though selling pot is illegal in the eyes of the federal government, business owners in the U.S. still pay federal taxes. These companies cannot deduct a huge chunk of their business expenses at the federal tax level, which means their income tax rates can climb as high as 90% . On top of that, many cannabis businesses also have to pay state taxes.
The exorbitant taxes have an effect on the price of the product and the expenses are passed on to consumers. Consequently, many prefer to purchase from illicit dealers who sell at lower prices.
With heavy taxes being levied on legal cannabis, customers are pinching pennies by buying from illegal dealers. In California, legal weed revenue is estimated to amount to $3.1 billion in 2019. In contrast, the black market is expected to generate $8.7 billion in sales this year.
The Canadian market offers a more complete picture on how the black market is undercutting legal business owners. On average, the black market price of weed in Canada is $7.63 CAD per gram. In comparison, legal cannabis costs $10.91 CAD per grab. That’s a whopping 43% difference.
While the industry struggles, help appears to be on the way. Regulators are loosening their grip, which makes the marijuana industry attractive to investors. We spoke to Mati Greenspan, market analyst at eToro, and he’s optimistic on pot stocks. He told CCN.com,
It seems likely to me that the regulatory landscape will only improve from here. Regulatory clarity makes for stable investments.
California and other states have done a great job of commercializing the cannabis industry and that’s something I want to put my money on.
In other words, the analyst is bullish on the pot industry. Despite the challenges mentioned, it is quite possible for cannabis stocks to reclaim their highs.
Disclaimer: The above should not be considered trading advice from CCN.com.