Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has challenged the idea that burning transaction fees provides a dependable foundation for Ethereum’s valuation.
In comments on Sunday, Buterin argued that Ethereum’s strongest case rests on people wanting to hold Ethereum within a financial system, rather than on the network destroying more tokens.
The debate comes amid renewed price weakness for Ethereum, with its price falling to $2,081 on Nov. 8 before recovering above $2,118.
His comments also put Standard Chartered’s $40,000 Ethereum forecast back in focus — a target that would require a roughly 1,805% rally.
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In his Nov. 8 X post, Buterin questioned the strength of treating Ethereum primarily as an asset valued through transaction-fee destruction.
“ETH as fee-burning token never was as strong as it seemed.”
He argued that organizing Ethereum around maximizing burns could push the network toward decisions that undermine decentralization and make it more vulnerable to capture.
His preferred emphasis is the case for holding Ethereum as a store of value, supported by its ability to protect assets and remain dependable over time.
However, he remained keen not to abandon the mechanism introduced through EIP-1559 completely.
“EIP-1559 (including its burn) is fine and good, we should keep them.”
Buterin also said a persistent gap between the amount burned and the amount needed to offset issuance should not, by itself, invalidate Ethereum’s value proposition.
Ethereum’s supply reflects two opposing forces — new Ethereum issued to validators and existing Ethereum removed through burning.
Ethereum’s documentation explains that burning fluctuates with network demand, while issuance varies with staking conditions.
Buterin’s criticism goes beyond that supply calculation.
The Ethereum founder argued that fees generated by crypto speculation can weaken alongside the asset’s price.
That makes them an unreliable basis for a dependable valuation floor.
He acknowledged that tokenized real-world assets could provide a more independent source of activity.
However, established financial businesses may generate less spectacular fees than those generated during speculative trading frenzies.
He also warned that pursuing larger burns could encourage higher transaction costs and require a more interventionist approach to governing and funding Ethereum.
The distinction becomes particularly relevant as Ethereum scales.
Layer 2 networks process activity outside the main chain while using Ethereum for functions such as settlement and data availability.
That creates tension for investors who measure Ethereum’s success mainly by expensive blockspace and large burns, as cheaper transactions can benefit users while weakening that particular valuation argument.
As CCN reported in February, Buterin said the original framing of Layer 2 networks as extensions delivering Ethereum’s scaling roadmap “no longer makes sense.”
He pointed to slower-than-expected progress on Layer 2 decentralization alongside improvements in the main chain’s own capacity.
The store-of-value argument also follows Buterin’s earlier insistence that Ethereum should compete on qualities beyond transaction speed.
In May, Buterin defended Ethereum’s decentralization, privacy and censorship resistance amid criticism of Ethereum’s direction.
“But I think Ethereum should strive the hardest to be deeply impressive in a different dimension: the CROPS dimension.”
He warned that pursuing speed with only marginally stronger decentralization than competitors would weaken Ethereum’s distinctive appeal.
Separately, CCN reported in September that Buterin envisaged Ethereum evolving into a broader system that combines blockchain settlement with computation off-chain.
He expects that transformation to accelerate after Hegotá, the Ethereum upgrade planned for 2027.
Buterin’s proposed architecture would increasingly enable a single system to complete a calculation and produce a cryptographic proof that the work was performed correctly.
Other participants could then verify that proof without repeating the entire computation.
The debate over Ethereum’s value also puts ambitious price forecasts under scrutiny.
Standard Chartered has forecast that Ethereum could reach $40,000 by the end of 2030, with its investment case including growth in stablecoins and tokenized financial assets.
Using $2,100 as a starting price, that target would require a gain of 1,805%, taking Ethereum to around 19 times its starting value.
At a circulating supply of 120 million ETH, the forecast would imply a market capitalization of around $4.8 trillion.
That would make Ethereum larger than Nvidia’s roughly $4.5 trillion valuation and Microsoft’s $3.94 trillion valuation, and about 70% larger than Amazon’s $2.8 trillion valuation.
At $4.8 trillion, ETH would also approach Apple’s $5 trillion market capitalization, based on valuations from early November.
More stablecoin transfers and tokenized assets could increase Ethereum’s usefulness.
However, the strength of this would heavily depend on how the activity translates into demand for Ethereum.