Key Takeaways
- A claimed return by a 4chan Bitcoin forecaster has revived interest, but the poster’s identity and latest targets remain unverified.
- The famous 2019 forecast correctly called early recovery levels before missing several subsequent price targets.
- Changes between circulating screenshots raise doubts about whether some predictions predated the events.
An anonymous 4chan forecaster is back in crypto’s spotlight, with a social media post claiming the mystery trader anticipated Bitcoin’s bottom, its 2021 peak, and the timing of a halving-driven rally.
“The 4chan guy is back and I am literally shaking,” the post reads, arguing that the latest predictions match the author’s own charts.
It is a compelling story: an unknown trader repeatedly outsmarting the market before returning with another roadmap.
But the available record is less straightforward. Several anonymous forecasts have circulated over the years, and evidence linking them to a single consistently accurate individual remains incomplete.
The Famous 2019 Forecast Had Hits and Major Misses
One of the best-known Bitcoin predictions appeared on Jan. 21, 2019. Its anonymous author declared that the bottom had already occurred on Dec. 15, 2018, when Bitcoin traded below $3,200.
That distinction matters. The post identified an earlier low rather than predicting a future bottom.
The author then outlined a recovery: approximately $5,300 in April 2019, $9,200 in July, and $16,000 in October. Those first two levels helped turn the screenshot into a crypto sensation, earning its creator a reputation as a Bitcoin “wizard.”
However, the winning streak ended. Bitcoin failed to reach the October target, while subsequent calls for $29,000 in February 2020 and $56,000 in July also missed their deadlines.
The original roadmap extended through November 2020, rather than establishing a verified prediction of the November 2021 peak.
The history illustrates a recurring problem with viral forecasts: successful calls remain memorable, while failed targets disappear from the retelling. A few accurate milestones can eventually become a reputation for never missing.
New Screenshots Complicate the “Same Anon” Story
Another widely circulated screenshot appears to anticipate Bitcoin’s major price moves through 2024, including levels near the November 2021 high and November 2022 low.
A version circulating this year also includes a $145,000 target for October 2026. Yet comparisons with an older version reveal different numbers.
The earlier image listed $105,400 for September 2024. The newer screenshot replaced that figure with $74,000 and included the additional 2026 forecast.
Those changes undermine the suggestion that the image represents an untouched prediction published years earlier.
The screenshot also lacks a verifiable archive link or an identity marker that connects its author to a consistent forecasting history.
That leaves two separate questions unanswered: whether the predictions existed before the market events, and whether the same person wrote them.
A Separate Cycle Prediction Faces Its Own Test
There is another 4chan forecast with a more concrete historical record.
A December 2023 post described repeating Bitcoin cycles involving approximately 1,064 days from a bear-market low to a peak, followed by 364 days of decline. It projected an October 6, 2025 high, matching Bitcoin’s record near $126,198.
Extending the same pattern implied an Oct. 5, 2026 bottom. But Bitcoin traded around $85,800 as that date arrived, substantially above its July low near $57,700.
The apparent success of the peak prediction, therefore, did not translate into an equally convincing bottom call.
That makes the latest excitement a story about credibility as much as price.
Anonymous forecasts can offer interesting scenarios, but their value depends on preserving timestamps, keeping targets unchanged, and fully accounting for failures. Without those checks, an impressive-looking chart can turn hindsight into apparent foresight.
For now, the returning “4chan guy” remains an unverified identity attached to several competing narratives, not an established record of flawless market timing.
Top Trending Crypto Articles
The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Giuseppe Ciccomascolo began his career as an investigative journalist in Italy, where he contributed to both local and national newspapers, focusing on various financial sectors.
Upon relocating to London, he worked as an analyst for Fitch's CapitalStructure and later as a Senior Reporter for Alliance News. In 2017, Giuseppe transitioned to covering cryptocurrency-related news, producing documentaries and articles on Bitcoin and other emerging digital currencies. He also played a pivotal role in establishing the academy for a cryptocurrency exchange website. Crypto remained his primary area of interest throughout his tenure as a writer for ThirdFloor.
