Key Takeaways
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price set a new all-time high, briefly crossing $126,100 before cooling off today.
Despite the pullback, the overall trend remains firmly bullish as BTC holds above its key support levels.
The main question is: Is Bitcoin’s rally close to a peak, or will another leg higher make the trend parabolic? Let’s examine the charts and find out.
Bitcoin’s rally last week was impressive. The price simultaneously ended its previous correction and rallied to a new all-time high.
BTC created a bullish engulfing candlestick (green icon) several times larger than the preceding bearish one, confirming that bulls are in control.
Besides reaching a new all-time high price, Bitcoin reached the highest-ever weekly close at $122,689.
The weekly close is significant since the price previously failed to close above the $120,600 resistance area, creating two long upper wicks (red icon).
As a result, last week’s close is an important step, since it takes the BTC price above its final horizontal resistance area.
If BTC resumes its ascent to new highs, the $120,600 area will provide support.
While the price action is decisively bullish, momentum indicators give concerning readings.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) have created bearish divergences (orange), which often occur near the top of market cycles.

Nevertheless, the RSI started to increase, and the MACD has nearly made a bullish cross (black circle), so the indicators could invalidate the divergence soon.
The long-term Bitcoin price prediction for the rest of 2025 is bullish, meaning the upward trend will continue.
Bitcoin’s daily time frame technical analysis supports the bullish prediction.
The chart shows that Bitcoin broke out from a diagonal resistance trend line on Oct. 1 and surged, without returning to validate the resistance as support.
Bitcoin’s momentum clearly favors the bulls, since there has been virtually no retracement since the upward movement started on Sept. 26.

The only slightly concerning signs are the long upper wicks (red icon) from the past two days, which could lead to a temporary decline.
The fact that the candlestick coincides with the likely top of wave three increases the likelihood that a short-term top is in place.
If Bitcoin started a five-wave increase on Sept. 30, it has finished wave three, 1.61 times longer than wave one.
This is the most common proportion between the two waves and indicates a local top.

As a result, the Bitcoin price could continue falling until it reaches $122,000 before surging higher.
In any case, the long-term Bitcoin trend remains bullish. The next target for the top of the increase is $133,612, created by the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement resistance level.
Bitcoin’s price has surged since falling to a low of $108,702 on Sept. 25.
After a nearly 15% rally, Bitcoin’s price reached a new all-time high of $126,199 on Oct. 10.
While a short-term decline toward $122,000 could happen, the long-term trend remains firmly bullish.
A break of $130,000 and another all-time high are likely in 2025.