Monero Price Prediction 2025: XMR Defies Market Slump With Gains

Key Takeaways

• As the only top-30 cryptocurrency with positive YTD returns, Monero is showing remarkable strength.
• Despite its ties to illicit activity, Monero’s commitment to privacy has helped it weather regulatory storms.
• A look at XMR’s bullish setup shows short-term price targets of $263 and long-term projections nearing $720.

Monero (XMR) continues to be the top privacy coin, offering anonymous, untraceable transactions that set it apart from most cryptocurrencies.

Despite experiencing correction several times this year, XMR’s price has weathered the market’s volatility and posted a positive return since the beginning of the year.

But the broader market will want to know whether the cryptocurrency will continue to withstand bears. In this analysis, CCN reveals all there is to know about Monero’s price prediction.

We also disclose the potential price targets it might reach from 2025 to 2030.

Monero Price Prediction

Monero Price Prediction 2025

XMR is one of the few cryptos that has displayed strength this year despite the broader market correction on several occasions. Should the cryptocurrency continue with this trend, it could end the year higher than its current value.

That said, XMR’s market value might trade between $186 and $418. Should this trend continue, XMR’s price might rise to $330 near the 0.618 golden pocket ratio.

Monero Price Prediction 2026

XMR’s price might experience a downturn in 2026 as the crypto bear market might be in full force. By this period, demand for the cryptocurrency might be extremely low, which could negatively impact the price. Due to this, XMR’s price could trade between $115 and $105.

Monero Price Prediction 2030

By 2030, adoption of privacy-focused cryptos might have reached extreme peaks. With XMR leading this cohort, the price could hit a minimum of $354.

On average, the market value could be $497, while the maximum Monero price prediction for 2030 could be a new all-time high of $720.

Monero Price Analysis

From a technical perspective, the weekly XMR/USD chart shows a bullish setup. First off, CCN observed that the cryptocurrency has been hitting lower highs, suggesting that the price might continue to ascend.

Besides that, the Supertrend indicator flashed a buy signal as the green line lay below XMR’s price.  Should the broader market condition improve, XMR might climb to $400 before the year runs out.

However, if demand for XMR drops significantly, this Monero price prediction might not come to pass. In that case, XMR’s value could decline to $131.58.

Short-Term XMR Price Prediction

In the short term, it appears that XMR’s market value might continue to rise. One reason for this is the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), which has crossed above the zero signal.

The rise in the CMF reading indicates rising buying pressure. Should this trend continue, XMR’s price might jump toward the 0.236 Fibonacci level at $234.25.

If this trend remains the same going forward, the crypto’s value could rise as high as $262.98. Conversely, a drop in buying volume could erase recent gains, and the Monero price prediction might fall to $188.

CCN Strength Index

The CCN Strength Index combines an array of advanced market signals to measure the strength of individual cryptocurrencies over the last 30 days.

Every day, it assigns a strength score, ranging from 0 to 100, to the top 500 assets by market capitalization on CoinMarketCap, focusing on both trend direction and the intensity of price movements.

• 0 to 24: Assets exhibit significant weakness, showing signs of sustained downtrend behavior.
• 25 to 35: The price tends to move within stable bounds with minimal volatility.
• 36 to 49: Assets begin a stable uptrend but without strong surges.
• 50 to 59: Consistent growth with moderate price advances, building momentum.
• 60+: Sharp price movements and high demand indicate stronger volatility and trend shifts.

The index dynamically adapts to rapid changes. For example, an asset experiencing a 100% increase within a short timeframe would see a sharp jump in its score to reflect the intensity of the rise.

However, should that asset stabilize at this new price level, the score will gradually taper down and align with the dampened momentum as the movement normalizes. The same principle applies to rapid declines: a sudden drop will spike the score downward, but as volatility decreases, the score will slowly adjust back up.

On April 16, 2025, Monero scored 40.4 on the CCN Index, suggesting a stable upswing. However, the index also indicates that buying pressure is not yet strong enough to keep the price surging extensively.

Monero Price Performance Comparisons

Monero is a so-called Privacy Coin. Let’s compare it to some similar cryptocurrencies to see how they have performed over the last year.

Best Days and Months to Buy Monero

We looked at the Monero price history and found the times when the price was at its lowest across certain days, months, and even quarters in the year, indicating the best times to buy XMR.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Monero

CCN’s Senior Research Analyst, Toghrul Aliyev, investigated Monero in depth and found the following advantages and disadvantages.

Advantages of Monero

• Ultimate Anonymity: Monero’s strong privacy features prompted the IRS to offer a $625,000 bounty for cracking privacy coins. Although Chainalysis and Integra FEC won this bounty, they did so by developing blockchain analysis tools rather than breaking Monero’s encryption. Additionally, despite claims from CipherTrace , tracking Monero transactions remains largely unproven.
• Transparency and Security: Since Monero is open source , its code is available for anyone to review, audit, and contribute to. This transparency allows the community to identify and fix vulnerabilities quickly, enhancing overall security. Additionally, it fosters trust among users, as they can independently verify that the code functions as intended without hidden backdoors or malicious components.
• Ethical Development: Monero developers show a high level of ethical responsibility. They make modest funding requests and choose to patch major bugs instead of exploiting them .
• Accessible and Decentralized Mining: Monero’s RandomX algorithm supports mining with standard consumer-grade CPUs. Its resistance to ASICs prevents the concentration of mining power among those who can afford specialized hardware.
• Adaptive Block Size : Monero’s adaptive block size mechanism allows the block size to expand up to 300,000 bytes without penalty dynamically. This flexibility ensures the network can handle increased transaction volumes efficiently, maintaining low fees and preventing delays.
• Cheap Transaction Fees : Monero has low transaction fees, with an average of around $0.05 over the past three years.

Disadvantages of Monero

• Regulatory Issues: Major exchanges like Binance, Huobi , and Kraken have delisted Monero, and countries such as South Korea , Japan , Dubai , and Australia have imposed restrictions. Amid these regulatory challenges, LocalMonero , one of the biggest platforms for trading Monero peer-to-peer, also shut down, further limiting accessibility.
• Mining Pool Concentration : Monero has a significant concentration of mining power, with two pools, Nanopool and SupportXMR, controlling 73.67% of the network as of early July 2024. Although a single pool cannot control how 223 nodes inside behave, and coordinated collusion is unlikely, the risk remains.
• Illicit Activity Concerns: Monero is increasingly favored by criminal organizations , particularly on darknet markets and for ransomware payments. For example, White House Market and AlphaBay , prominent darknet markets, have adopted Monero to reduce transaction traceability. It has also become the preferred currency for money laundering and transactions involving child sexual abuse material (CSAM) vendors .
• Heightened Scrutiny for Buyers: Due to Monero’s association with illicit activities, anyone who buys XMR on exchanges often faces heightened scrutiny. The first assumption tends to be involvement in criminal activity rather than legitimate investment or participation in privacy-focused transactions. It is logical that exchanges still allowing the purchase of XMR might report these buyers to authorities, assuming they may use these assets for criminal activities in the future.
• Slow Transaction Processing: Monero blocks are mined every 2 minutes on average. After initiating a transaction, it takes around two minutes for it to be included in a block. However, the transaction requires 10 confirmations to be fully verified and spendable, which takes about 20 minutes in total.
• Complex Wallet Management: Managing Monero wallets can be complex, especially for non-technical users. Understanding different types of addresses (standard, integrated, subaddresses) and payment IDs can be confusing.

XMR Price History

Monero Supply and Distribution

From the Whitepaper

In its technical documentation or whitepaper , Monero says, “Monero is a decentralized cryptocurrency, meaning it is secure digital cash operated by a network of users. Transactions are confirmed by distributed consensus and then immutably recorded on the blockchain. Third parties do not need to be trusted to keep your Monero safe.”

Monero (XMR) Explained

One of the biggest selling points of crypto is its private nature. The idea is that the blockchain would help users conduct their business privately.

However, there have been some concerns that people can track down who owns what address with some detective work.

Monero is designed to address these concerns. The blockchain, which was formed as a spin-off from the Bytecoin network in 2014, uses techniques that mean no one can tell where a transaction originated or was sent to.

While the system’s advocates argue that it is doing nothing wrong, Monero has been accused of facilitating money laundering and helping fund terrorist activity. 

The XMR coin supports the blockchain. Monero is based on the CryptoNote whitepaper, published by pseudonymous author Nicolas van Saberhagen in 2013. 

How Monero Works

Monero uses a Proof-of-Work consensus mechanism. This means people must solve increasingly complex mathematical equations to add blocks to the blockchain and earn rewards.

The system uses “one-time ring signatures” to ensure that transactions remain untraceable. Stealth addresses allow users to set up one-off wallet addresses, which, again, stop transaction tracing. 

With features like these, it is perhaps little surprise that the authorities have raised their concerns about XMR and that some of the largest centralized crypto exchanges, such as Coinbase, do not list it. 

Users can utilize XMR to pay for transactions on the platform and reward the system’s miners. XMR can also be bought, sold, and traded on some exchanges, although, as we have said, some exchanges do not offer it, citing legal concerns.

Is Monero a Good Investment?

Monero’s XMR crypto has been viewed with much skepticism. Concerns surrounding its facilitation of illegal activities have led to its removal from some major exchanges.

To some people, it might seem that the only reason someone might buy the coin is to participate in something that is not entirely within the law. This could have implications when considering the ongoing, often warranted crackdown on crypto.

On the other hand, the coin performed comparatively well over a period when the market tumbled. As always, it is vital that you do your own research. 

Will Monero go up or down?

No one can really tell right now. While the price forecasts are bullish in the longer term, price predictions may be wrong. Remember, too, that prices can and do go down and up. 

Should I invest in Monero?

Before you decide whether or not to invest in Monero, you will have to do your research, not only on XMR but also on similar coins and tokens, such as ZCash (ZEC) and DASH.

Ultimately, though, this is a decision you will have to make for yourself. Before you do so, it is vital that you never invest more money than you can afford to lose. 

FAQs 

Disclaimer 

Please note that the contents of this article are not financial or investing advice. The information provided in this article is the author’s opinion only and should not be considered as offering trading or investing recommendations. We do not make any warranties about the completeness, reliability, and accuracy of this information. The cryptocurrency market suffers from high volatility and occasional arbitrary movements. Any investor, trader, or regular crypto users should research multiple viewpoints and be familiar with all local regulations before committing to an investment.