Key Takeaways
Cardano (ADA) continues to face downward pressure, moving within a long-term descending channel that has confined its downward movement for a year.
Despite several attempts to hold the $0.60 level, ADA shows no strong signs of a bullish reversal, leaving the possibility of a breakdown open.
The most critical area is $0.60; a breakdown below it could send the price to a new yearly low.
The weekly time frame chart shows that ADA has fallen since its cycle high of $1.33 in December 2024.
In the 329 days since the high, the price of ADA has fallen inside a descending parallel channel, which is considered a corrective pattern.
While a breakout from the corrective channel would be the most likely movement, the price of Cardano has not indicated a bullish trend.
On the contrary, ADA fell to a low of $0.27, validating the channel’s support trend line and breaking down from the critical support at $0.60 before bouncing.
Even though ADA has bounced at this support area four times (green icon), it trades barely above it, suggesting that the subsequent breakdown could be legitimate.
If ADA’s price bounces, it will face stiff resistance at $0.85, reaching a horizontal resistance area and the channel’s resistance trend line.

Momentum indicators are also bearish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below 50, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is negative.
So, the Cardano prediction is bearish, confirmed with a weekly price close below $0.60.
If that happens, the most likely future outlook is a decline toward the cycle low and the channel’s support trend line at $0.20.
The daily technical analysis shows that Cardano’s bounce since April is corrective and is an A-B-C structure (red), where wave C created an ending diagonal.
ADA confirmed its bearish trend with a breakdown from the wedge, and the price has now fallen below multiple horizontal support levels, the most recent at $0.72.
The only positive sign is the bullish divergence in the daily RSI, but that alone cannot predict a bullish trend reversal.

The short-term four-hour chart shows that ADA’s bounce is corrective, contained inside an ascending parallel channel.
Furthermore, ADA has completed an A-B-C structure (black), in which waves A and C are the same length.
The Cardano price also trades inside the channel’s lower portion, confirming the bearish prediction and the likelihood of new lows.

Hence, a breakdown from the short-term channel will likely trigger one from the long-term $0.60 horizontal area, taking ADA to new lows.
With momentum indicators bearish and ADA trading near critical support, the most likely outlook is an eventual breakdown.
A close below $0.60 will confirm ADA’s bearish prediction and could lead to a drop toward $0.20.
The crypto market is also bearish, risking to take Cardano down with it.
In the short-term, the $0.85 resistance area will provide resistance in case of a bounce.