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Uniswap (UNI) Price Outlook: Breakout From Resistance Points to More Upside

Published
Nikola Lazic
Published
By Nikola Lazic
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

Uniswap (UNI) appears to have exited its corrective phase after a prolonged downtrend, with signs of recovery forming in higher and lower time frames.

A completed descending wedge breakout combined with impulsive wave behavior suggests the potential beginning of a bullish reversal.

This analysis examines the long-term structure and short-term momentum to project UNI’s next moves.

UNI Price Analysis

The 4-hour chart illustrates UNI completing a complex ABCDE correction, culminating in a textbook descending wedge.

After bottoming near $5.55—just above the key support range of $5 — the price has broken out of the wedge to the upside.

The breakout follows a five-month corrective decline from its November 2024 peak of nearly $20, suggesting a trend reversal.

UNI price analysis
UNIUSD breakout confirmed | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The recent breakout aligns with wave (e) ‘s end, marking the wedge’s final low. The subsequent impulse move appears to have completed three waves, peaking near $7.00.

A shallow correction followed, and we are now seeing new bullish signs.

Post-breakout, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart has moved above 60, indicating renewed buyer strength.

Bulls must reclaim this level to sustain momentum. The price is currently consolidating just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at $7.87.

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A close above this resistance could open the door toward the 0.618 retracement level at $10.32. Failure to hold above $6.58 would suggest the breakout lacks conviction and may lead to a deeper retest of the $5.80–$5.20 zone.

UNI Price Prediction

The 1-hour chart presents a clean five-wave impulse, with wave (iii) completed and the price rallying into wave (v).

The shallow retracement in wave (iv), which found support at $6.58, adds confidence to the bullish structure, as strong demand prevented a deeper pullback.

The fifth wave now targets a potential extension to $7.86–$8.00, aligning with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement and horizontal resistance.

UNI price prediction
UNIUSD one more high ahead | Credit: Nikola Lazic/TradingView

The RSI has approached overbought territory, suggesting wave (v) may soon encounter exhaustion.

However, further upside can be expected immediately unless a bearish divergence appears.

A clean breakout above $7.86 would confirm bullish continuation and potentially drive the price toward $8.50–$9.00, aligning with previous structural highs.

If resistance holds at $7.86 and RSI cools off, a minor retracement toward $6.90 or $6.58 is likely, which would still be structurally healthy.

Invalidation of the current bullish count occurs only with a drop below $6.00, which would breach wave (iv) support and suggest premature termination of the impulse sequence.

Uniswap shows signs of a new impulsive phase, but confirmation lies in reclaiming $7.87. Momentum is favorable, but RSI suggests caution as wave (v) nears completion.

Key Levels to Watch

Immediate Resistance: $7.87 (0.786 Fibonacci retracement).
Key Resistance: $10.32 (0.618 Fibonacci retracement).
Major Target: $8.50–$9.00 (previous horizontal structure).
Immediate Support: $6.58 (wave IV support).
Critical Support: $5.20 (green zone accumulation base).
Short-Term Target for Wave (v): $7.86–$8.00.
Invalidation Zone: Below $6.00, undermining the bullish count.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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Nikola Lazic is a cryptocurrency analyst and investor working in the industry since 2017. He holds a bachelor's degree in Sociology, which enables him to better understand the psychology behind the crowd´s positioning. Consequently his preferred analytical tool is Elliott Wave Theory in combination with price action analysis. Combining his experience in trading and investing with knowledge in content writing he strives to bring the most accurate and actionable information. Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, On-chain metrics, Research reports.
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