Key Takeaways
Official Trump (TRUMP) has struggled to find its form since its debut.
Despite occasional bounces, the TRUMP memecoin remains stuck below a key resistance level, a sign of weakening momentum.
With the TRUMP price trapped in a corrective pattern and indicators showing bearish signs, the memecoin faces an uphill climb to begin its trend reversal.
The TRUMP price fell sharply after its launch, briefly regaining its footing in April.
After a brief bounce that did not last, TRUMP fell again, creating a descending resistance trend line that is still ongoing.
While decreasing under the resistance, the price of TRUMP closed below the $7.50 horizontal area, falling to an all-time low of $1.50 on Oct. 10.
Even though the breakdown was short-lived, TRUMP’s bounce has been insufficient to reclaim the $7.50 area, which now coincides with the diagonal resistance trend line.
The TRUMP price is currently attempting another breakout, although it failed to break out on the first try (red icon).
Despite today’s bounce, the TRUMP memecoin still trades 85% below its all-time high price.

Like the price action, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is increasing but still below 50, casting doubt on whether the breakout will be successful.
If it is, the TRUMP price could surge to the next resistance at $15, which was last reached in May 2025. If not, a bearish trend reversal to new lows could follow.
The short-term six-hour chart suggests the TRUMP price will not break out.
This is because the TRUMP price trades inside an ascending parallel channel, which usually contains corrective movements.
Despite the recent bounce, the TRUMP memecoin failed to break out from the channel.

Today, the TRUMP price fell in the lower portion of the channel, increasing the likelihood of an eventual breakdown.
In addition, the upward movement is a completed W-X-Y correction (red), where waves W and Y have the same length.
As a result, all signs point to a bearish TRUMP prediction, confirmed with a breakdown from the channel.
All signs suggest that TRUMP’s recent bounce may be short-lived unless a decisive breakout occurs.
The ongoing corrective pattern and failed resistance tests reinforce the bearish outlook, particularly given that the price remains far from its highs.
A deeper pullback remains the most likely scenario unless TRUMP breaks above $7.50 with substantial volume.