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TRUMP Price Escapes Downtrend Despite Massive Token Unlock

Published 22 April 2025
Valdrin Tahiri
Authors
Edited by Ryan James

Key Takeaways

  • TRUMP unlocked 40 million tokens on April 18.
  • The price has fallen 90% since its all-time high.
  • Can TRUMP begin a bullish trend reversal?

TRUMP launched with momentum, reaching its all-time high on April 19, the same day as its Binance listing.

However, the hype quickly faded, leading to an over 90% decline and a string of all-time lows until April 7.

TRUMP finally created optimism by breaking out from a wedge, the first bullish sign since its launch.

Nevertheless, a massive TRUMP token unlock on April 18 is negative news and could present selling pressure in the future.

With that in mind, let’s analyze the charts and see if this breakout can fuel an extended recovery.

TRUMP Breaks Out

The TRUMP price has fallen significantly since its all-time high of $77.24 in January.

Since February, a descending wedge has contained the downward movement, leading to an all-time low of $7.14 on April 7.

The TRUMP price has increased since (green icon), breaking out from the descending wedge last week.

Despite the breakout, TRUMP has yet to move significantly toward the $10.50 resistance.

Technical indicators are bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) are moving upward.

TRUMP Wedge
TRUMP/USDT Daily Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

The RSI is above 50, and the MACD is positive, showing a bullish trend.

While the indicators reached these values previously (black circle), this did not happen simultaneously with a TRUMP price breakout.

So, the daily time frame suggests the TRUMP price will increase toward $10.50.

TRUMP’s Token Unlock

Temujin Louie, the CEO of Wanchain, states that TRUMP’s unlock schedule is inferior to that of other memecoins. Only 10% of the supply was allocated to the public on release, while the TRUMP team holds almost 90%.

The entire 40 million unlock on April 18 belongs to the Trump team. Louie believes the unlock will further depress the memecoins’ already low value.

Louie sees no apparent reason for TRUMP’s launch except the blatant cash grab. However, Louie says the TRUMP team will not immediately sell its holdings, crashing the price completely.

That said, the TRUMP team is unlikely to dump everything at once. Instead, they may obfuscate liquidations via World Liberty Financial. Alternatively, the newly unlocked tokens may stay dormant, serving only as a distraction. After this unlock, an additional 493,000 TRUMP tokens will be released daily until the next major unlock in July.”

The next significant TRUMP unlock will be another 50 million tokens on July 18.

Corrective Rally Ahead

The wave count aligns with the price action, suggesting the TRUMP price has started a relief rally.

The most likely wave count shows a completed five-wave downward movement (red), a leading diagonal.

Then, TRUMP reversed its trend on April 7, beginning an A-B-C corrective structure (green).

TRUMP Count
TRUMP/USDT Six-Hour Chart | Credit: Valdrin Tahiri/TradingView

If the count is accurate, the TRUMP price is in wave C, which will end near $10.50.

Afterward, TRUMP could resume its downward movement to new lows.

TRUMP Price to $10

The TRUMP price has fallen precipitously since its all-time high in January.

A token unlock in April will further dilute the supply and create pressure.

However, the price action suggests TRUMP has started a relief rally toward $10.50.

After reaching its target, the TRUMP price will likely resume its long-term decline.

Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only. It is not intended to be, nor should it be construed as, financial advice. We do not make any warranties regarding the completeness, reliability, or accuracy of this information. All investments involve risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. We recommend consulting a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Valdrin Tahiri

Valdrin Tahiri is a cryptocurrency analyst and reporter at CCN, specializing in technical analysis with a focus on Elliott Wave theory, on-chain metrics, and fundamental research. He brings over seven years of experience in the crypto space as both a trader and writer.

He discovered cryptocurrencies in 2017 while earning his MSc in Financial Markets at the Barcelona School of Economics, which sparked a deep interest in blockchain and market dynamics. Since then, he’s contributed to top crypto outlets like BeInCrypto and CoinGape.

Valdrin also served as Community Manager of BeInCrypto’s Telegram group for three years, helping grow it into one of the largest crypto communities worldwide. His expertise in market structure and price patterns allows him to break down complex trends into clear, actionable insights.

He’s published thousands of articles covering altcoins, Bitcoin cycles, and macro trends.

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