Key Takeaways
Litecoin (LTC) has bounced back from its Oct. 10 crash and is attempting to close above its critical resistance at $100.
Positive news regarding a Litecoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) has caused the LTC price to surge today, though the long-term outlook does not seem promising.
Let’s examine the charts to see if today’s price increase is enough to confirm a bullish Litecoin trend reversal.
The daily Litecoin chart shows that the price has bounced since its massive crash on October 10, which caused it to fall by 47% in a single day.
Although the price of Litecoin bounced, creating a higher low on October 17, it has yet to confirm its bullish trend reversal.
The primary reason for this is that Litecoin is still trading within a critical resistance range between $96 and $104.
The 0.382-0.5 Fibonacci retracement resistance levels create the upper and lower limits of the range, while the $100 horizontal area reinforces its validity.
To confirm that new highs are likely, the price of Litecoin has to close above this level and validate it as support.
While Litecoin’s price moved above it today on the back of positive ETF news, it has yet to confirm the breakout with a close.
Until that happens, the area will likely thwart any attempts at moving higher and act as an upper limit.
Just like the price action, momentum indicators are at critical levels. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached 50 from below, while the Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) has made a bullish cross.

If the price of Litecoin clears the $100 resistance, the indicators will move into bullish territory.
On the other hand, failure to do so could send them crashing down, invalidating any chance of a bullish Litecoin trend reversal.
Litecoin’s weekly chart shows that the price has failed multiple times to break out from the $130 area.
Hence, the area presents an upper limit for the price, and the trend is considered bearish as long as Litecoin does not break out.
Additionally, the price of LTC trades within an ascending parallel channel, which typically includes corrective movements.
Because of the channel, Litecoin’s entire rally since June 2022 is likely a correction.
The falling RSI and MACD support this claim, despite the LTC price temporarily moving above the channel’s midline.

When combined with the weakness in the daily time frame, it suggests that Litecoin will break down and fall to at least the channel’s support at $72.
Afterward, the direction of the future trend will depend on whether Litecoin breaks down from the channel.
A clean move above $100 could flip Litecoin’s trend and open the door to new highs.
The ETF-news-driven rally caused the price of Litecoin to briefly move above this level, but a close remains elusive.
However, a drop toward the $70 zone looks likely if it gets rejected again.
Unless Litecoin closes above the midline of its long-term channel, the future trend remains bearish.