Key Takeaways
On Thursday, Aug. 28, U.S. trading platform Robinhood announced the Toncoin (TON) listing. The news initially sparked a 5% jump in its price.
However, those gains were short-lived. As of this writing, the altcoin has already erased the upside, suggesting the development turned into a classic “sell the news” event.
While some traders may anticipate a rebound, the short-term outlook for TON appears muted.
When Robinhood lists a cryptocurrency, it sometimes triggers an explosive rally. In Toncoin’s case, the price briefly spiked to $3.23 before quickly retreating to $3.07.
On the 4-hour chart, TON has formed a descending channel, reflecting sustained selling pressure and hinting at further short-term weakness.
A closer look at the chart shows that the MACD has formed a bearish crossover, with the 26 EMA (orange) crossing below the 12 EMA (blue). This setup reinforces downside pressure on Toncoin.
Given this bearish signal, with strong resistance overhead at $3.42, TON’s price will likely slip below the $3 support in the near term unless buying momentum returns.
At the moment, the buying pressure doesn’t appear strong enough to prevent further downsides for Toncoin. One reason is the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) signal, which has now dropped below the zero line.

This decline reflects rising selling pressure and weakening inflows, which could drag TON’s price lower in the sessions ahead.
Beyond technical signals, on-chain data from Santiment shows market sentiment around Toncoin has turned bearish. Social media discussions are dominated by negative remarks, suggesting that enthusiasm for the token is fading.
With sentiment skewed against it, TON may struggle to attract fresh demand. In this scenario, the cryptocurrency is unlikely to challenge—or successfully break—the $4 resistance level in the near term.
On the daily chart, Toncoin’s price remains trapped within a descending triangle, a pattern that often signals bearish continuation.
Adding to the downside risk, the Awesome Oscillator (AO) has slipped into negative territory, confirming weakening momentum and reinforcing the bearish outlook.
As it stands, TON is on the verge of declining below the support line of the symmetrical triangle. If that happens, it is unlikely for TON to break above the $3.50 resistance.
Instead, the market value of the cryptocurrency might slide to $2.35.

However, it is possible that the Robinhood listing attracts a lot of retail interest later on. Should that be the case, this trend might change.
In that scenario, Toncoin’s price might experience a breakout to $4.20. In a highly bullish scenario, TON might hit $5.35.